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Central Bank Communication That Works: Lessons from Lab Experiments

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Mikhail Anufriev & Frieder Neunhoeffer & Jan Tuinstra, 2024. "Time pressure reduces financial bubbles: Evidence from a forecasting experiment," Working Papers REM 2024/0351, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
  2. Myrna Hennequin & Cars Hommes, 2024. "Managing Bubbles in Experimental Asset Markets with Monetary Policy," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 56(2-3), pages 429-454, March.
  3. Ahn, Hie Joo & Xie, Shihan & Yang, Choongryul, 2024. "Effects of monetary policy on household expectations: The role of homeownership," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
  4. Lustenhouwer, Joep & Salle, Isabelle, 2025. "Learning to be rational in the presence of news: A lab investigation," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
  5. Alan S. Blinder & Michael Ehrmann & Jakob de Haan & David-Jan Jansen, 2024. "Central Bank Communication with the General Public: Promise or False Hope?," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 62(2), pages 425-457, June.
  6. repec:hal:wpaper:halshs-03816349 is not listed on IDEAS
  7. Paolo Crosetto & Thomas De Haan, 2022. "Comparing input interfaces to elicit belief distributions," Working Papers 2022-01, Grenoble Applied Economics Laboratory (GAEL).
  8. Camille Cornand & Paul Hubert, 2021. "Information frictions in inflation expectations among five types of economic agents," Sciences Po Economics Publications (main) halshs-03351632, HAL.
  9. Mauersberger, Felix, 2021. "Monetary policy rules in a non-rational world: A macroeconomic experiment," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 197(C).
  10. Kotłowski, Jacek, 2025. "The role of central bank forecasts in uncertain times," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
  11. Grebe, Moritz & Tillmann, Peter, 2023. "Household Expectations and Dissent Among Policymakers," VfS Annual Conference 2023 (Regensburg): Growth and the "sociale Frage" 277657, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
  12. Lustenhouwer, Joep & Salle, Isabelle, 2022. "Forecast revisions in the presence of news: a lab investigation," Working Papers 0714, University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics.
  13. Ambrocio, Gene & Haavio, Markus & McClung, Nigel, 2024. "Monetary policy announcements and sacrifice ratios," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 12/2024, Bank of Finland.
  14. Donato Masciandaro & Oana Peia & Davide Romelli, 2024. "Central bank communication and social media: From silence to Twitter," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(2), pages 365-388, April.
  15. David M. Arseneau & Alejandro Drexler & Mitsuhiro Osada, 2022. "Central Bank Communication about Climate Change," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2022-031, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  16. Bao, Te & Dai, Yun & Duffy, John, 2025. "Least squares learning? Evidence from the laboratory," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
  17. Ying, Shan & Sheen, Jeffrey & Gu, Xin & Wang, Ben Zhe, 2025. "Does monetary policy uncertainty moderate the transmission of policy shocks to government bond yields?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
  18. Bao, Te & Hommes, Cars & Pei, Jiaoying, 2021. "Expectation formation in finance and macroeconomics: A review of new experimental evidence," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(C).
  19. Hoffmann, Mathias & Moench, Emanuel & Pavlova, Lora & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2026. "A KISS for central bank communication in times of high inflation," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 165(C).
  20. Cars Hommes & Isabelle Salle & Julien Pinter, 2026. "Fiscal Beliefs & Narratives," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 26-031/VI, Tinbergen Institute.
  21. Cornand, Camille & Erazo Diaz, Maria Alejandra & Zylbersztejn, Adam, 2023. "Trading and cognition in asset markets: An eye-tracking experiment," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 216(C), pages 711-732.
  22. repec:rim:rimwps:22-04 is not listed on IDEAS
  23. Levy, Daniel & Mayer, Tamir & Raviv, Alon, 2022. "Economists in the 2008 financial crisis: Slow to see, fast to act," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
  24. Christopher S. Sutherland, 2023. "Forward guidance and expectation formation: A narrative approach," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(2), pages 222-241, March.
  25. Nobuyuki Hanaki & Yuta Takahashi, 2023. "An Experiment on a Multi-Period Beauty Contest Game," ISER Discussion Paper 1213rr, Institute of Social and Economic Research, The University of Osaka, revised Dec 2024.
  26. Eickmeier, Sandra & Petersen, Luba, 2024. "Toward a holistic approach to central bank trust," Discussion Papers 27/2024, Deutsche Bundesbank.
  27. Chen, Liangyuan & Lin, Jianhao & Wang, Xia & Zhu, Zixiang, 2025. "The real effect of China's narrative Central Bank Communication," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 94(PC).
  28. Raphael Galvão & Felipe Shalders, 2023. "Rules versus discretion in Central Bank communication," International Journal of Economic Theory, The International Society for Economic Theory, vol. 19(2), pages 177-203, June.
  29. Camille Cornand & Paul Hubert, 2021. "Information frictions in inflation expectations among five types of economic agents," Working Papers hal-03468918, HAL.
