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How does long-term finance affect economic volatility ?

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  • Demirguc-Kunt,Asli
  • Horvath,Balint Laszlo
  • Huizinga,Harry P.

Abstract

This paper examines how the ability to access long-term debt affects firm-level growth volatility. The analysis finds that firms in industries with stronger preference to use long-term finance relative to short-term finance experience lower growth volatility in countries with better-developed financial systems, as these firms may benefit from reduced refinancing risk. Institutions that facilitate the availability of credit information and contract enforcement mitigate the refinancing risk and therefore growth volatility associated with short-term financing. Increased availability of long-term finance reduces growth volatility in crisis as well as non-crisis periods.

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  • Demirguc-Kunt,Asli & Horvath,Balint Laszlo & Huizinga,Harry P., 2016. "How does long-term finance affect economic volatility ?," Policy Research Working Paper Series 7535, The World Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:7535
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    Cited by:

    1. Akhilesh K. Verma & Rajeswari Sengupta, 2021. "Interlinkages between external debt financing, credit cycles and output fluctuations in emerging market economies," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 157(4), pages 965-1001, November.
    2. Antonio Accetturo & Giulia Canzian & Michele Cascarano & Maria Lucia Stefani, 2019. "Debt maturity and firm performance: evidence from a quasi-natural experiment," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1250, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    3. Léon, Florian, 2019. "Long-term finance and entrepreneurship," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 43(2), pages 1-1.
    4. Christoph Sommer, 2024. "The Impact of Long-Term Finance on Job Quality, Investments and Firm Performance: Cross-Country Evidence," The European Journal of Development Research, Palgrave Macmillan;European Association of Development Research and Training Institutes (EADI), vol. 36(4), pages 747-776, August.
    5. Chao, Chi-Chur & Ee, Mong Shan, 2024. "Does unionization reduce wage inequality? New evidence from business dynamism," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 690-703.
    6. Florian Leon, 2019. "The provision of long-term credit and firm growth," DEM Discussion Paper Series 19-08, Department of Economics at the University of Luxembourg.
    7. Sommer, Christoph, 2021. "The impact of patient capital on job quality, investments and firm performance: Cross-country evidence on long-term finance," IDOS Discussion Papers 6/2021, German Institute of Development and Sustainability (IDOS).
    8. Léon, Florian, 2020. "The provision of long-term credit and firm growth in developing countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 66-78.
    9. Cattaruzzo, Sebastiano & Teruel, Mercedes, 2022. "On the heterogeneity of the long-term leverage-growth relationship: A cross-country analysis of manufacturing firms," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 552-565.
    10. Su-Yin Cheng & Han Hou, 2022. "Innovation, financial development, and growth: evidences from industrial and emerging countries," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 55(3), pages 1629-1653, August.

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    Keywords

    Access to Finance;

    JEL classification:

    • G20 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - General
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
    • O16 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment; Corporate Finance and Governance

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