IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/wbk/wbrwps/9402.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Designing Oil Revenue Management Mechanisms : An Application to Chad

Author

Listed:
  • Campagne,Benoit Philippe Marcel
  • Kitzmuller,Markus
  • Tordo,Silvana

Abstract

Oil resources usually play a significant role in oil-rich countries, in gross domesticproduct and government revenues. High dependence of government revenues on oil can contribute to severerecession following an adverse commodity price shock, such as in 2014. This paper examines the extent to which a fiscalrule or stabilization fund could translate into a less pro-cyclical fiscal policy, with the government saving partof its oil revenues during periods of high prices and drawing down on the savings during difficult periods. Usingthe macro-structural model MFMod, the paper presents, evaluates, and discusses the strengths and weaknesses ofdifferent oil revenue management mechanisms applied to the specific case of Chad. The scenarios demonstrate that awell-designed management rule can successfully insulate thepublic budget from the oil price cycle, resulting in a significant reduction in the volatility of the economy.

Suggested Citation

  • Campagne,Benoit Philippe Marcel & Kitzmuller,Markus & Tordo,Silvana, 2020. "Designing Oil Revenue Management Mechanisms : An Application to Chad," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9402, The World Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:9402
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/418491600369375091/pdf/Designing-Oil-Revenue-Management-Mechanisms-An-Application-to-Chad.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mr. George Kopits & Mr. Steven A. Symansky, 1998. "Fiscal Policy Rules," IMF Occasional Papers 1998/011, International Monetary Fund.
    2. Burns,Andrew & Campagne,Benoit Philippe Marcel & Jooste,Charl & Stephan,David Andrew & Bui,Thi Thanh, 2019. "The World Bank Macro-Fiscal Model Technical Description," Policy Research Working Paper Series 8965, The World Bank.
    3. Olivier Blanchard, 2018. "On the future of macroeconomic models," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, vol. 34(1-2), pages 43-54.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Federico Guglielmo Morelli & Michael Benzaquen & Marco Tarzia & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, 2020. "Confidence collapse in a multihousehold, self-reflexive DSGE model," Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, vol. 117(17), pages 9244-9249, April.
    2. Amélie BARBIER-GAUCHARD, 2020. "Blueprint for the European Fiscal Union: State of knowledge and Challenges," Working Papers of BETA 2020-39, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
    3. Jean‐Louis Combes & Xavier Debrun & Alexandru Minea & René Tapsoba, 2018. "Inflation Targeting, Fiscal Rules and the Policy Mix: Cross‐effects and Interactions," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 128(615), pages 2755-2784, November.
    4. Botte, Florian & Dallery, Thomas, 2019. "Analyse systématique du modèle de Bhaduri et Marglin à prix flexibles : « Ça dépend de la valeur des paramètres » [Systematic analysis of the Bhaduri-Marglin Model with flexible prices: « It depend," Revue de la Régulation - Capitalisme, institutions, pouvoirs, Association Recherche et Régulation, vol. 26.
    5. Boscá, J.E. & Doménech, R. & Ferri, J. & Méndez, R. & Rubio-Ramírez, J.F., 2020. "Financial and fiscal shocks in the great recession and recovery of the Spanish economy," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).
    6. Albonico, Alice & Calés, Ludovic & Cardani, Roberta & Croitorov, Olga & Ferroni, Filippo & Giovannini, Massimo & Hohberger, Stefan & Pataracchia, Beatrice & Pericoli, Filippo Maria & Raciborski, Rafal, 2019. "Comparing post-crisis dynamics across Euro Area countries with the Global Multi-country model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 242-273.
    7. Muscatelli, Vito A. & Natale, Piergiovanna & Tirelli, Patrizio, 2012. "A simple and flexible alternative to Stability and Growth Pact deficit ceilings. Is it at hand?," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 14-26.
    8. Funke, Michael & Tsang, Andrew, 2019. "The direction and intensity of China's monetary policy conduct: A dynamic factor modelling approach," BOFIT Discussion Papers 8/2019, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
    9. Kea BARET, 2023. "On the importance of statistical governance quality and accurate targets for fiscal rules’ performance," Working Papers of BETA 2023-40, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
    10. Benchimol, Jonathan & Bounader, Lahcen, 2023. "Optimal monetary policy under bounded rationality," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    11. Amelie BARBIER-GAUCHARD & Kea BARET & Alexandru MINEA, 2019. "National Fiscal Rules Adoption and Fiscal Discipline in the European Union," Working Papers of BETA 2019-40, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
    12. Taner Akan & Tim Solle, 2022. "Do macroeconomic and financial governance matter? Evidence from Germany, 1950–2019," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 17(4), pages 993-1045, October.
    13. Cardona Bermeo, Jorge Enrique, 2002. "Manejo de pasivos contingentes en el marco de la disciplina fiscal en Colombia," Sede de la CEPAL en Santiago (Estudios e Investigaciones) 34872, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    14. Zabavnik, Darja & Verbič, Miroslav, 2024. "Financial frictions in a macroeconometric model: A counterfactual analysis for the case of Slovenia," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 48(4).
    15. Gorčák Martin & Šaroch Stanislav, 2021. "Impact of fiscal institutions on public finances in the European Union: Review of evidence in the empirical literature," Review of Economic Perspectives, Sciendo, vol. 21(2), pages 215-232, June.
    16. Szapáry, György & Orbán, Gábor, 2004. "A stabilitási és növekedési paktum az új tagállamok szemszögéből [The Stabilization and Growth Pact in the light of the new EU member-states]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(9), pages 810-831.
    17. Carranza-Ugarte, Luis & Díaz-Saavedra, Julián & Galdon-Sanchez, Jose Enrique, 2023. "Rethinking fiscal rules," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(3), pages 833-857.
      • Luis Carranza Ugarte & Julian Diaz Saavedra & Jose Enrique Galdon-Sanchez, 2021. "Rethinking fiscal rules," ThE Papers 21/14, Department of Economic Theory and Economic History of the University of Granada..
    18. George Kopits, 2007. "Fiscal Responsibility Framework: International Experience and Implications for Hungary," MNB Occasional Papers 2007/62, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary).
    19. Upinder Sawhney, 2018. "An Analysis of Fiscal Policy in an Emerging Economy: Innovative and Sustainable Fiscal Rules in India," Millennial Asia, , vol. 9(3), pages 295-317, December.
    20. Mr. William A Allan & Ms. Taryn R Parry, 2003. "Fiscal Transparency in EU Accession Countries: Progress and Future Challenges," IMF Working Papers 2003/163, International Monetary Fund.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:9402. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Roula I. Yazigi (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/dvewbus.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.