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Directional predictability from oil market uncertainty to sovereign credit spreads of oil-exporting countries: Evidence from rolling windows and crossquantilogram analysis

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Huthaifa Alqaralleh, 2024. "The sovereign Credit Default Swap Spreads and Chinese Sectors Stock Market: A Causality in Quantile and Dependence Analysis," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 31(4), pages 845-866, December.
  2. Muhammad Abubakr Naeem & Saqib Farid & Safwan Mohd Nor & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad, 2021. "Spillover and Drivers of Uncertainty among Oil and Commodity Markets," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(4), pages 1-26, February.
  3. Bouri, Elie & Kachacha, Imad & Roubaud, David, 2020. "Oil market conditions and sovereign risk in MENA oil exporters and importers," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
  4. Aktham Maghyereh & Hussein Abdoh, 2024. "Oil price uncertainly and sovereign credit risk in GCC countries: fresh evidence," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 21(2), pages 457-482, May.
  5. Wang, Jun & Sun, Xiaolei & Li, Jianping, 2020. "How do sovereign credit default swap spreads behave under extreme oil price movements? Evidence from G7 and BRICS countries," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 34(C).
  6. Chang, Hao-Wen & Chang, Tsangyao & Wang, Mei-Chih, 2024. "Revisit the impact of exchange rate on stock market returns during the pandemic period," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
  7. Wang, Kai-Hua & Liu, Lu & Li, Xin & Oana-Ramona, Lobonţ, 2022. "Do oil price shocks drive unemployment? Evidence from Russia and Canada," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 253(C).
  8. Umar, Zaghum & Abrar, Afsheen & Hadhri, Sinda & Sokolova, Tatiana, 2023. "The connectedness of oil shocks, green bonds, sukuks and conventional bonds," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
  9. Axel Per Hedström & Gazi Salah Uddin & Md Lutfur Rahman & Bo Sjö, 2024. "Systemic risk in the Scandinavian banking sector," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(1), pages 581-608, January.
  10. Ma, Yiqun & Wang, Junhao, 2019. "Co-movement between oil, gas, coal, and iron ore prices, the Australian dollar, and the Chinese RMB exchange rates: A copula approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 1-1.
  11. Yin, Libo & Su, Zhi & Lu, Man, 2022. "Is oil risk important for commodity-related currency returns?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
  12. Naifar, Nader, 2025. "Decomposed and partial connectedness between oil shocks and sovereign credit risk in emerging economies: Insights from the Russia-Ukraine war," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 39(C).
  13. Wegener, Christoph & Basse, Tobias & Maiani, Stefano & Nguyen, Tam Huu, 2025. "Predictive power of oil prices on CDS spread dynamics of oil-producing countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
  14. Naifar, Nader & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain, 2022. "Tail event-based sovereign credit risk transmission network during COVID-19 pandemic," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
  15. Ehouman, Yao Axel, 2021. "Dependence structure between oil price volatility and sovereign credit risk of oil exporters: Evidence using a copula approach," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 168(C), pages 76-97.
  16. Labidi, Chiaz & Rahman, Md Lutfur & Hedström, Axel & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Bekiros, Stelios, 2018. "Quantile dependence between developed and emerging stock markets aftermath of the global financial crisis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 179-211.
  17. Giovanni De Luca & Monica Rosciano, 2020. "Quantile Dependence in Tourism Demand Time Series: Evidence in the Southern Italy Market," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(8), pages 1-18, April.
  18. Zhang, Jiahao & Chen, Xiaodan & Wei, Yu & Bai, Lan, 2023. "Does the connectedness among fossil energy returns matter for renewable energy stock returns? Fresh insights from the Cross-Quantilogram analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
  19. Naifar, Nader & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2020. "Dynamic nonlinear impacts of oil price returns and financial uncertainties on credit risks of oil-exporting countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
  20. Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Rahman, Md Lutfur & Lucey, Brian M. & Uddin, Gazi Salah, 2021. "Re-examining the real option characteristics of gold for gold mining companies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
  21. Sabkha, Saker & de Peretti, Christian & Hmaied, Dorra, 2019. "Nonlinearities in the oil effects on the sovereign credit risk: A self-exciting threshold autoregression approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 106-133.
