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On the Employment Effect of Technology: Evidence from US Manufacturing for 1958-1996

  • Yongsung Chang

    (Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond)

  • Jay H. Hong

    (University of Pennsylvania)

Recently, Gali and others find that technological progress may be contractionary: a favorable technology shock reduces hours worked in the short run. We ask whether this observation is robust in disaggregate data. According to our VAR analysis of 458 four-digit U.S. manufacturing industries for 1958-1996, some industries do exhibit temporary reduction in hours in response to a permanent increase in TFP. However, there are far more industries in which technological progress significantly increases hours. Using micro data on average price duration, we ask whether the difference across industries is related to the stickiness of industry-output prices. Among 87 manufacturing goods, we do not find such a relation.

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Paper provided by EconWPA in its series Macroeconomics with number 0307004.

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Date of creation: 08 Jul 2003
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Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpma:0307004
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  18. Neville Francis & Valerie A. Ramey, 2002. "Is the Technology-Driven Real Business Cycle Hypothesis Dead?," NBER Working Papers 8726, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  19. Berndt, Ernst R, 1976. "Reconciling Alternative Estimates of the Elasticity of Substitution," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 58(1), pages 59-68, February.
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