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How does long-term finance affect economic volatility?

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  • Demirgüç-Kunt, Asli
  • Horváth, Bálint L.
  • Huizinga, Harry

Abstract

In an approach analogous to Rajan and Zingales (1998), we examine how the ability to access long-term debt affects firm-level growth volatility. We find that firms in industries with stronger preference to use long-term finance relative to short-term finance experience lower growth volatility in countries with better-developed financial systems, as these firms may benefit from reduced refinancing risk. Institutions that facilitate the availability of credit information and contract enforcement mitigate refinancing risk and therefore growth volatility associated with short-term financing. Increased availability of long-term finance reduces growth volatility in crisis as well as non-crisis periods.

Suggested Citation

  • Demirgüç-Kunt, Asli & Horváth, Bálint L. & Huizinga, Harry, 2017. "How does long-term finance affect economic volatility?," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 41-59.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:finsta:v:33:y:2017:i:c:p:41-59
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jfs.2017.10.005
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    Cited by:

    1. Akhilesh K. Verma & Rajeswari Sengupta, 2021. "Interlinkages between external debt financing, credit cycles and output fluctuations in emerging market economies," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 157(4), pages 965-1001, November.
    2. Antonio Accetturo & Giulia Canzian & Michele Cascarano & Maria Lucia Stefani, 2019. "Debt maturity and firm performance: evidence from a quasi-natural experiment," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1250, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    3. Léon, Florian, 2019. "Long-term finance and entrepreneurship," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 43(2), pages 1-1.
    4. Florian Leon, 2019. "The provision of long-term credit and firm growth," DEM Discussion Paper Series 19-08, Department of Economics at the University of Luxembourg.
    5. Sommer, Christoph, 2021. "The impact of patient capital on job quality, investments and firm performance: Cross-country evidence on long-term finance," IDOS Discussion Papers 6/2021, German Institute of Development and Sustainability (IDOS).
    6. Cattaruzzo, Sebastiano & Teruel, Mercedes, 2022. "On the heterogeneity of the long-term leverage-growth relationship: A cross-country analysis of manufacturing firms," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 552-565.
    7. Léon, Florian, 2020. "The provision of long-term credit and firm growth in developing countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 66-78.
    8. Su-Yin Cheng & Han Hou, 2022. "Innovation, financial development, and growth: evidences from industrial and emerging countries," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 55(3), pages 1629-1653, August.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Debt maturity; Financial dependence; Firm volatility; Financial development;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G20 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - General
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
    • O16 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment; Corporate Finance and Governance

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