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Monetary policy uncertainty and the market reaction to macroeconomic news

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Kocaarslan, Baris, 2024. "Dynamic spillovers between oil market, monetary policy, and exchange rate dynamics in the US," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 69(PA).
  2. Kyriazis, Nikolaos & Papadamou, Stephanos & Tzeremes, Panayiotis & Corbet, Shaen, 2024. "Examining spillovers and connectedness among commodities, inflation, and uncertainty: A quantile-VAR framework," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
  3. Dai, Zhifeng & Zhu, Junxin & Zhang, Xinhua, 2022. "Time-frequency connectedness and cross-quantile dependence between crude oil, Chinese commodity market, stock market and investor sentiment," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
  4. Ying, Xuehai & Luo, Beibei, 2025. "Reducing forecast uncertainty in China’s gold futures market through mixed-frequency volatility modeling," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 86(PG).
  5. Sharma, Susan Sunila & Bach Phan, Dinh Hoang & Narayan, Paresh Kumar, 2019. "Exchange rate effects of US government shutdowns: Evidence from both developed and emerging markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 1-1.
  6. Liu, Wei & Garrett, Ian, 2023. "Regime-dependent effects of macroeconomic uncertainty on realized volatility in the U.S. stock market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
  7. Benchimol, Jonathan & Saadon, Yossi & Segev, Nimrod, 2023. "Stock market reactions to monetary policy surprises under uncertainty," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 89, pages 1-12.
  8. Iyke, Bernard Njindan & Phan, Dinh Hoang Bach & Narayan, Paresh Kumar, 2022. "Exchange rate return predictability in times of geopolitical risk," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
  9. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins & Abdullah, Mohammad & Adeabah, David & Sahay, Vinita S., 2024. "Time-varying relationship between international monetary policy and energy markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
  10. Gu, Chen & Chen, Denghui & Stan, Raluca & Shen, Aizhong, 2022. "It is not just What you say, but How you say it: Why tonality matters in central bank communication," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 216-231.
  11. Tarek Chebbi & Waleed Hmedat, 2024. "Inventory information arrival and the crude oil futures market," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(2), pages 1513-1533, April.
  12. Hyder Ali & Salma Naz, 2025. "Forecasting Equity Premium in the Face of Climate Policy Uncertainty," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(2), pages 513-546, March.
  13. repec:rim:rimwps:23-16 is not listed on IDEAS
  14. Gabriel Arce‐Alfaro & Boris Blagov, 2023. "Monetary Policy Uncertainty and Inflation Expectations," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 85(1), pages 70-94, February.
  15. Zhang, Yunhan & Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2024. "How connected is the oil-bank network? Firm-level and high-frequency evidence," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
  16. Marfatia, Hardik A. & Gupta, Rangan & Cakan, Esin, 2021. "Dynamic impact of the U.S. monetary policy on oil market returns and volatility," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 159-169.
  17. Born, Benjamin & Dovern, Jonas & Enders, Zeno, 2023. "Expectation dispersion, uncertainty, and the reaction to news," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
  18. Phan, Dinh Hoang Bach & Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Gong, Qiang, 2021. "Terrorist attacks and oil prices: Hypothesis and empirical evidence," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
  19. Kaourma, Theofilia & Milidonis, Andreas & Nishiotis, George & Panayides, Marios, 2025. "News and intraday retail investor order flow in foreign exchange markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
  20. Cavaca, Igor Bastos & Meurer, Roberto, 2024. "The asymmetry and uncertainty effects on the response of the yield curve to Brazilian monetary policy," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PA), pages 831-844.
  21. Adrian Fernandez‐Perez & Raquel López, 2023. "The effect of macroeconomic news announcements on the implied volatility of commodities: The role of survey releases," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(11), pages 1499-1530, November.
  22. Liu, Guofang & Fang, Xi & Huang, Yuan & Zhao, Weidong, 2021. "Identifying the role of consumer and producer price index announcements in stock index futures price changes," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 87-101.
