IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/zbw/safewh/84.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Non-performing loans - new risks and policies? NPL resolution after COVID-19: Main differences to previous crises

Author

Listed:
  • Kasinger, Johannes
  • Krahnen, Jan Pieter
  • Ongena, Steven
  • Pelizzon, Loriana
  • Schmeling, Maik
  • Wahrenburg, Mark

Abstract

This paper discusses policy implications of a potentialsurge in NPLs due to COVID-19. The study provides an empirical assessment of potential scenarios and draws lessons from previous crises for effective NPL treatment. The paper highlights the importance of early and realistic assessment of loan lossesto avoid adverse incentives for banks. Secondary loan markets would help in this process and further facilitate bank resolution as laid down in the BRRD, which should be uphold even in extreme scenarios. This paper was prepared by the Economic Governance Support Unit (EGOV) at the request of the Committee on Economic and Monetary Affairs (ECON).

Suggested Citation

  • Kasinger, Johannes & Krahnen, Jan Pieter & Ongena, Steven & Pelizzon, Loriana & Schmeling, Maik & Wahrenburg, Mark, 2021. "Non-performing loans - new risks and policies? NPL resolution after COVID-19: Main differences to previous crises," SAFE White Paper Series 84, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
  • Handle: RePEc:zbw:safewh:84
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/232027/1/1751693937.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mr. Anil Ari & Sophia Chen & Mr. Lev Ratnovski, 2019. "The Dynamics of Non-Performing Loans during Banking Crises: A New Database," IMF Working Papers 2019/272, International Monetary Fund.
    2. Elsas, Ralf & Krahnen, Jan Pieter, 2003. "Universal Banks and Relationships with Firms," CFS Working Paper Series 2003/20, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
    3. Luc Laeven & Fabian Valencia, 2020. "Systemic Banking Crises Database II," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 68(2), pages 307-361, June.
    4. Elena Carletti & Tommaso Oliviero & Marco Pagano & Loriana Pelizzon & Marti G Subrahmanyam, 2020. "The COVID-19 Shock and Equity Shortfall: Firm-Level Evidence from Italy," The Review of Corporate Finance Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 9(3), pages 534-568.
    5. Gambacorta, Leonardo & Brei, Michael & Lucchetta, Marcella & Parigi, Bruno, 2020. "Bad bank resolutions and bank lending," CEPR Discussion Papers 14379, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    6. Acharya, Viral V. & Bharath, Sreedhar T. & Srinivasan, Anand, 2007. "Does industry-wide distress affect defaulted firms? Evidence from creditor recoveries," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(3), pages 787-821, September.
    7. Cerutti, Eugenio & Claessens, Stijn & Laeven, Luc, 2017. "The use and effectiveness of macroprudential policies: New evidence," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 203-224.
    8. Diana Bonfim & Geraldo Cerqueiro & Hans Degryse & Steven Ongena, 2023. "On-Site Inspecting Zombie Lending," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 69(5), pages 2547-2567, May.
    9. Puriya Abbassi & Rajkamal Iyer & José-Luis Peydró & Paul E. Soto, 2020. "Stressed banks? Evidence from the largest-ever supervisory review," Economics Working Papers 1721, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
    10. Lazzari, Valter & Vena, Luigi & Venegoni, Andrea, 2017. "Stress tests and asset quality reviews of banks: A policy announcement tool," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 86-98.
    11. João Pinto, 2014. "The Economics of Securitization: Evidence from the European Markets," Working Papers de Economia (Economics Working Papers) 02, Católica Porto Business School, Universidade Católica Portuguesa.
    12. Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan & Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas & Veronika Penciakova & Nick Sander, 2020. "COVID-19 and SME Failures," IMF Working Papers 2020/207, International Monetary Fund.
    13. Gourinchas, Pierre-Olivier & Kalemli-Özcan, Sebnem & Penciakova, Veronika & Sander, Nick, 2022. "Estimating SME Failures in Real Time: An Application to the COVID-19 Crisis," CEPR Discussion Papers 15323, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    14. Mr. Luc Laeven & Mr. Fabian Valencia, 2018. "Systemic Banking Crises Revisited," IMF Working Papers 2018/206, International Monetary Fund.
    15. Haselmann, Rainer & Tröger, Tobias, 2021. "When and how to unwind COVID-support measures to the banking system?," SAFE White Paper Series 83, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    16. Hendrik Bessembinder & William Maxwell, 2008. "Markets: Transparency and the Corporate Bond Market," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 22(2), pages 217-234, Spring.
    17. Fell, John & Grodzicki, Maciej & Martin, Reiner & O’Brien, Edward, 2016. "Addressing Market Failures in the Resolution of Non-Performing Loans in the Euro Area," Financial Stability Review, European Central Bank, vol. 2.
    18. Elena Carletti & Tommaso Oliviero & Marco Pagano & Loriana Pelizzon & Marti G Subrahmanyam, 0. "The COVID-19 Shock and Equity Shortfall: Firm-Level Evidence from Italy," Review of Corporate Finance Studies, Oxford University Press, vol. 9(3), pages 534-568.