  30. Michael Ehrmann & Sarah Holton & Danielle Kedan & Gillian Phelan, 2024. "Monetary Policy Communication: Perspectives from Former Policymakers at the ECB," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 56(4), pages 837-864, June.
  31. D'Acunto, Francesco & Hoang, Daniel & Paloviita, Maritta & Weber, Michael, 2020. "Effective policy communication: Targets versus instruments," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 17/2020, Bank of Finland.
  32. Ehrmann, Michael & Georgarakos, Dimitris & Kenny, Geoff, 2023. "Credibility gains from communicating with the public: evidence from the ECB’s new monetary policy strategy," Working Paper Series 2785, European Central Bank.
  33. Ana Beatriz Galvão & James Mitchell, 2023. "Real‐Time Perceptions of Historical GDP Data Uncertainty," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 85(3), pages 457-481, June.
  34. Ferrara, Federico Maria & Angino, Siria, 2022. "Does clarity make central banks more engaging? Lessons from ECB communications," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
  35. Fatemeh Mokhtarzadeh & Luba Petersen, 2021. "Coordinating expectations through central bank projections," Experimental Economics, Springer;Economic Science Association, vol. 24(3), pages 883-918, September.
  36. Di Nino, Virginia & Aprigliano, Valentina, 2024. "How income expectations adjust to inflation – a consumers’ expectations-revealed pass-through," Working Paper Series 2986, European Central Bank.
  37. Christopher S Sutherland, 2022. "Forward guidance and expectation formation: A narrative approach," BIS Working Papers 1024, Bank for International Settlements.
  38. Müller, Lena Sophia & Glas, Alexander, 2021. "Talking in a language that everyone can understand? Transparency of speeches by the ECB Executive Board," VfS Annual Conference 2021 (Virtual Conference): Climate Economics 242364, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
  39. Alexopoulos, Michelle & Han, Xinfen & Kryvtsov, Oleksiy & Zhang, Xu, 2024. "More than words: Fed Chairs’ communication during congressional testimonies," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
  40. Cars Hommes & Julien Pinter & Isabelle Salle, 2023. "What People Believe about Monetary Finance and What We Can(‘t) Do about It: Evidence from a Large-Scale, Multi-Country Survey Experiment," CESifo Working Paper Series 10574, CESifo.
  41. Thomas Lustenberger & Enzo Rossi & Anna Zeitz, 2026. "Central bank communication: New data and stylized facts from a century of Fed speeches," Working Papers 2026-06, Swiss National Bank.
  42. Cory Baird & Jonathan Benchimol & Vira Vyshnevska & Wook Sohn & Iegor Vyshnevskyi, 2026. "The monetary policy statement database," IFC Bulletins chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Data science in central banking, volume 67, Bank for International Settlements.
  43. Beutel, Johannes & Metiu, Norbert & Stockerl, Valentin, 2021. "Toothless tiger with claws? Financial stability communication, expectations, and risk-taking," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 53-69.
  44. Ahrens, Steffen & Lustenhouwer, Joep & Tettamanzi, Michele, 2023. "The Stabilizing Effects of Publishing Strategic Central Bank Projections," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 27(3), pages 826-868, April.
  45. Ehrmann, Michael & Wabitsch, Alena, 2022. "Central bank communication with non-experts – A road to nowhere?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(C), pages 69-85.
  46. Kronick, Jeremy & Petersen, Luba, 2025. "Is monetary and fiscal policy conflict that dire?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
  47. Civelli, Andrea & Deck, Cary & Tutino, Antonella, 2022. "Attention and choices with multiple states and actions: A laboratory experiment," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 199(C), pages 86-102.
  48. Hwang, In Do & Lustenberger, Thomas & Rossi, Enzo, 2023. "Central bank communication and public trust: The case of ECB speeches," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
  49. John Duffy & Daniela Puzzello, 2022. "The Friedman Rule: Experimental Evidence," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 63(2), pages 671-698, May.
  50. Cornand, Camille & Hubert, Paul, 2022. "Information frictions across various types of inflation expectations," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
  51. Francesco D'Acunto & Daniel Hoang & Maritta Paloviita & Michael Weber, 2020. "Effective Policy Communication: Targets versus Instruments," Working Papers 2020-148, Becker Friedman Institute for Research In Economics.
  52. Airaudo, Marco, 2020. "Temptation and forward-guidance," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 186(C).
  53. Tim Munday & James Brookes, 2021. "Mark my words: the transmission of central bank communication to the general public via the print media," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 944, Bank of England.
  54. Han, Xun & Ma, Sichao & Peng, Yuchao & Xie, Xinyan, 2022. "Central bank communication, corporate maturity mismatch and innovation," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
  55. Salle, Isabelle & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Coibion, Olivier, 2023. "Lifetime Memories of Inflation: Evidence from Surveys and the Lab," CEPR Discussion Papers 18684, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
  56. Evans, George W. & Hommes, Cars & McGough, Bruce & Salle, Isabelle, 2022. "Are long-horizon expectations (de-)stabilizing? Theory and experiments," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 44-63.
