IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/zbw/ifwkpb/45.html

Der italienische Schuldenberg: Ursachen und Schlussfolgerungen

Author

Listed:
  • Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens
  • Gern, Klaus-Jürgen

Abstract

Im vorliegenden Beitrag sollen anhand von einfachen Modellrechnungen die Ursachen für den hohen italienischen Schuldenstand beleuchtet werden. Die Analyse der italienischen Staatsschuld geschieht vor dem Hintergrund, dass Italien im Verlauf des Jahres 2011 zusehends in den Fokus der Schuldenkrise im Euroraum geraten ist. Während zu Beginn der stärkeren Differenzierung der Risikoprämien auf Staatsanleihen unterschiedlicher Länder im Euroraum in den Jahren 2009 und 2010 Italiens Bonität kaum angezweifelt wurde und deutlich besser eingeschätzt wurde als die von Griechenland, Portugal und Irland, aber auch als die von Spanien, haben sich zeitweise die Zweifel über die Schuldentragfähigkeit des italienischen Staates gemehrt. [...] Im Folgenden sollen die hier kurz angerissenen Episoden der italienischen Finanzpolitik erläutert und anhand von Modellrechnungen die relative Bedeutung der unterschiedlichen Einflüsse vonseiten des Primärsaldos, der Realzinsen und der Nominalzinsen für das Entstehen der aktuellen Situation veranschaulicht werden.

Suggested Citation

  • Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen, 2012. "Der italienische Schuldenberg: Ursachen und Schlussfolgerungen," Kiel Policy Briefs 45, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:ifwkpb:45
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/57186/1/689692900.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Nathalie Girouard & Christophe André, 2005. "Measuring Cyclically-adjusted Budget Balances for OECD Countries," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 434, OECD Publishing.
    2. Snower, Dennis J. & Burmeister, Johannes & Seidel, Moritz, 2011. "Dealing with the eurozone debt crisis: A proposal for reform," Kiel Policy Briefs 33, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Stolzenburg, Ulrich, 2016. "Italien am Scheideweg: Wachstumsschwäche erfordert weitere Reformen," Kiel Policy Briefs 102, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Reicher, Claire, 2014. "Systematic fiscal policy and macroeconomic performance: A critical overview of the literature," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy, vol. 8, pages 1-37.
    2. Plödt, Martin & Reicher, Claire A., 2015. "Estimating fiscal policy reaction functions: The role of model specification," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 113-128.
    3. Plödt, Martin & Reicher, Claire, 2014. "Primary surplus and debt projections based on estimated fiscal reaction functions for euro area countries," Kiel Working Papers 1900, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    4. Plödt, Martin & Reicher, Claire, 2014. "Estimating simple fiscal policy reaction functions for the euro area countries," Kiel Working Papers 1899, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    5. Douglas Sutherland & Peter Hoeller & Balázs Égert & Oliver Röhn, 2010. "Counter-cyclical Economic Policy," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 760, OECD Publishing.
    6. Stefan Schiman-Vukan, 2013. "Langfristige Perspektiven der öffentlichen Finanzen in Österreich. Projektionen des Staatshaushalts bis 2050," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 46670.
    7. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens, 2012. "Zu den Budgetzielen in den Anpassungsprogrammen für Griechenland," Kiel Insight 2012.13, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    8. António Afonso, & Jorge Caiado, & Miguel St. Aubyn, 2015. "The macro impact of the Portuguese Constitutional Court decisions regarding the budgetary proposals of the Portuguese Budget Law (2012, 2013, 2014)," Working Papers Department of Economics 2015/06, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa.
    9. Székely, István P. & Turrini, Alessandro & Röger, Werner, 2010. "Banking crises, Output Loss and Fiscal Policy," CEPR Discussion Papers 7815, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    10. Giancarlo Corsetti & Keith Kuester & André Meier & Gernot J. Müller, 2013. "Sovereign Risk, Fiscal Policy, and Macroeconomic Stability," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 0, pages 99-132, February.
    11. Rrezarta Gashi & Liza Alili Sylejmani, 2020. "Econometric Approach of the Nexus Between Remittances and Economic Growth in Western Balkans," International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), vol. 0(1), pages 254-262.
    12. Achim Truger, 2015. "Implementing the golden rule for public investment in Europe," Working Paper Reihe der AK Wien - Materialien zu Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft 138, Kammer für Arbeiter und Angestellte für Wien, Abteilung Wirtschaftswissenschaft und Statistik.
    13. Steven A. Symansky & Thomas Baunsgaard, 2009. "Automatic Fiscal Stabilizers," IMF Staff Position Notes 2009/23, International Monetary Fund.
    14. Łukasz Rawdanowicz, 2014. "Choosing the pace of fiscal consolidation," OECD Journal: Economic Studies, OECD Publishing, vol. 2013(1), pages 91-119.
    15. Troy Davig & Michael Redmond, 2014. "Accounting for changes in the U.S. budget deficit," Macro Bulletin, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, pages 1-2, December.
    16. Hiroshi Gunji & Kazuki Hiraga & Kenji Miyazaki, 2024. "Tax Deduction Matters: Elasticities of the Laffer Curve, Taxable Income, and Tax Revenue," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 30(1), pages 1-19, February.
    17. Callan, Tim & Doorley, Karina & Savage, Michael, 2018. "Inequality in EU Crisis Countries: How Effective Were Automatic Stabilisers?," IZA Discussion Papers 11439, IZA Network @ LISER.
    18. Mirdala, Rajmund, 2013. "Fiscal Imbalances and Current Account Adjustments in the European Transition Economies," MPRA Paper 50362, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    19. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens, 2014. "Konjunkturbereinigung der Länder: Eine Quasi-Echtzeitanalyse am Beispiel Schleswig-Holsteins," Kiel Discussion Papers 538, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    20. Tapsoba, René, 2012. "Do National Numerical Fiscal Rules really shape fiscal behaviours in developing countries? A treatment effect evaluation," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 1356-1369.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:zbw:ifwkpb:45. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/iwkiede.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.