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Physical Capital Accumulation in Asia-12: Past Trends and Future Projection

Author

Listed:
  • Shioji, Etsuro

    (Hitotsubashi University)

  • Khai, Vu Tuan

    (Seikei University)

Abstract

The pace of capital accumulation in East Asia has simply been stunning. This paper investigates sources of this fast accumulation and make projections for the future to see if the trend is likely to continue. East Asian economies under consideration are the People's Republic of China; Hong Kong, China; Indonesia; the Republic of Korea; Malaysia, the Philippines; Singapore; Taipei,China; Thailand; and Viet Nam, including India and Pakistan from South Asia. It estimates a "convergence" equation for physical capital per capita, which is derived from an open economy growth model, using a pooled cross-country, across-decade sample of the entire world. Based on the estimation results, the paper decomposes past growth in physical capital per capita of the emerging Asian economies. The paper also conducts projections for the next 2 decades and study determinants of the investment rate for those economies.

Suggested Citation

  • Shioji, Etsuro & Khai, Vu Tuan, 2011. "Physical Capital Accumulation in Asia-12: Past Trends and Future Projection," ADB Economics Working Paper Series 240, Asian Development Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:adbewp:0240
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Horioka, Charles Yuji & Terada-Hagiwara, Akiko, 2012. "The determinants and long-term projections of saving rates in Developing Asia," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 24(2), pages 128-137.
    2. Charles Yuji Horioka & Akiko Terada- Hagiwara, 2013. "Savings and investment," Chapters, in: Hal Hill & Maria Socorro Gochoco-Bautista (ed.), Asia Rising, chapter 5, pages 137-153, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    3. Wang, Feng & Liu, Xiying & Nguyen, Tue Anh, 2018. "Evaluating the economic impacts and feasibility of China's energy cap: Based on an Analytic General Equilibrium Model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 114-126.
    4. Karel Brůna & Jiří Pour, 2023. "Population aging and structural over/underinvestment," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(4), pages 2339-2383, August.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    capital accumulation; East Asia; investment rate; open economy growth model; physical capital per capita;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • O16 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment; Corporate Finance and Governance
    • O53 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Asia including Middle East

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