  57. Kresta Aleš & Sedláková Michaela, 2025. "How initial price history influences expectation formation in multi-asset experimental markets: An exploratory case study," Economics and Business Review, Paradigm, vol. 11(2), pages 7-37.
  58. Andrea Sbarile, 2022. "Book review: “The Behavioral Economics of Inflation Expectations: Macroeconomics Meets Psychology"," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 75(1), pages 131-134.
  59. Fatih Kansoy & Joel Mundy, 2025. "Central Bank Communication with Public: Bank of England and Twitter (X)," Papers 2506.02559, arXiv.org.
  60. Grebe, Moritz & Tillmann, Peter, 2025. "Household expectations and dissent among policymakers," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
  61. Ryan Rholes & Luba Petersen, 2020. "Should central banks communicate uncertainty in their projections?," Discussion Papers dp20-01, Department of Economics, Simon Fraser University.
  62. Angino, Siria & Robitu, Robert, 2023. "One question at a time! A text mining analysis of the ECB Q&A session," Working Paper Series 2852, European Central Bank.
  63. Federico M. Ferrara & Donato Masciandaro & Manuela Moschella & Davide Romelli, 2025. "What Do Politicians Think of Technocratic Institutions? Attitudes in the European Parliament Towards the European Central Bank," Journal of Common Market Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 63(2), pages 564-589, March.
  64. Donald Coletti, 2023. "A Blueprint for the Fourth Generation of Bank of Canada Projection and Policy Analysis Models," Discussion Papers 2023-23, Bank of Canada.
  65. Bjerkander, Lena & Glas, Alexander, 2024. "Talking in a language that everyone can understand? Clarity of speeches by the ECB Executive Board," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
  66. Bholat, David & Broughton, Nida & Ter Meer, Janna & Walczak, Eryk, 2019. "Enhancing central bank communications using simple and relatable information," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 1-15.
  67. Jaemin Jeong & Eunseong Ma & Choongryul Yang, 2025. "Attention-Dependent Monetary Transmission to Household Beliefs," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2025-084, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  68. Caballero, Julián & Gadanecz, Blaise, 2024. "Did interest rate guidance in emerging markets work?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
  69. Istrefi, Klodiana, 2019. "Comment on: Enhancing central bank communications using simple and relatable information," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 16-20.
  70. Moritz Grebe & Peter Tillmann, 2022. "Household Expectations and Dissent Among Policymakers," MAGKS Papers on Economics 202226, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
  71. Grebe, Moritz & Tillmann, Peter, 2022. "Household expectations and dissent among policymakers," IMFS Working Paper Series 169, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
  72. Hamid Baghestani & Sehar Fatima, 2021. "Growth in US Durables Spending: Assessing the Impact of Consumer Ability and Willingness to Buy," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 17(1), pages 55-69, April.
  73. Anufriev, Mikhail & Duffy, John & Panchenko, Valentyn, 2022. "Learning in two-dimensional beauty contest games: Theory and experimental evidence," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 201(C).
  74. Ehrmann, Michael & Georgarakos, Dimitris & Kenny, Geoff, 2025. "Credibility gains from central bank communication with the public," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 177(C).
  75. Petersen, Luba & Rholes, Ryan, 2022. "Macroeconomic expectations, central bank communication, and background uncertainty: A COVID-19 laboratory experiment," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
  76. Juan Meng & Bin Mo & Shaokai Ding, 2026. "Central Bank Communication, Economic Policy Uncertainty, and Financial Market Volatility: A Time-Varying Perspective on Chinese Markets," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 68(1), pages 825-861, July.
  77. Lucy F. Ackert & Brian D. Kluger & Li Qi & Lijia Wei, 2022. "An experimental examination of the flow of irrelevant information across markets," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 88(3), pages 1119-1148, January.
  78. Ash, Elliott & Mikosch, Heiner & Perakis, Alexis & Sarferaz, Samad, 2026. "Seeing and hearing is believing: The role of audiovisual communication in shaping inflation expectations," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 184(C).
  79. John Duffy, 2022. "Why macroeconomics needs experimental evidence," The Japanese Economic Review, Springer, vol. 73(1), pages 5-29, January.
  80. Francesco D'Acunto & Janet Gao & Lu Liu & Kai Lu & Zhengwei Wang & Jun Yang, 2025. "Subjective Expectations and Financial Intermediation," CESifo Working Paper Series 11780, CESifo.
  81. Patrick Hirsch & Lars P. Feld & Ekkehard A. Köhler, 2023. "Breaking Monetary Policy News: The Role of Mass Media Coverage of ECB Announcements for Public Inflation Expectations," CESifo Working Paper Series 10285, CESifo.
  82. Anufriev, Mikhail & Lamantia, Fabio & Radi, Davide & Tichy, Tomas, 2025. "Leaning against the wind in the New Keynesian model with heterogeneous expectations," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
  83. Yuying Jin & Sunyao Xia, 2026. "Can Central Bank Communication Guide Individuals' Expectations About the Macroeconomy? Evidence From a Randomized Information Experiment in China," International Studies of Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 21(1), pages 73-89, March.
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