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Two Distinct Seasonally Fractionally Differenced Periodic Processes

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  • Bensalma, Ahmed

Abstract

This article is devoted to study the e¤ects of the S-periodical fractional di¤erencing filter (1-L^S)^Dt . To put this e¤ect in evidence, we have derived the periodic auto-covariance functions of two distinct univariate seasonally fractionally di¤erenced periodic models. A multivariate representation of periodically correlated process is exploited to provide the exact and approximated expression auto-covariance of each models. The distinction between the models is clearly obvious through the expression of periodic auto-covariance function. Besides producing di¤erent autocovariance functions, the two models di¤er in their implications. In the first model, the seasons of the multivariate series are separately fractionally integrated. In the second model, however, the seasons for the univariate series are fractionally co-integrated. On the simulated sample, for each models, with the same parameters, the empirical periodic autocovariance are calculated and graphically represented for illustrating the results and support the comparison between the two models.

Suggested Citation

  • Bensalma, Ahmed, 2018. "Two Distinct Seasonally Fractionally Differenced Periodic Processes," MPRA Paper 84969, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:84969
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    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/84969/1/MPRA_paper_84969.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    4. Rebecca J. Sela & Clifford M. Hurvich, 2009. "Computationally efficient methods for two multivariate fractionally integrated models," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(6), pages 631-651, November.
    5. Peter Boswijk, H. & Franses, Philip Hans, 1995. "Testing for periodic integration," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 48(3-4), pages 241-248, June.
    6. Henry L. Gray & Nien‐Fan Zhang & Wayne A. Woodward, 1989. "On Generalized Fractional Processes," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 10(3), pages 233-257, May.
    7. Granger, Clive W J, 1986. "Developments in the Study of Cointegrated Economic Variables," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 48(3), pages 213-228, August.
    8. Franses, Philip Hans & Ooms, Marius, 1997. "A periodic long-memory model for quarterly UK inflation," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 13(1), pages 117-126, March.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Periodically correlated process; Fraction integration; seasonal fractional integration; Periodic fractional integration;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C1 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General
    • C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods: General
    • C2 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C5 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling
    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
    • C6 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling

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