  22. Saker Sabkha & Christian de Peretti & Dorra Hmaied, 2018. "Nonlinearities in the oil fluctuation effects on the sovereign credit risk: A Self-Exciting Threshold Autoregression approach," Working Papers hal-01698012, HAL.
  23. Cepni, Oguzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Karahan, Cenk C. & Lucey, Brian, 2026. "Retraction notice to “Oil price shocks and yield curve dynamics in emerging markets” [International Review of Economics and Finance 80 (2022) 613–623]," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
  24. Nazlioglu, Saban & Gupta, Rangan & Bouri, Elie, 2020. "Movements in international bond markets: The role of oil prices," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 47-58.
  25. Mensi, Walid & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2022. "Dynamic and frequency spillovers between green bonds, oil and G7 stock markets: Implications for risk management," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 331-344.
  26. Uddin, Gazi Salah & Rahman, Md Lutfur & Hedström, Axel & Ahmed, Ali, 2019. "Cross-quantilogram-based correlation and dependence between renewable energy stock and other asset classes," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 743-759.
  27. Majid Mirzaee Ghazani & Ali Akbar Momeni Malekshah & Reza Khosravi, 2024. "Analyzing time–frequency connectedness between cryptocurrencies, stock indices, and benchmark crude oils during the COVID-19 pandemic," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 1-28, December.
  28. Meng, Fanyu, 2025. "Uncovering nonlinear dependencies in the Treasury-funds rate spread: Quantile-based explanation," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
  29. Semei Coronado & Rangan Gupta & Saban Nazlioglu & Omar Rojas, 2023. "Time‐varying causality between bond and oil markets of the United States: Evidence from over one and half centuries of data," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(3), pages 2239-2247, July.
  30. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Muhammad Shahbaz & Rabeh Khalfaoui & Rizwan Ahmed & Shawkat Hammoudeh, 2024. "Directional predictability from energy markets to exchange rates and stock markets in the emerging market countries (E7 + 1): New evidence from cross‐quantilogram approach," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(1), pages 719-789, January.
  31. repec:aen:journl:ej44-5-delpachitra is not listed on IDEAS
  32. Kumar, Satish & Khalfaoui, Rabeh & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar, 2021. "Does geopolitical risk improve the directional predictability from oil to stock returns? Evidence from oil-exporting and oil-importing countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
  33. Umar, Zaghum & Hadhri, Sinda & Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins & Usman, Muhammad & Umar, Muhammad, 2024. "Return and volatility spillovers among oil price shocks and international green bond markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
  34. Bajaj, Vimmy & Kumar, Pawan & Singh, Vipul Kumar, 2022. "Linkage dynamics of sovereign credit risk and financial markets: A bibliometric analysis," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
  35. Qin, Xiao, 2020. "Oil shocks and financial systemic stress: International evidence," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
  36. Rahman, Md Lutfur & Hedström, Axel & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2021. "Quantile relationship between Islamic and non-Islamic equity markets," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
  37. Alturki,Sultan Abdulaziz M & Hibbert,Ann Marie, 2021. "The Impact of Oil Shocks on Sovereign Default Risk," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9546, The World Bank.
  38. Jiang, Yong & Liu, Cenjie & Xie, Rui, 2021. "Oil price shocks and credit spread: Structural effect and dynamic spillover," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
  39. Li, Haiping & Semeyutin, Artur & Lau, Chi Keung Marco & Gozgor, Giray, 2020. "The relationship between oil and financial markets in emerging economies: The significant role of Kazakhstan as the oil exporting country," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 32(C).
