IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/zbw/ifwkpb/112.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Trotz voller Kassen: Nicht jedes Wahlversprechen im nächsten Koalitionsvertrag umsetzen!

Author

Listed:
  • Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens

Abstract

Der Autor diskutiert vor dem Hintergrund der Wahlprogramme von CDU/CSU und SPD die Themen allgemeine Haushaltspolitik, öffentliche Investitionen und Steuerpolitik. Er kommt zu dem Ergebnis, dass die Überschüsse in den öffentlichen Haushalten auf die konjunkturelle Lage und auf die über Jahre gesunkenen Zinsausgaben zurückgehen. Da für die kommenden Jahre zusätzliche Belastungen im Zuge des demografischen Wandels zu erwarten sind, sollte die derzeitigen Überschüsse nicht in Steuersenkungen und Mehrausgaben umgemünzt werden. Neben den mittel- bis langfristigen Folgen für die öffentlichen Haushalte ist zu bedenken, dass ein expansiver fiskalischer Impuls angesichts des Konjunkturbooms zur Unzeit käme. Eine durchaus angemessene Absenkung des Beitragssatzes in der Arbeitslosenversicherung sollte daher von einem Anstieg in der Sozialen Pflegeversicherung begleitet werden. Die Mehreinnahmen könnten dort über eine Ausweitung des Kapitalstocks Folgen des demografischen Wandels abmildern helfen.

