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Trends in the relation between regional convergence and economic growth in EU

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  • Lucian Liviu Albu

    (Institute for Economic Forecasting, Romanian Academy)

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to investigate the relation between regional convergence inside of countries in EU and economic growth, and, based on it, to establish some relevant behavioural regimes. As data sources, we are using data from NUTS 2, EUROSAT, for the period 2000-2014. Thus, initially a number of 276 regions grouped in 28 countries were considered. Then, because six countries (Cyprus, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, and Malta) are not divided in regions in NUTS 2 we made few aggregations, finally resulting 24 countries or groups of countries. As usually in specialised literature, to study the correlation between the real convergence and economic growth we focused on the dynamics of GDP per capita expressed in case of EU in PPS (Purchasing Power Standard). On the one hand, in order to estimate a trend of convergence/divergence among regions within a country or group of countries we used the dynamics of the coefficient of variation. On the other hand, within EU, we used for each country or group of countries the dynamics of the ratio between the individual level of GDP per capita and the average EU GDP per capita in order to evaluate how the position of a country changed. Based on such methodology, we succeeded to elaborate a general typology that permitted us to classify countries of EU in four major groups: 1) countries that improved their position in EU (as GDP per capita), but by sacrificing the regional convergence; 2) countries in which it was registered a regional convergence, but by worsening their position in EU; 3) countries for which both their position in EU was decreasing and a regional divergence registered (the most unfavourable dynamics); 4) countries for which both their position in EU was increasing and a regional convergence was registered (the most favourable dynamics).

Suggested Citation

  • Lucian Liviu Albu, 2016. "Trends in the relation between regional convergence and economic growth in EU," Working Papers of Institute for Economic Forecasting 161101, Institute for Economic Forecasting.
  • Handle: RePEc:rjr:wpiecf:161101
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    Cited by:

    1. Mihaela NECULITA & Dragos Sebastian CRISTEA, 2019. "Divergences in the European Union," Economics and Applied Informatics, "Dunarea de Jos" University of Galati, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, issue 3, pages 43-50.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    growth; convergence; nonlinear model; GDP per capita; behavioural regimes;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C31 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models; Quantile Regressions; Social Interaction Models
    • E17 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • O15 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Economic Development: Human Resources; Human Development; Income Distribution; Migration
    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence
    • O52 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Europe

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