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High School Grades and University Performance: A Case Study

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  • Philippe Cyrenne

    (Department of Economics, The University of Winnipeg)

  • Alan Chan

Abstract

A critical issue facing a number of colleges and universities is how to allocate first year places to incoming students. The decision to admit students if often based on a number of factors, but a key statistic is a student's high school grades. This paper reports on a case study of the subsequent performance at the University of Winnipeg of high school students from 84 Manitoba High Schools. By tracking the University performance of a set of students admitted for the years 1997-2002, we are able to estimate the likelihood of success of subsequent students based on their characteristics as well as their high school grades. In doing so, we use a number of alternative estimators including a Least Squares Dummy Variable Model and a Hierarchical Linear Model. The methodology should be of interest to admissions o±cers at other universities as an input into estimating the subsequent performance of first year students.

Suggested Citation

  • Philippe Cyrenne & Alan Chan, 2010. "High School Grades and University Performance: A Case Study," Departmental Working Papers 2010-02, The University of Winnipeg, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:win:winwop:2010-02
    as

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    File URL: http://economics.uwinnipeg.ca/RePEc/winwop/2010-02.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    JEL classification:

    • L1 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance
    • L2 - Industrial Organization - - Firm Objectives, Organization, and Behavior
    • L4 - Industrial Organization - - Antitrust Issues and Policies
    • L83 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Sports; Gambling; Restaurants; Recreation; Tourism

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