  23. Konstantinos Gkillas & Dimitrios Vortelinos & Christos Floros & Alexandros Garefalakis & Nikolaos Sariannidis, 2020. "Greek sovereign crisis and European exchange rates: effects of news releases and their providers," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 294(1), pages 515-536, November.
  24. Frederik Neugebauer, 2020. "ECB Announcements and Stock Market Volatility," WHU Working Paper Series - Economics Group 20-02, WHU - Otto Beisheim School of Management.
  25. Trung, Nguyen Ba, 2019. "The spillover effects of US economic policy uncertainty on the global economy: A global VAR approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 90-110.
  26. Ecenur Ugurlu‐Yildirim & Baris Kocaarslan & Beyza M. Ordu‐Akkaya, 2021. "Monetary policy uncertainty, investor sentiment, and US stock market performance: New evidence from nonlinear cointegration analysis," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(2), pages 1724-1738, April.
  27. Lyu, Yongjian & Yi, Heling & Hu, Yingyi & Yang, Mo, 2021. "Economic uncertainty shocks and China's commodity futures returns: A time-varying perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
  28. Lai Wan-Fei & Goh Kim-Leng, 2025. "Loan Loss Provisions and Bank Value in the United States: A Moderation Analysis of Economic Policy Uncertainty," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment Journal, De Gruyter, vol. 19(1), pages 1-23.
  29. Yang Hu & Yanran Hong & Kai Feng & Jikai Wang, 2023. "Evaluating the Importance of Monetary Policy Uncertainty: The Long- and Short-Term Effects and Responses," Evaluation Review, , vol. 47(2), pages 264-286, April.
  30. Besma Hkiri & Juncal Cunado & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Time-varying relationship between conventional and unconventional monetary policies and risk aversion: international evidence from time- and frequency-domains," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(6), pages 2963-2983, December.
  31. Yan Jiang & Yaping Xu & Shengsheng Li, 2022. "How Does Monetary Policy Uncertainty Influence Firms’ Dynamic Adjustment of Capital Structure," SAGE Open, , vol. 12(1), pages 21582440211, January.
  32. Lee A. Smales, 2021. "The effect of treasury auctions on 10‐year Treasury note futures," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 61(S1), pages 1517-1555, April.
  33. Peter Tillmann, 2020. "Macroeconomic Surprises and the Demand for Information about Monetary Policy," MAGKS Papers on Economics 202007, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
  34. Christoph E Boehm & T Niklas Kroner, 2026. "The U.S., Economic News, and the Global Financial Cycle," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 93(1), pages 215-249.
  35. Hussain, Syed Mujahid & Ben Omrane, Walid & Al-Yahyaee, Khamis, 2020. "US macroeconomic news effects around the US and European financial crises: Evidence from Brazilian and Mexican equity indices," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 46(C).
  36. Caferra, Rocco & Vidal-Tomás, David, 2021. "Who raised from the abyss? A comparison between cryptocurrency and stock market dynamics during the COVID-19 pandemic," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
  37. Gu, Chen & Kurov, Alexander & Stan, Raluca, 2023. "Monetary policy and uncertainty resolution in commodity markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PA).
  38. Lin, Jianhao & Fan, Jiacheng & Zhang, Yifan, 2025. "Information Dissemination and the Monetary Policy Uncertainty Premium: Evidence from China," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 171(C).
  39. Kurov, Alexander & Olson, Eric & Wolfe, Marketa Halova, 2024. "Have the causal effects between equities, oil prices, and monetary policy changed over time?," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 36(C).
  40. Raza, Syed Ali & Sharif, Arshian & Kumar, Satish & Ahmed, Maiyra, 2023. "Connectedness between monetary policy uncertainty and sectoral stock market returns: Evidence from asymmetric TVP-VAR approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
  41. Ekow A. Aikins & Alexander Kurov, 2025. "Which Way Does the Wind Blow Between SPX Futures and VIX Futures?," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 45(2), pages 79-90, February.
