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Estimating the effects of the minimum wage in a developing country: A density discontinuity design approach

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  • Jales, Hugo

Abstract

This paper proposes a framework to identify the effects of the mini- mum wage on the joint distribution of sector and wage in a developing country. I show how the discontinuity of the wage distribution around the minimum wage identifies the extent of non-compliance with the minimum wage policy, and how the conditional probability of sector given wage recovers the relationship between latent sector and wages. I apply the method in the "PNAD", a nationwide representative Brazilian cross-sectional dataset for the years 2001 to 2009. The results indicate that the size of the informal sector is increased by around 39% compared to what would prevail in the absence of the minimum wage, an effect attributable to (i) unemployment effects of the minimum wage on the formal sector, (ii) movements of workers from the formal to the informal sector as a response to the policy.

Suggested Citation

  • Jales, Hugo, 2017. "Estimating the effects of the minimum wage in a developing country: A density discontinuity design approach," GLO Discussion Paper Series 54, Global Labor Organization (GLO).
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:glodps:54
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Carlos Henrique Corseuil & Miguel Foguel & Marcos Hecksher, 2013. "Efeitos dos Pisos salariais Estaduais Sobre o Mercado de Trabalho: Uma Nova Abordagem Empírica," Discussion Papers 1887, Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada - IPEA.
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    Cited by:

    1. Katzkowicz, Sharon & Pedetti, Gabriela & Querejeta, Martina & Bergolo, Marcelo, 2021. "Low-skilled workers and the effects of minimum wage in a developing country: Evidence based on a density-discontinuity approach," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    2. Howell, Anthony, 2020. "Minimum wage impacts on Han-minority Workers’ wage distribution and inequality in urban china," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    3. Fossati, Sebastian & Marchand, Joseph, 2020. "First to $15: Alberta's Minimum Wage Policy on Employment by Wages, Ages, and Places," Working Papers 2020-15, University of Alberta, Department of Economics, revised 27 Jul 2023.
    4. Bertanha, Marinho & McCallum, Andrew H. & Seegert, Nathan, 2023. "Better bunching, nicer notching," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 237(2).
    5. Jales, Hugo & Jiang, Boqian & Rosenthal, Stuart S., 2023. "JUE Insight: Using the mode to test for selection in city size wage premia," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    6. Manuel Fernández & Gabriela Serrano, 2022. "New Perspectives on Inequality in Latin America," Documentos CEDE 20295, Universidad de los Andes, Facultad de Economía, CEDE.
    7. Marcelo Castro & Cesar Tirso, 2023. "The impacts of the age of majority on the exposure to violent crimes," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(2), pages 983-1023, February.
    8. Gindling, T. H. & Ronconi, Lucas, 2023. "Minimum Wage Policy and Inequality in Latin America and the Caribbean," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 12931, Inter-American Development Bank.
    9. Du, Pengcheng & Wang, Shuxun, 2020. "The effect of minimum wage on firm markup: Evidence from China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 241-250.
    10. Darius Daniel Martin, 2021. "The Minimum Wage in a Roy Model with Monopsony," Journal of Labor Research, Springer, vol. 42(3), pages 358-381, December.
    11. Saraçoğlu, Dürdane Şirin, 2020. "Do labour market policies reduce the informal economy more effectively than enforcement and deterrence?," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 42(3), pages 679-698.
    12. Sharon Katzkowicz & Gabriela Pedetti & Martina Querejeta & Marcelo Bérgolo, 2019. "Low-Skilled Workers and the Effects of Minimum Wage: New Evidence Based on a Density-Discontinuity Approach," Working Papers PMMA 2019-10, PEP-PMMA.
    13. Brochu, Pierre & Green, David A. & Lemieux, Thomas & Townsend, James, 2023. "The Minimum Wage, Turnover, and the Shape of the Wage Distribution," IZA Discussion Papers 16514, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    14. Marinho Bertanha & Andrew H. McCallum & Alexis Payne & Nathan Seegert, 2022. "Bunching estimation of elasticities using Stata," Stata Journal, StataCorp LP, vol. 22(3), pages 597-624, September.
    15. Stijn Broecke & Alessia Forti & Marieke Vandeweyer, 2017. "The effect of minimum wages on employment in emerging economies: a survey and meta-analysis," Oxford Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(3), pages 366-391, July.
    16. David A. Green, 2014. "What Is a Minimum Wage For? Empirical Results and Theories of Justice," Canadian Public Policy, University of Toronto Press, vol. 40(4), pages 293-314, December.
    17. Işık Enes & Orhangazi Özgür & Tekgüç Hasan, 2020. "Heterogeneous effects of minimum wage on labor market outcomes: A case study from Turkey," IZA Journal of Labor Policy, Sciendo & Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit GmbH (IZA), vol. 10(1), pages 1-41, March.
    18. Sebastian Fossati & Joseph Marchand, 2024. "First to $15: Alberta’s Minimum Wage Policy on Employment by Wages, Ages, and Places," ILR Review, Cornell University, ILR School, vol. 77(1), pages 119-142, January.
    19. Jales, Hugo & Ma, Jun & Yu, Zhengfei, 2017. "Optimal bandwidth selection for local linear estimation of discontinuity in density," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 153(C), pages 23-27.
    20. Carlo Lombardo & Lucía Ramirez-Veira & Leonardo Gasparini, 2022. "Does the Minimum Wage Affect Wage Inequality? A Study for the Six Largest Latin American Economies," CEDLAS, Working Papers 0302, CEDLAS, Universidad Nacional de La Plata.
    21. Du, Pengcheng & Zheng, Yi & Wang, Shuxun, 2022. "The minimum wage and the financialization of firms: Evidence from China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Minimum wage; informality; density discontinuity; unemployment;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J00 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - General - - - General
    • J31 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs - - - Wage Level and Structure; Wage Differentials
    • J30 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs - - - General

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