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Causal Relationship between Stock Prices and Exchange Rates

  • Alagidede, Paul
  • Panagiotidis, Theodore
  • Zhang, Xu

This paper investigates the nature of the causal linkage between stock markets and foreign exchange markets in Australia, Canada, Japan, Switzerland, and UK from 1992:1 to 2005:12. Recently developed cointegration tests are employed and no evidence of a long-run relationship between the variables is found. Three variations of the Granger causality test are carried out and causality from exchange rates to stock prices is found for Canada, Switzerland, and United Kingdom; weak causality in the other direction is found only for Switzerland. The Hiemstra-Jones test is used to examine possible nonlinear causality and the results indicate causality from stock prices to exchange rates in Japan and weak causality of the reverse direction in Switzerland.

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Paper provided by University of Stirling, Division of Economics in its series Stirling Economics Discussion Papers with number 2010-05.

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Date of creation: Feb 2010
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:stl:stledp:2010-05
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Division of Economics, University of Stirling, Stirling, Scotland FK9 4LA

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