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Comparative analysis of monetary and fiscal Policy: a case study of Pakistan

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  • Jawaid, Syed Tehseen
  • Arif, Imtiaz
  • Naeemullah, Syed Muhammad

Abstract

This study investigates the comparative effect of fiscal and monetary policy on economic growth in Pakistan using annual time series data from 1981 to 2009. The cointegration result suggests that both monetary and fiscal policy have significant and positive effect on economic growth. The coefficient of monetary policy is much greater than fiscal policy which implies that monetary policy has more concerned with economic growth than fiscal policy in Pakistan. The implication of the study is that the policy makers should focus more on monetary policy than fiscal to enhance economic growth. The role of fiscal policy can be more effective for enhancing economic growth by eliminating corruption, leakages of resources and inappropriate use of resources. However, the combination and harmonization of both monetary and fiscal policy are highly recommended.

Suggested Citation

  • Jawaid, Syed Tehseen & Arif, Imtiaz & Naeemullah, Syed Muhammad, 2010. "Comparative analysis of monetary and fiscal Policy: a case study of Pakistan," MPRA Paper 30850, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Dec 2010.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:30850
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Elliott, J W, 1975. "The Influence of Monetary and Fiscal Actions on Total Spending: The St. Louis Total Spending Equation Revisited," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 7(2), pages 181-192, May.
    2. A. O. Olaloye & S. I. Ikhide, 1995. "Economic sustainability and the role of fiscal and monetary policies in a depressed economy: The case of Nigeria," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 3(2), pages 89-100.
    3. Johansen, Soren, 1988. "Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 12(2-3), pages 231-254.
    4. Leonall C. Andersen & Jerry L. Jordan, 1968. "Monetary and fiscal actions: a test of their relative importance in economic stabilization," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 50(Nov), pages 11-23.
    5. Johansen, Soren & Juselius, Katarina, 1990. "Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference on Cointegration--With Applications to the Demand for Money," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 52(2), pages 169-210, May.
    6. Ali F. Darrat, 1984. "The Dominant Influence of Fiscal Actions in Developing Countries," Eastern Economic Journal, Eastern Economic Association, vol. 10(3), pages 271-284, Jul-Sep.
    7. Shahid Ali & Somia Irum & Asghar Ali, 2008. "Whether Fiscal Stance or Monetary Policy is Effective for Economic Growth in Case of South Asian Countries?," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 47(4), pages 791-799.
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    Cited by:

    1. Emmanuel Dodzi K. Havi & Patrick Enu, 2014. "The Effect of Fiscal Policy and Monetary Policy on Ghana’s Economic Growth: Which Policy Is More Potent?," International Journal of Empirical Finance, Research Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 3(2), pages 61-75.
    2. Adewale Emmanuel Adegoriola & Peter Siyan, 2015. "The Relative Impact of Money Supply and Government Expenditure on Economic Growth in Nigeria," Economy, Asian Online Journal Publishing Group, vol. 2(3), pages 49-57.
    3. Şen, Hüseyin & Kaya, Ayşe, 2015. "The relative effectiveness of Monetary and Fiscal Policies on growth: what does long-run SVAR model tell us?," MPRA Paper 65903, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 01 Aug 2015.
    4. Syed Tehseen Jawaid & Faisal Sultan Qadri & Nasir Ali, 2011. "Monetary-Fiscal-Trade Policy and Economic Growth in Pakistan: Time Series Empirical Investigation," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 1(3), pages 133-138, September.
    5. David Umoru & Moses A. Erhi, 2017. "St. Louis Model for Macroeconomic Policy Determination in Relation to Employment Generation in a Developing Economy: Some Simulation Results," Academic Journal of Economic Studies, Faculty of Finance, Banking and Accountancy Bucharest,"Dimitrie Cantemir" Christian University Bucharest, vol. 3(3), pages 24-32, September.
    6. Tekilu Tadesse & Tesfaye Melaku, 2019. "Analysis Of The Relative Impact Of Monetary And Fiscal Policies On Economic Growth In Ethiopia, Using Ardl Approach To Co-Integration: Which Policy Is More Potent?," Copernican Journal of Finance & Accounting, Uniwersytet Mikolaja Kopernika, vol. 8(2), pages 87-115.
    7. Mariam Abbas Soharwardi & Javeria Sarwar & Muhammad Imran Khan & Mariam Miraj, 2022. "Fiscal and Monetary Policy Dilemma in Pakistan to Support Economic Growth," Journal of Economic Impact, Science Impact Publishers, vol. 4(3), pages 233-243.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Monetary Policy; Fiscal Policy; Economic Growth.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H30 - Public Economics - - Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents - - - General
    • E00 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General - - - General
    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General

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