IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ris/nereus/2024_012.html

Importações e Mudanças Estruturais na Indústria Brasileira, 2003-2018: Uma Análise de Decomposição Estrutural

Author

Listed:
  • Gustavo Henrique Leite Castro

    (Departamento de Economia, Universidade de São Paulo)

  • Carlos Roberto Azzoni

    (Departamento de Economia, Universidade de São Paulo)

Abstract

As importações e as mudanças estruturais na indústria têm sido objeto de intenso debate acadêmico e político, dada sua importância para o crescimento econômico. Este estudo apresenta os resultados de uma Análise de Decomposição Estrutural (SDA) aplicada à indústria brasileira no período de 2003 a 2018, com o objetivo de identificar os impactos das mudanças estruturais sobre as importações industriais. Utilizando as matrizes de insumo-produto disponibilizadas pelo Núcleo de Economia Regional e Urbana da USP (Nereus), a pesquisa destaca as disparidades entre diferentes setores industriais durante os ciclos cambiais de valorização (2003-2010) e desvalorização (2011-2018). Os resultados mostraram que o componente de demanda final é relevante para explicar a variação das importações de todos os setores da indústria. Apesar da taxa de câmbio desvalorizada no segundo ciclo, não houve mudanças significativas nos padrões de consumo, na intensidade de utilização de insumos importados e na dinâmica tecnológica da indústria brasileira.

Suggested Citation

  • Gustavo Henrique Leite Castro & Carlos Roberto Azzoni, 2024. "Importações e Mudanças Estruturais na Indústria Brasileira, 2003-2018: Uma Análise de Decomposição Estrutural," TD NEREUS 12-2024, Núcleo de Economia Regional e Urbana da Universidade de São Paulo (NEREUS).
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:nereus:2024_012
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.usp.br/nereus/wp-content/uploads/TD_NEREUS_12_2024.pdf
    File Function: Full text
    Download Restriction: ris
    File URL: http://www.usp.br/nereus/?txtdiscussao=td-nereus-12-2024
    File Function: Full text
    Download Restriction: ris
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Luiz Carlos Bresser-Pereira, 2020. "Neutralizing the Dutch disease," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(2), pages 298-316, April.
    2. Maximo Camacho & Gabriel Perez-Quiros, 2014. "Commodity Prices and the Business Cycle in Latin America: Living and Dying by Commodities?," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(2), pages 110-137, March.
    3. Erik Dietzenbacher & Bart Los, 1998. "Structural Decomposition Techniques: Sense and Sensitivity," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(4), pages 307-324.
    4. Luiz Bresser-Pereira, 2012. "Summing Up Structuralist Development Macroeconomics and New Developmentalism," Challenge, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(5), pages 59-78.
    5. Erten, Bilge & Ocampo, José Antonio, 2013. "Super Cycles of Commodity Prices Since the Mid-Nineteenth Century," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 14-30.
    6. Carrington, Sarah J. & Herrero Olarte, Susana & Urbina, Gabriel, 2023. "Commodity cycle management in Latin America: The importance of resilience in face of vulnerability," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Peter Buchholz & Friedrich-W. Wellmer & Dennis Bastian & Maren Liedtke, 2020. "Leaning against the wind: low-price benchmarks for acting anticyclically in the metal markets," Mineral Economics, Springer;Raw Materials Group (RMG);Luleå University of Technology, vol. 33(1), pages 81-100, July.
    2. Nishijima, Daisuke, 2017. "The role of technology, product lifetime, and energy efficiency in climate mitigation: A case study of air conditioners in Japan," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 340-347.
    3. Ning Chang & Michael L. Lahr, 2016. "Changes in China’s production-source CO 2 emissions: insights from structural decomposition analysis and linkage analysis," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(2), pages 224-242, June.
    4. Shigemi Kagawa & Yuriko Goto & Sangwon Suh & Keisuke Nansai & Yuki Kudoh, 2012. "Accounting for Changes in Automobile Gasoline Consumption in Japan: 2000–2007," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 1(1), pages 1-27, December.
    5. Celal Bayari, 2016. "Economic Geography of the Australian Mining Industry," Tijdschrift voor Economische en Sociale Geografie, Royal Dutch Geographical Society KNAG, vol. 107(5), pages 552-566, December.
    6. Freire Junior, Clovis, 2017. "Promoting structural transformation: Strategic diversification vs laissez-faire approach," MERIT Working Papers 2017-037, United Nations University - Maastricht Economic and Social Research Institute on Innovation and Technology (MERIT).
    7. Flechtner, Svenja & Middelanis, Martin, 2024. "The role of the commodity price boom in shaping public social spending: Evidence from Latin America," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 182(C).
    8. Jesper Stage, 2002. "Structural Shifts In Namibian Energy Use: An Input‐Output Approach," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 70(6), pages 1103-1125, September.
    9. Xie, Rui & Wang, Fangfang & Chevallier, Julien & Zhu, Bangzhu & Zhao, Guomei, 2018. "Supply-side structural effects of air pollutant emissions in China: A comparative analysis," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 89-95.
    10. Duarte, Rosa & Pinilla, Vicente & Serrano, Ana, 2014. "The water footprint of the Spanish agricultural sector: 1860–2010," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 200-207.
    11. Marco Gallegati, 2019. "A system for dating long wave phases in economic development," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 29(3), pages 803-822, July.
    12. Jan Oosterhaven, 2024. "A decomposition of economic growth decompositions," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 73(4), pages 1395-1408, December.
    13. Arunima Malik & Jun Lan, 2016. "The role of outsourcing in driving global carbon emissions," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(2), pages 168-182, June.
    14. Richard Wood, 2011. "Construction, Stability And Predictability Of An Input-Output Time-Series For Australia," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(2), pages 175-211.
    15. Shigemi Kagawa & Hajime Inamura & Yuichi Moriguchi, 2002. "The Invisible Multipliers of Joint-products," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(2), pages 185-203, June.
    16. Wen, Le & Guang, Fengtao & Sharp, Basil, 2021. "Dynamics in Aotearoa New Zealand’s energy consumption between 2006/2007 and 2012/2013," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).
    17. Oscar V. De la Torre-Torres & Evaristo Galeana-Figueroa & José Álvarez-García, 2021. "A Markov-Switching VSTOXX Trading Algorithm for Enhancing EUR Stock Portfolio Performance," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(9), pages 1-28, May.
    18. Yen-Yin Chen & Jung-Hua Wu, 2008. "Simple Keynesian input–output structural decomposition analysis using weighted Shapley value resolution," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 42(4), pages 879-892, December.
    19. Cavicchioli, Maddalena, 2024. "A matrix unified framework for deriving various impulse responses in Markov switching VAR: Evidence from oil and gas markets," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 29(C).
    20. Liu, H. & Polenske, K. R. & Guilhoto, J. J. M. & Xi, Y., 2011. "Direct and indirect energy consumption in China and the United States," MPRA Paper 37960, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • R10 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - General

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ris:nereus:2024_012. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Inacio F Araujo (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/neuspbr.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.