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Capital Account Liberalization and Dynamic Price Discovery: Evidence from Chinese Cross-Listed Stocks

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  • Chan, Mark K.
  • Kwok, Simon

Abstract

We analyze the effects of a recent financial reform that enables cross-market investment between Hong Kong and Shanghai stock exchanges. Using a vector error-correction model, we found that the reform announcement considerably narrows the equilibrium level of price disparity and strengthens the price comovement of shares that are cross-listed in both markets. First, there is a substantial increase in the number of cross-listed firms with cointegrated share prices, and the estimated equilibrium relationship is in support of the relative law of one price. Second, our model predicts that the price disparity narrows by as much as 40 percent in equilibrium. Third, we found that both markets adjust in response to a disequilibrium in price disparity, leading to a sizable error-correction activity. The Shanghai market contributes to approximately two-thirds of the price discovery process. Competition and informativeness of trading affect the relative role of price discovery in each market.

Suggested Citation

  • Chan, Mark K. & Kwok, Simon, 2014. "Capital Account Liberalization and Dynamic Price Discovery: Evidence from Chinese Cross-Listed Stocks," Working Papers 2014-08, University of Sydney, School of Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:syd:wpaper:2014-08
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    Cited by:

    1. Jia Wu & Jiada Lin & Zhenyu Yang & Luo Dong, 2021. "Effects of cross‐border capital flows on stock returns of dual‐listed firms in mainland China and Hong Kong: Evidence from a natural experiment," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(2), pages 212-240, May.
    2. Yingwen Deng & Ole‐Kristian Hope & Cyndia Wang & Min Zhang, 2022. "Capital market liberalization and auditors' accounting adjustments: Evidence from a quasi‐experiment," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 49(1-2), pages 215-248, January.
    3. Xu, Hao & Li, Songsong, 2023. "What impacts foreign capital flows to China's stock markets? Evidence from financial risk spillover networks," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 559-577.
    4. Chan, Marc K. & Kwok, Simon, 2018. "Connecting the markets? Recent evidence on China’s capital account liberalization," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 417-428.
    5. Burdekin, Richard C.K. & Siklos, Pierre L., 2018. "Quantifying the impact of the November 2014 Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 156-163.
    6. Li, Hong & Shi, Yanlin, 2021. "A new unique information share measure with applications on cross-listed Chinese banks," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    7. Chan, Marc K. & Kwok, Simon, 2017. "Risk-sharing, market imperfections, asset prices: Evidence from China’s stock market liberalization," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 166-187.
    8. Sun, Guanglin & Yao, Xiaoyang & Li, Jianfeng & Lu, Tongyu, 2023. "Risk linkages between China's stock market and APEC stock markets under China's market liberalization," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    9. John Fan Zhang, 2022. "The Market Reaction to Cross‐border Listings: Evidence from AH Listed Firms," China & World Economy, Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 30(6), pages 183-218, November.
    10. Yang-Chao Wang & Jui-Jung Tsai & Qiaoqiao Li, 2017. "Policy Impact on the Chinese Stock Market: From the 1994 Bailout Policies to the 2015 Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 5(1), pages 1-19, January.
    11. Qiuyuan Lei & Muhammad Umer Quddoos Attari & Mustansar Hayat & Muhammad Munir Ahmad & Abdul Haseeb & Amir Rafique, 2023. "Mapping the Themes Underlying the Literature on Cross-Listing of Shares—A Contemporary Corporate Strategy of Sustainable Growth," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(12), pages 1-26, June.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Capital account liberalization; co-integration; vector error-correction model; cross-listing; Chinese A-H shares;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models

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