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Monetary disequilibria and the Euro/Dollar exchange rate

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  • Nautz, Dieter
  • Ruth, Karsten

Abstract

Although stable money demand functions are crucial for the monetary model of the exchange rate, empirical research on exchange rates and money demand is more or less disconnected. This paper tries to fill the gap for the Euro/Dollar exchange rate. We investigate whether monetary disequilibria provided by the empirical literature on U.S. and European money demand functions contain useful information about exchange rate movements. Our results suggest that the empirical performance of the monetary exchange rate model improves when insights from the money demand literature are explicitly taken into account.

Suggested Citation

  • Nautz, Dieter & Ruth, Karsten, 2005. "Monetary disequilibria and the Euro/Dollar exchange rate," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2005,18, Deutsche Bundesbank.
  • Handle: RePEc:zbw:bubdp1:3377
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    Cited by:

    1. Claudio, Morana, 2015. "The US$/€ exchange rate: Structural modeling and forecasting during the recent financial crises," Working Papers 321, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised 28 Dec 2015.
    2. Dimitris A. Georgoutsos & Georgios P. Kouretas, 2017. "The Relevance of the Monetary Model for the Euro / USD Exchange Rate Determination: a Long Run Perspective," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 28(5), pages 989-1010, November.
    3. Yu Hsing & Bruno S. Sergi, 2009. "The dollar/euro exchange rate and a comparison of major models," Journal of Business Economics and Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(3), pages 199-205, April.

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    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • E41 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Demand for Money

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