  42. Wael Bousselmi & Patrick Sentis & Marc Willinger, 2018. "Impact of the Brexit vote announcement on long-run market performance," Working Papers hal-01954920, HAL.
  43. Smales, L.A., 2021. "Macroeconomic news and treasury futures return volatility: Do treasury auctions matter?," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).
  44. Lyu, Yongjian & Tuo, Siwei & Wei, Yu & Yang, Mo, 2021. "Time-varying effects of global economic policy uncertainty shocks on crude oil price volatility：New evidence," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
  45. Qing Bai & Cathy W. S. Chen & Shaonan Tian, 2025. "The Impact of News-Based and Twitter-Based Economic Uncertainty on Realized Volatility: Asymmetric Effect with Threshold Quantile ARX Model," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 66(5), pages 4275-4302, November.
  46. Qianlong Ma & Bokun Hei & Guangchen Li, 2024. "Does economic policy uncertainty shorten the loan term structure? Evidence from China," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 57(4), pages 1-25, August.
  47. Tillmann, Peter, 2020. "Macroeconomic Surprises and the Demand for Information about Monetary Policy," VfS Annual Conference 2020 (Virtual Conference): Gender Economics 224545, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
  48. Tarek Chebbi, 2021. "The response of precious metal futures markets to unconventional monetary surprises in the presence of uncertainty," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(2), pages 1897-1916, April.
  49. He, Mengxi & Zhang, Yaojie, 2022. "Climate policy uncertainty and the stock return predictability of the oil industry," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
  50. Akram Shavkatovich Hasanov & Robert Brooks & Sirojiddin Abrorov & Aktam Usmanovich Burkhanov, 2024. "Structural breaks and GARCH models of exchange rate volatility: Re‐examination and extension," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(7), pages 1403-1407, November.
  51. Yu, Xiaoling & Huang, Yirong, 2021. "The impact of economic policy uncertainty on stock volatility: Evidence from GARCH–MIDAS approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 570(C).
  52. Ying, Shan & Sheen, Jeffrey & Gu, Xin & Wang, Ben Zhe, 2025. "Does monetary policy uncertainty moderate the transmission of policy shocks to government bond yields?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
  53. Yue Liu & Hao Dong & Pierre Failler, 2019. "The Oil Market Reactions to OPEC’s Announcements," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(17), pages 1-15, August.
  54. Frankie Chau & Rataporn Deesomsak & Raja Shaikh, 2025. "Does Fed communication affect uncertainty and risk aversion?," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 64(2), pages 713-756, February.
  55. Batten, Jonathan A. & Kinateder, Harald & Szilagyi, Peter G. & Wagner, Niklas F., 2019. "Liquidity, surprise volume and return premia in the oil market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 93-104.
  56. Ioannis Dokas & Georgios Oikonomou & Minas Panagiotidis & Eleftherios Spyromitros, 2023. "Macroeconomic and Uncertainty Shocks’ Effects on Energy Prices: A Comprehensive Literature Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(3), pages 1-35, February.
  57. Yunus, Nafeesa, 2023. "Long-run and short-run impact of the U.S. economy on stock, bond and housing markets: An evaluation of U.S. and six major economies," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 211-232.
  58. Kurov, Alexander & Sancetta, Alessio & Wolfe, Marketa Halova, 2022. "Drift Begone! Release policies and preannouncement informed trading," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
  59. Donghyun Park & Irfan Qureshi & Shu Tian & Mai Lin Villaruel, 2022. "Impact of US monetary policy uncertainty on Asian exchange rates," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 55(1), pages 73-82, February.
  60. Ying-Hui Shao & Xing-Lu Gao & Yan-Hong Yang & Wei-Xing Zhou, 2025. "Joint multifractality in cross-correlations between grains & oilseeds indices and external uncertainties," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 11(1), pages 1-32, December.
