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¿Es posible alcanzar los Objetivos del Milenio en Colombia? Una evaluación de estrategias de focalización y financiamiento

  • Hernandez, Gustavo Adolfo
  • Nunez, Jairo
  • Gonzalez, Nestor

Using the methodology of simulations from a model dynamic computable general equilibrium, which includes a module that involves behavior of the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) assesses the potential macroeconomic and social effects of different ways to achieve those objectives in Colombia. Given the complementarity between each of the objectives, the strategy to achieve in education, health and water supply and sewage could be financed through taxation, since there is serious problems implementation when funding is raised through debt. From a micro-simulation exercise assesses the impact of such strategies on poverty and income distribution, which reported modest progress in reducing poverty, due, primarily to positive behavior in the rate of unemployment on poverty; the results are encouraging, because it is very close to meeting the objective. This makes clear that a country like Colombia requires more than achieving the other MDGs, to achieve the goals in poverty.

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Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 28432.

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Date of creation: 2007
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Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:28432
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  1. Robinson, Sherman & Cattaneo, Andrea & El-Said, Moataz, 2000. "Updating and estimating a Social Accounting Matrix using cross entropy methods," TMD discussion papers 58, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
  2. Attanasio, Orazio & Goldberg, Pinelopi K. & Pavcnik, Nina, 2004. "Trade reforms and wage inequality in Colombia," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(2), pages 331-366, August.
  3. Ligia Melo & Héctor Zárate & Juana Tellez, 2006. "El ahorro de los hogares en Colombia," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 002454, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA.
  4. Jairo Nuñez & Silvia Espinosa, 2005. "Pro-Poor Growth And Pro-Poor Programs In Colombia," DOCUMENTOS CEDE 003379, UNIVERSIDAD DE LOS ANDES-CEDE.
  5. Eduardo Lora & Ugo Panizza, 2002. "Structural Reforms in Latin America under Scrutiny," Research Department Publications 4303, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department.
  6. Leonardo Villar & Hernán Rincón, . "The Colombian Economy in the nineties: Capital Flows and Foreign Exchange Regimes," Borradores de Economia 149, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
  7. Jorge Saba Arbache, 2001. "Trade Liberalisation and Labor Markets in Developing Countries: Theory and Evidence," Studies in Economics 0112, School of Economics, University of Kent.
  8. Löfgren, Hans & Harris, Rebecca Lee & Robinson, Sherman, 2001. "A standard computable general equilibrium (CGE) model in GAMS," TMD discussion papers 75, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
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