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Impactos de alterações nas exportações brasileiras de carnes sobre a economia brasileira
[Impacts of changes in the Brazilian meat exports on the Brazilian economy]

Author

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  • Bliska, Flávia Maria de Mello
  • Guilhoto, Joaquim José Martins

Abstract

This work analyzes how changes in domestic and foreign macroeconomic variables can impact the Brazilian meat exports and consequently the Brazilian economy. This study is conducted mainly in two stages: a) a Vector Auto-Regression (VAR) model is used to evaluate the impact of changes in the domestic and foreign macroeconomic variables on Brazilian beef and poultry exports; b) next the results obtained in the VAR model are applied in an Input-Output model to evaluate the changes in the levels of importance of the different production sectors, and especially in the animal-raising’s sectors and slaughter and meat process industries. The results indicate that changes in macroeconomic variables can cause significant impacts on Brazilian meat exports, which can affect the Brazilian economy mainly in the following sectors: corn farming; cattle, poultry and other animal-raising's sectors; other farm products; chemistry; pharmacy and veterinary; plastic goods; beef, poultry and other meat process industries; other food products; commerce and transport; public usefulness and services.

Suggested Citation

  • Bliska, Flávia Maria de Mello & Guilhoto, Joaquim José Martins, 2000. "Impactos de alterações nas exportações brasileiras de carnes sobre a economia brasileira [Impacts of changes in the Brazilian meat exports on the Brazilian economy]," MPRA Paper 54231, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:54231
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Meat exports; Brazilian economy; foreign market; animal raising; an econometric and input-output analysis.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C67 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Input-Output Models
    • D57 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Input-Output Tables and Analysis
    • R15 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Econometric and Input-Output Models; Other Methods

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