  40. Gour Gobinda Goswami & Muhammad Yahya & Mahnaz Aftabi Atique & Gazi Salah Uddin, 2025. "Impact of financial and energy market uncertainties on ASEAN-5 markets," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 15(4), pages 1261-1283, December.
  41. Razzaq, Asif & Sharif, Arshian & An, Hui & Aloui, Chaker, 2022. "Testing the directional predictability between carbon trading and sectoral stocks in China: New insights using cross-quantilogram and rolling window causality approaches," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 182(C).
  42. Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Elie Bouri & Mobeen Ur Rehman & David Roubaud, 2022. "The hedge asset for BRICS stock markets: Bitcoin, gold or VIX," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 45(1), pages 292-316, January.
  43. Sun-Yong Choi & Changsoo Hong, 2020. "Relationship between uncertainty in the oil and stock markets before and after the shale gas revolution: Evidence from the OVX, VIX, and VKOSPI volatility indices," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(5), pages 1-26, May.
  44. Yao Axel Ehouman, 2021. "Dependence structure between oil price volatility and sovereign credit risk of oil exporters : Evidence using a Copula Approach," Post-Print hal-03348410, HAL.
  45. Ma, Yiqun & Wang, Junhao, 2021. "Time-varying spillovers and dependencies between iron ore, scrap steel, carbon emission, seaborne transportation, and China's steel stock prices," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
  46. Filippidis, Michail & Filis, George & Kizys, Renatas, 2020. "Oil price shocks and EMU sovereign yield spreads," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
  47. Arshian Sharif & Eyup Dogan & Ameenullah Aman & Hafizah Hammad Ahmad Khan & Isma Zaighum, 2020. "Rare disaster and renewable energy in the USA: new insights from wavelet coherence and rolling-window analysis," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 103(3), pages 2731-2755, September.
  48. Yihong Ma & Simon Cottrell & Sarath Delpachitra & Xiao Yu & Ping Jiang & Quan Tran Ha Minh, 2023. "What Drives Credit Spreads of Oil Companies? Evidence from the Upstream, Integrated and Downstream Industries," The Energy Journal, , vol. 44(5), pages 277-300, September.
  49. Liu, Nan & Kawasaki, Kentaro & Sato, Kiyotaka, 2025. "Export elasticity to exchange rates revisited: Application of rolling ARDL estimation to Japanese exports," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 184(C).
  50. Kais Tissaoui & Taha Zaghdoudi & Abdelaziz Hakimi & Ousama Ben-Salha & Lamia Ben Amor, 2022. "Does Uncertainty Forecast Crude Oil Volatility before and during the COVID-19 Outbreak? Fresh Evidence Using Machine Learning Models," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(15), pages 1-20, August.
  51. Wang, Qunwei & Liu, Mengmeng & Xiao, Ling & Dai, Xingyu & Li, Matthew C. & Wu, Fei, 2022. "Conditional sovereign CDS in market basket risk scenario: A dynamic vine-copula analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
  52. Elie Bouri, 2019. "The Effect of Jumps in the Crude Oil Market on the Sovereign Risks of Major Oil Exporters," Risks, MDPI, vol. 7(4), pages 1-15, December.
  53. Cho, Dooyeon & Han, Heejoon, 2021. "The tail behavior of safe haven currencies: A cross-quantilogram analysis," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
  54. Yao Axel Ehouman, 2020. "Dependence structure between oil price volatility and sovereign credit risk of oil exporters: Evidence using a Copula Approach," EconomiX Working Papers 2020-31, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
  55. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Wang, Shixuan & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "Oil price uncertainty and movements in the US government bond risk premia," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
  56. Zhang, Zhengyong & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Bouri, Elie, 2022. "Tail risk transmission from commodity prices to sovereign risk of emerging economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
  57. Trabelsi, Nader & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2022. "Spillovers and directional predictability between international energy commodities and their implications for optimal portfolio and hedging," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
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