    19. Götz, Martin & Krahnen, Jan Pieter & Tröger, Tobias, 2017. "Taking bail-in seriously: The looming risks for banking policy in the rescue of Monte Paschi di Siena," SAFE Policy Letters 54, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Sebastian Edwards, 2021. "Macroprudential Policies and The Covid-19 Pandemic: Risks and Challenges For Emerging Markets," NBER Working Papers 29441, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Amila Žunić & Kemal Kozarić & Emina Žunić Dželihodžić, 2021. "Non-Performing Loan Determinants and Impact of COVID-19: Case of Bosnia and Herzegovina," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, vol. 10(3), pages 5-22.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Harasztosi, Péter & Maurin, Laurent & Pál, Rozália & Revoltella, Debora & van der Wielen, Wouter, 2022. "Firm-level policy support during the crisis: So far, so good?," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 30-48.
    2. Choudhary, M. Ali & Jain, Anil K., 2021. "Corporate stress and bank nonperforming loans: Evidence from Pakistan," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    3. Ratnovski, Lev, 2020. "COVID-19 and non-performing loans: lessons from past crises," Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, vol. 71.
    4. Thomas Philippon, 2020. "Efficient Programs to Support Businesses During and After Lockdowns," NBER Working Papers 28211, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas & Ṣebnem Kalemli-Özcan & Veronika Penciakova & Nick Sander, 2021. "Fiscal Policy in the Age of COVID: Does it ‘Get in all of the Cracks?’," NBER Working Papers 29293, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Polo, Andrea & Altavilla, Carlo & Ellul, Andrew & Pagano, Marco & Vlassopoulos, Thomas, 2021. "Loan Guarantees, Bank Lending and Credit Risk Reallocation," CEPR Discussion Papers 16727, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    7. Rebucci, Alessandro & Bai, Ge & Jiménez, Daniel & Phan, Phillip & , & Sun, Xian, 2021. "The Financial Fragility of For-profit Hospitals: Evidence from the COVID-19 Pandemic," CEPR Discussion Papers 16650, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    8. repec:ctc:sdimse:dime21_01 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. Florian Eckert & Heiner Mikosch, 2022. "Firm bankruptcies and start-up activity in Switzerland during the COVID-19 crisis," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, Springer;Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics, vol. 158(1), pages 1-25, December.
    10. Serguei Kaniovski & Atanas Pekanov & Thomas Url, 2021. "Ex-post-Analyse der Wirkungen des COVID-19-Maßnahmenpaketes auf die Unternehmensliquidität," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 67189, Juni.
    11. Claus Puhr & Martin Schneider, 2021. "Have mitigating measures helped prevent insolvencies in Austria amid the COVID-19 pandemic?," Monetary Policy & the Economy, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue Q4/20-Q1/, pages 77-110.
    12. Blagica Petreski & Marjan Petreski & Bojan Srbinoski, 2020. "The potential of export-oriented companies to contribute to post-Covid-19 economic recovery in North Macedonia," Finance Think Policy Studies 2020-12/33, Finance Think - Economic Research and Policy Institute.
    13. Demosthenes Tambakis, 2021. "A Markov chain measure of systemic banking crisis frequency," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(16), pages 1351-1356, September.
    14. Marchionne, Francesco & Pisicoli, Beniamino & Fratianni, Michele, 2022. "Regulation, financial crises, and liberalization traps," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    15. Tan, Brandon & Igan, Deniz & Martinez Peria, Maria Soledad & Pierri, Nicola & Presbitero, Andrea F., 2021. "Government intervention and bank markups: Lessons from the global financial crisis for the COVID-19 crisis," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    16. Monika Wieczorek-Kosmala & Joanna Błach & Anna Doś, 2021. "COVID-19 Interruptions and SMEs Heterogeneity: Evidence from Poland," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(9), pages 1-21, September.
    17. Jon Frost & Hiro Ito & René van Stralen, 2020. "The effectiveness of macroprudential policies and capital controls against volatile capital inflows," BIS Working Papers 867, Bank for International Settlements.
    18. Shun-Yang Lee & Julian Runge & Daniel Yoo & Yakov Bart & Anett Gyurak & J. W. Schneider, 2023. "COVID-19 Demand Shocks Revisited: Did Advertising Technology Help Mitigate Adverse Consequences for Small and Midsize Businesses?," Papers 2307.09035, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2024.
    19. Francesco Ciampi & Alessandro Giannozzi & Giacomo Marzi & Edward I. Altman, 2021. "Rethinking SME default prediction: a systematic literature review and future perspectives," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 126(3), pages 2141-2188, March.
    20. Charlie Tchinda & Marcus Dejardin, 2021. "Are Business Policy Measures in Response to the COVID-19 Pandemic to Be Equally Valued? An Exploration According to SMEs Owners’ Business Expectations," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(21), pages 1-42, October.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Covid-19; Non-performing Loans; Bank Resolution; Secondary Loan Markets; BRRD;
    All these keywords.

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:zbw:safewh:84. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/csafede.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.