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Is extreme poverty going to end ? an analytical framework to evaluate progress in ending extreme poverty

Author

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  • Yoshida, Nobuo
  • Uematsu, Hiroki
  • Sobrado, Carlos E.

Abstract

The World Bank has recently adopted a target of reducing the proportion of population living below US$1.25 a day at 2005 international prices to 3 percent by 2030. This paper reviews different projection methods and estimates the global poverty rate of 2030 modifying Ravallion (2013)'s approach in that it introduces country-specific economic and population growth rates and takes into account the effect of changes in within-country inequality. This paper then identifies key obstacles to meeting the target and proposes a simple intermediate growth target under which the global poverty rate can be reduced to 3 percent by 2030. The findings of the analysis lend support to Basu (2013)'s argument that accelerating growth is not enough and sharing prosperity within and across countries is essential to end extreme poverty in one generation.

Suggested Citation

  • Yoshida, Nobuo & Uematsu, Hiroki & Sobrado, Carlos E., 2014. "Is extreme poverty going to end ? an analytical framework to evaluate progress in ending extreme poverty," Policy Research Working Paper Series 6740, The World Bank.
  • Handle: RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:6740
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Dollar, David & Kraay, Aart, 2002. "Growth Is Good for the Poor," Journal of Economic Growth, Springer, vol. 7(3), pages 195-225, September.
    2. Shaohua Chen & Martin Ravallion, 2010. "The Developing World is Poorer than We Thought, But No Less Successful in the Fight Against Poverty," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 125(4), pages 1577-1625.
    3. Dhongde, Shatakshee & Minoiu, Camelia, 2013. "Global Poverty Estimates: A Sensitivity Analysis," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 1-13.
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    Blog mentions

    As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:
    1. Aura-t-on éliminé l’extrême pauvreté dans le monde en 2030 ?
      by ? in D'un champ l'autre on 2014-01-15 00:58:00
    2. Comment réduire la pauvreté dans un monde plus riche ?
      by ? in D'un champ l'autre on 2014-05-09 04:34:00

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Anderson, Edward & d'Orey, Maria Ana Jalles & Duvendack, Maren & Esposito, Lucio, 2018. "Does Government Spending Affect Income Poverty? A Meta-regression Analysis," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 60-71.
    2. Zorobabel Bicaba & Zuzana Brixiova & Mthuli Ncube, 2016. "Eliminating Extreme Poverty in Africa: Trends, Policies and the Role of International Organizations," SALDRU Working Papers 170, Southern Africa Labour and Development Research Unit, University of Cape Town.

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