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Granger Causality and the Factors underlying the Role of Younger Generations in Economic, Social and Political Changes in Arab Countries

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  • Driouchi, Ahmed
  • Harkat, Tahar

Abstract

This paper examines the causality between social, technological, and political variables with macroeconomic variables in 19 Arab countries: Algeria, Bahrain, Egypt, Iraq, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Libya, Mauritania, Morocco, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Sudan, Syria, Tunisia, United Arab Emirates, Palestine, and Yemen. It uses the Granger causality test to determine causal relationships using data between years 1962 and 2015. Empirical findings reveal unique causality profile for each of the Arab countries. Results also suggest the most important variables in the determination of the economic growth in Arab economies, separately. Variables related to the demography of the new generation, ICTs and use of social media appear to be playing important causal roles, in the sense of Granger tests. This implies that economic, future social and political decisions need to account for these findings and that policies need to be geared towards for further inclusion of the aspirations and expectations of the youth.

Suggested Citation

  • Driouchi, Ahmed & Harkat, Tahar, 2017. "Granger Causality and the Factors underlying the Role of Younger Generations in Economic, Social and Political Changes in Arab Countries," MPRA Paper 77218, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:77218
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Granger Causality and the Factors underlying the Role of Younger Generations in Economic, Social and Political Changes in Arab Countries
      by pmakdissi in NEP-ARA blog on 2017-03-23 03:09:08

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    Cited by:

    1. Harkat, Tahar, 2020. "Causality between Energy Consumption and Economic Development: Empirical Evidence from Morocco," MPRA Paper 98313, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Harkat, Tahar, 2019. "The Impact of Natural Gas Consumption on Industry Value Added in the Mediterranean Region," MPRA Paper 92492, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Harkat, Tahar & Driouchi, Ahmed, 2018. "Understanding Youth in Arab Countries:," MPRA Paper 83843, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Harkat, Tahar & Driouchi, Ahmed, 2018. "فهم الشباب في البلدان العربية [Understanding Youth in Arab Countries]," MPRA Paper 84184, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    JEL classification:

    • I25 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - Education and Economic Development
    • J62 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Job, Occupational and Intergenerational Mobility; Promotion

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