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Konzeptionelle Lehren aus der ersten Evaluationsrunde der Branchenmindestlöhne in Deutschland

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  • Doerr, Annabelle
  • Fitzenberger, Bernd

Abstract

Dieser Aufsatz liefert eine kritische Zusammenfassung und Beschreibung der Evaluationsstudien zu den Branchenmindestlöhnen in Deutschland, wobei der Schwerpunkt auf den ökonometrischen Kausalanalysen liegt. Die Evaluation der Branchenmindestlöhne ist ein wichtiges und erfolgreiches Beispiel für eine stärkere Evidenzbasierung der Wirtschaftspolitik. Allen Evaluationsstudien gemein ist die Schwierigkeit der Identifikation der tatsächlich vom Mindestlohn betroffenen Beschäftigten in den jeweiligen Branchen. Die identifizierenden Annahmen und die Umsetzung des verwendeten Differenz-von-Differenzen-Ansatzes (DvD-Ansatz) sowie die Wahl der Kontrollgruppen werden kritisch diskutiert und es werden alternative Ansätze aufgezeigt. In vielen Fällen hätten die Variation der geschätzten Effekte und die Eignung einer Kontrollgruppe stärker diskutiert und eine Abschätzung der Verzerrung in den geschätzten Effekten vorgenommen werden sollen.

Suggested Citation

  • Doerr, Annabelle & Fitzenberger, Bernd, 2015. "Konzeptionelle Lehren aus der ersten Evaluationsrunde der Branchenmindestlöhne in Deutschland," ZEW Discussion Papers 15-073 [rev.], ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:zewdip:15073r
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    1. Caliendo, Marco & Olthaus, Rebecca & Pestel, Nico, 2025. "Long-term employment effects of the minimum wage in Germany: New data and estimators," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    2. Link, Sebastian, 2024. "The price and employment response of firms to the introduction of minimum wages," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 239(C).
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    4. Marco Caliendo & Alexandra Fedorets & Malte Preuss & Carsten Schröder & Linda Wittbrodt, 2017. "The Short-Term Distributional Effects of the German Minimum Wage Reform," SOEPpapers on Multidisciplinary Panel Data Research 948, DIW Berlin, The German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP).
    5. Garloff, Alfred, 2016. "Side effects of the new German minimum wage on (un-)employment : first evidence from regional data," IAB-Discussion Paper 201631, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].
    6. Bonin Holger & Isphording Ingo E. & Krause-Pilatus Annabelle & Lichter Andreas & Pestel Nico & Rinne Ulf, 2020. "The German Statutory Minimum Wage and Its Effects on Regional Employment and Unemployment," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 240(2-3), pages 295-319, April.
    7. Burauel, Patrick & Caliendo, Marco & Grabka, Markus M. & Obst, Cosima & Preuss, Malte & Schröder, Carsten & Shupe, Cortnie, 2020. "The Impact of the German Minimum Wage on Individual Wages and Monthly Earnings," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, pages 201-231.
    8. Brautzsch Hans-Ulrich & Schultz Birgit, 2018. "Auswirkungen des gesetzlichen Mindestlohns im Handwerk in Sachsen-Anhalt," Zeitschrift für Wirtschaftspolitik, De Gruyter, vol. 67(2), pages 125-152, August.
    9. Pestel, Nico & Bonin, Holger & Isphording, Ingo E. & Gregory, Terry & Caliendo, Marco, 2020. "Auswirkungen des gesetzlichen Mindestlohns auf Beschäftigung und Arbeitslosigkeit," IZA Research Reports 95, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    10. Biewen, Martin & Fitzenberger, Bernd & Rümmele, Marian, 2022. "Using Distribution Regression Difference-in-Differences to Evaluate the Effects of a Minimum Wage Introduction on the Distribution of Hourly Wages and Hours Worked," IZA Discussion Papers 15534, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    11. Haverkamp, Katarzyna & Müller, Klaus & Runst, Petrik & Fredriksen, Kaja, 2018. "Ausgewählte Literatur mit Handwerksrelevanz - Ein kommentierter Überblick, Teil II," Göttinger Beiträge zur Handwerksforschung 21, Volkswirtschaftliches Institut für Mittelstand und Handwerk an der Universität Göttingen (ifh).
    12. Brüll, Eduard & Gathmann, Christina, 2020. "Evolution of the East German wage structure," ZEW Discussion Papers 20-081, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    13. Bofinger, Peter & Schnabel, Isabel & Feld, Lars P. & Schmidt, Christoph M. & Wieland, Volker, 2015. "Zukunftsfähigkeit in den Mittelpunkt. Jahresgutachten 2015/16 [Focus on Future Viability. Annual Report 2015/16]," Annual Economic Reports / Jahresgutachten, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung, volume 127, number 201516.
    14. Popp, Martin, 2024. "Minimum Wages in Concentrated Labor Markets," IZA Discussion Papers 17357, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    15. Caliendo Marco & Wittbrodt Linda & Schröder Carsten, 2019. "The Causal Effects of the Minimum Wage Introduction in Germany – An Overview," German Economic Review, De Gruyter, vol. 20(3), pages 257-292, August.
    16. Ahlfeldt, Gabriel M. & Roth, Duncan & Seidel, Tobias, 2022. "Optimal minimum wages," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 117750, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    17. Martin Popp, 2023. "How elastic is labor demand? A meta-analysis for the German labor market," Journal for Labour Market Research, Springer;Institute for Employment Research/ Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), vol. 57(1), pages 1-21, December.
    18. Caliendo, Marco & Fedorets, Alexandra & Preuss, Malte & Schröder, Carsten & Wittbrodt, Linda, 2018. "The short-run employment effects of the German minimum wage reform," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 46-62.
    19. Bossler, Mario & Gürtzgen, Nicole & Lochner, Benjamin & Betzl, Ute & Feist, Lisa & Wegmann, Jakob, 2018. "Auswirkungen des gesetzlichen Mindestlohns auf Betriebe und Unternehmen," IAB-Forschungsbericht 201804, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].
    20. Katarzyna Haverkamp, 2019. "Das Handwerk - Zur definitorischen und statistischen Abgrenzung eines Querschnittsbereichs," ZfKE – Zeitschrift für KMU und Entrepreneurship, Duncker & Humblot, Berlin, vol. 67(1), pages 67-79.
    21. Fedorets, Alexandra & Shupe, Cortnie, 2021. "Great expectations: Reservation wages and minimum wage reform," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 183(C), pages 397-419.
    22. Koch, Andreas & Kirchmann, Andrea & Reiner, Marcel & Scheu, Tobias & Zühlke, Anne & Bonin, Holger, 2020. "Verhaltensmuster von Betrieben und Beschäftigten im Kontext des gesetzlichen Mindestlohns," IZA Research Reports 97, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    23. Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Schultz, Birgit, 2017. "The minimum wage effects on skilled crafts sector in Saxony-Anhalt," IWH Discussion Papers 31/2017, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    24. Demir, Gökay, 2024. "Labor Market Frictions and Spillover Effects from Publicly Announced Sectoral Minimum Wages," IZA Discussion Papers 17510, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    25. Alfred Garloff, 2019. "Did the German Minimum Wage Reform Influence (Un)employment Growth in 2015? Evidence from Regional Data," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 20(3), pages 356-381, August.

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