  61. Alexandra Popescu & Anne-Gaël Vaubourg, 2024. "Les analystes financiers et la vulnérabilité du secteur bancaire : état des lieux et perspectives de recherche," Post-Print hal-05007044, HAL.
  62. Liu, Pan & Vedenov, Dmitry & Power, Gabriel J., 2020. "Commodity financialization and sector ETFs: Evidence from crude oil futures," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
  63. Wang, Jiqiang & Dai, Peng-Fei & Zhang, Xuewen, 2024. "Untangling the entanglement of US monetary policy uncertainty and European natural gas and carbon prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
  64. Yingli Wang & Chang Lu & Xiaoguang Yang & Qingpeng Zhang, 2023. "Asymmetric responses to Purchasing Managers' Index announcements in China's stock returns," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(3), pages 2937-2955, July.
  65. Neugebauer, Frederik, 2019. "ECB Announcements and Stock Market Volatility," VfS Annual Conference 2019 (Leipzig): 30 Years after the Fall of the Berlin Wall - Democracy and Market Economy 203554, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
  66. Priya, Pragati & Sharma, Chandan, 2025. "The uncertainty-driven channel of monetary transmission on household consumption: the role of households’ balance sheet positions," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
  67. Han, Haozhe & Wang, Xingjian, 2023. "Monetary policy uncertainty and corporate cash holdings: Evidence from China," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
  68. Huang, Ho-Chuan & Wang, Xiuhua & Xiong, Xin, 2022. "When macro time series meets micro panel data: A clear and present danger," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
  69. Nguyen Ba Trung, 2022. "Output fluctuations and portfolio flows to emerging economies: The role of monetary uncertainty," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(3), pages 285-295, December.
  70. Kai Yao & Kun Duan & Rong Huang & Thanaset Chevapatrakul, 2025. "The Memory in Return Volatility: An Analysis of Mutual Fund Returns," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(3), pages 2930-2945, July.
  71. Sobti, Neharika, 2025. "What triggers intraday price jumps and co-jumps in gold?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
  72. Guangchen Li & Qianlong Ma & Rsha Alghafes & Khaoula Aliani, 2026. "Firm-perceived economic policy uncertainty and corporate greenwashing: evidence from China," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 59(2), pages 1-29, April.
  73. Guangchen Li & Qianlong Ma & Subuhi Khan & Khaoula Aliani, 2023. "Economic policy uncertainty: A new firm‐level measurement and impact on enterprise innovation strategies," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(8), pages 4671-4685, December.
  74. Keith Anderson & Anup Chowdhury & Moshfique Uddin, 2025. "Piotroski's Fscore under varying economic conditions," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 64(3), pages 1261-1307, April.
  75. Ge, Xinyu & Liu, Yan & Zhuang, Jiali, 2023. "Monetary policy uncertainty, market structure and bank risk-taking: Evidence from China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
  76. Shuyu Zhang & Dunli Zhang & Jianming Zheng & Walter Aerts, 2021. "Does policy uncertainty of the blockchain dampen ICO markets?," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 61(S1), pages 1625-1637, April.
  77. Yang, Jinyu & Dong, Dayong & Liang, Chao & Cao, Yang, 2024. "Monetary policy uncertainty and the price bubbles in energy markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
  78. Sheng Cheng & Wei Liu & Qisheng Jiang & Yan Cao, 2023. "Multi–Scale Risk Connectedness Between Economic Policy Uncertainty of China and Global Oil Prices in Time–Frequency Domains," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 61(4), pages 1593-1616, April.
  79. Chen Gu & Denghui Chen & Raluca Stan, 2021. "Investor sentiment and the market reaction to macroeconomic news," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(9), pages 1412-1426, September.
  80. Arce-Alfaro, Gabriel & Blagov, Boris, 2021. "Monetary policy uncertainty and inflation expectations," Ruhr Economic Papers 899, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
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