Current account and fiscal imbalances in the Euro-area: Siamese twins in an asymmetrical currency union
In this paper a model connecting fiscal and external imbalances in Euro peripheral countries is presented. The underlying idea is that, after the negative shock of the 2007 financial crisis, the current account position constitutes the main element in originating different behavior of foreign lenders toward single countries. Once the interaction between the two has started, it turns into a never ending self-fulfilling process. For peripheral countries, positive results of fiscal retrenchments and real devaluation to restore stability and stop capital outflows are subject to unlikely conditions that undermine the improvements of public accounts. The choice governments face is therefore, at least in the short run and in recessive conditions, either to restore the equilibrium of public finance, or to counteract the real shocks coming from the crisis. This conclusion suggests to adopt shared policy instruments to contrast centrifugal forces in EMU.
|Date of creation:||Oct 2012|
|Date of revision:|
|Contact details of provider:|| Postal: Piazza S.Francesco,7 - 53100 Siena|
Web page: http://www.deps.unisi.it/
More information through EDIRC
References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
- Michael R. Pakko, 1999.
"Do high interest rates stem capital outflows?,"
1999-002, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
- Giancarlo Corsetti & Gernot J. Müller, 2005.
"Twin Deficits: Squaring Theory, Evidence and Common Sense,"
Economics Working Papers
ECO2005/22, European University Institute.
- Giancarlo Corsetti & Gernot J. Müller, 2006. "Twin deficits: squaring theory, evidence and common sense," Economic Policy, CEPR;CES;MSH, vol. 21(48), pages 597-638, October.
- Silvia Merler & Jean Pisani-Ferry, 2012.
"Sudden stops in the euro area,"
- Robert J. Barro, 1988.
"The Ricardian Approach to Budget Deficits,"
728, Queen's University, Department of Economics.
- Guillermo A. Calvo, 1998. "Capital Flows and Capital-Market Crises: The Simple Economics of Sudden Stops," Journal of Applied Economics, Universidad del CEMA, vol. 0, pages 35-54, November.
- Pietro Alessandrini & Michele Fratianni & Andrew Hughes Hallett & Andrea Filippo Presbitero, 2012. "External imbalances and financial fragility in the euro area," Mo.Fi.R. Working Papers 66, Money and Finance Research group (Mo.Fi.R.) - Univ. Politecnica Marche - Dept. Economic and Social Sciences.
When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:usi:wpaper:659. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Fabrizio Becatti)
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.