Suggested Citation

  • Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens, 2018. "Trotz voller Kassen: Nicht jedes Wahlversprechen im nächsten Koalitionsvertrag umsetzen!," Kiel Policy Brief 112, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:ifwkpb:112
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/173258/1/1010444174.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens, 2012. "Das demographische Zwischenhoch," Kiel Insight 2012.7, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    2. Bönke, Timm & Jochimsen, Beate & Schröder, Carsten, 2014. "Fiscal federalism and tax enforcement," VfS Annual Conference 2014 (Hamburg): Evidence-based Economic Policy 100394, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    3. Krebs, Tom & Scheffel, Martin, 2016. "Quantifizierung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen und fiskalischen Effekte ausgewählter Infrastruktur- und Bildungsinvestitionen in Deutschland," Working Papers 16-13, University of Mannheim, Department of Economics.
    4. Stefan Bach & Björn Fischer & Peter Haan & Katharina Wrohlich, 2017. "Ehegattenbesteuerung: Individualbesteuerung mit übertragbarem Grundfreibetrag schafft fiskalische Spielräume," DIW Wochenbericht, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 84(13), pages 247-255.
    5. Kooths, Stefan, 2015. "Zur Entwicklung des öffentlichen Kapitalstocks: Ein Update," Kiel Insight 2015.7, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    6. Felix Arnold & Ronny Freier & René Geissler & Philipp Schrauth, 2015. "Große regionale Disparitäten bei den kommunalen Investitionen," DIW Wochenbericht, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 82(43), pages 1031-1040.
    7. Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose, 2016. "Deutsche Wirtschaft gut ausgelastet – Wirtschaftspolitik neu ausrichten: Gemeinschaftsdiagnose Herbst 2016," DIW Wochenbericht, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 83(40), pages 895-971.
    8. Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose, 2016. "German Economy on Track – Economic Policy Needs to Be Realigned," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 69(19), pages 03-60, October.
    9. Clemens Fuest & Björn Kauder & Luisa Lorenz & Martin Mosler & Niklas Potrafke & Florian Dorn, 2016. "Hidden tax increases - the extra tax burden of the bracket creep and the expected impact of income tax rates "on wheels" on tax reliefs," ifo Forschungsberichte, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 76, October.
    10. Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose, 2016. "Gemeinschaftsdiagnose im Herbst 2016: Deutsche Wirtschaft gut ausgelastet – Wirtschaftspolitik neu ausrichten," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 23(06), pages 26-29, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. FlorianDorn & ClemensFuest & BjörnKauder & LuisaLorenz & MartinMosler & NiklasPotrafke & LuisaDörr, 2018. "How Bracket Creep Creates Hidden Tax Increases: Evidence from Germany," ifo DICE Report, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 15(04), pages 34-39, January.
    2. Florian Dorn & Clemens Fuest & Björn Kauder & Luisa Lorenz & Martin Mosler & Luisa Dörr, 2017. "The removal of the middle class bulge - models and costs," ifo Forschungsberichte, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 77, October.
    3. Florian Dorn & Clemens Fuest & Björn Kauder & Luisa Lorenz & Martin Mosler & Niklas Potrafke & Luisa Dörr, 2017. "How Bracket Creep Creates Hidden Tax Increases: Evidence from Germany," ifo DICE Report, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 15(04), pages 34-39, December.
    4. Florian Dorn & Clemens Fuest & Fabian Häring & Björn Kauder & Luisa Lorenz & Martin Mosler & Luisa Dörr, 2017. "Eliminating the Middle-class Bulge – Income Tax Reform Options and their Fiscal Costs," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 70(09), pages 31-38, May.
    5. repec:ces:ifodic:v:15:y:2018:i:4:p:50000000000859 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Florian Dorn & Clemens Fuest & Björn Kauder & Luisa Lorenz & Martin Mosler & Potrafke. Niklas & Luisa Dörr, 2017. "Bracket Creep – Distribution Effects of a Rolling Income Tax Rate," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 70(03), pages 28-39, February.
    7. Florian Dorn & Clemens Fuest & Björn Kauder & Luisa Lorenz & Martin Mosler & Niklas Potrafke & Luisa Dörr, 2017. "Tax Increases Via the Back Door – Fiscal Revenue Impact of Bracket Creep," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 70(02), pages 51-58, January.
    8. Marcell Göttert, 2017. "Steuermehreinnahmen und Steuerquote wachsen weiter – Zu den Ergebnissen der Steuerschätzung vom Mai 2017," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 70(11), pages 55-58, June.
    9. Gebhardt, Heinz, 2016. "Haushaltskonsolidierung in den meisten Bundesländern weit vorangeschritten," RWI Konjunkturberichte, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, vol. 67(4), pages 33-48.
    10. Clemens Fuest & Björn Kauder & Luisa Lorenz & Martin Mosler & Niklas Potrafke & Florian Dorn, 2016. "Hidden tax increases - the extra tax burden of the bracket creep and the expected impact of income tax rates "on wheels" on tax reliefs," ifo Forschungsberichte, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 76, October.
    11. Drygalla, Andrej & Holtemöller, Oliver & Lindner, Axel, 2017. "Internationale Konjunkturprognose und konjunkturelle Szenarien für die Jahre 2016 bis 2021," IWH Online 3/2017, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    12. Sabine Rumscheidt, 2016. "Online-Handel – Chance für den stationären Einzelhandel?," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 69(22), pages 51-56, November.
    13. Arno Städtler, 2016. "Leasing Shows Stronger Growth than Fixed Asset Investment – Dynamic Expected to Weaken in 2017," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 69(23), pages 52-63, December.
    14. Marcell Göttert, 2016. "Forecasts of Additional Tax Revenues Fall as of 2018 Despite Revisions – The Results of the Tax Revenue Estimates of November 2016," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 69(23), pages 70-73, December.
    15. Robert Lehmann & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Magnus Reif, 2016. "A Flash Estimate of Private Consumption in Germany," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 69(21), pages 36-41, November.
    16. Ademmer, Martin & Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Fiedler, Salomon & Groll, Dominik & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Potjagailo, Galina & Wolters, Maik H., 2017. "Deutsche Konjunktur im Herbst 2017 - Deutsche Wirtschaft nähert sich der Hochkonjunktur [German Economy Autumn 2017 - German economy approaches boom period]," Kieler Konjunkturberichte 35, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    17. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens, 2017. "Zu den finanzpolitischen Plänen der Parteien zur Bundestagswahl," Kiel Insight 2017.12, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    18. Marius Clemens & Marcel Fratzscher & Claus Michelsen, 2021. "Ein Investitionsprogramm zur Krisenbewältigung," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 101(3), pages 168-171, March.
    19. Florian Dorn & Stefanie Gäbler & Björn Kauder & Manuela Krause & Luisa Lorenz & Niklas Potrafke, 2017. "Income Tax in Germany – Is There a Need for Reform?," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 70(15), pages 31-37, August.
    20. Dieter Dziadkowski, 2018. "Plea for a Realistic Income Tax Rate Structure," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 71(11), pages 35-47, June.
    21. Krause, Manuela & Büttner, Thiess, 2017. "Does Fiscal Equalization Lead to Higher Tax Rates? Empirical Evidence from Germany," VfS Annual Conference 2017 (Vienna): Alternative Structures for Money and Banking 168214, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Öffentliche Haushalte; struktureller Budgetsaldo; Wahlprogramme;
    All these keywords.

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:zbw:ifwkpb:112. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/iwkiede.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.