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Efectul Balassa-Samuelson in Romania
[Balassa-Samuelson effect in Romania]

Author

Listed:
  • Dumitru, Ionut

Abstract

This paper deals with the Balassa-Samuelson effect in Romania. Using the cointegration technique, the main conclusions of the paper are that in the period 1998-2006 the average annual rate of inflation generated by the Balassa-Samuelson effect in Romania was between 0.11% in 2005 and 0.9% in 2000 in the case of the classical model (0.4% on average); in the extended model, which is considered more appropriate by us, the impact on inflation is higher and ranges between 0.69% in 2005 and 4.76% in 2000 (2.18% on average in 1998-2006). Regarding the impact of the Balassa-Samuelson effect on the real appreciation of the exchange rate, the results of the paper revealed that the real appreciation of the exchange rate due to the Balassa-Samuelson effect was between 0.24% and 1.94% in the case of the classical model and between 0.73% and 5.06% in the case of the extended model (2.31% on average in 1998-2006). The paper revealed also that the regulated prices and the price convergence play an important role in the Balassa-Samuelson effect in Romania.

Suggested Citation

  • Dumitru, Ionut, 2008. "Efectul Balassa-Samuelson in Romania [Balassa-Samuelson effect in Romania]," MPRA Paper 18611, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:18611
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. De Gregorio, Jose & Giovannini, Alberto & Krueger, Thomas H, 1994. "The Behavior of Nontradable-Goods Prices in Europe: Evidence and Interpretation," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 2(3), pages 284-305, October.
    2. Égert, Balázs, 2002. "Investigating the Balassa-Samuelson hypothesis in transition: Do we understand what we see?," BOFIT Discussion Papers 6/2002, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
    3. Taylor Mark P. & Sarno Lucio, 2001. "Real Exchange Rate Dynamics in Transition Economies: A Nonlinear Analysis," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 5(3), pages 1-26, October.
    4. Egert, Balazs & Drine, Imed & Lommatzsch, Kirsten & Rault, Christophe, 2003. "The Balassa-Samuelson effect in Central and Eastern Europe: myth or reality?," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 552-572, September.
    5. Balázs Égert, 2002. "Investigating the Balassa‐Samuelson hypothesis in the transition: Do we understand what we see? A panel study," The Economics of Transition, The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, vol. 10(2), pages 273-309, July.
    6. Grafe, Clemens & Wyplosz, Charles, 1997. "The Real Exchange Rate in Transition Economies," CEPR Discussion Papers 1773, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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    Cited by:

    1. Lucian Claudiu ANGHEL & Florina – Magdalena PINZARU & Mihaela DINU, 2014. "Aspects of Price Competitiveness in the Context of Preparing for Accession to the Euro Zone. New Challenges for Entrepreneurs. Romania’s Case," Management Dynamics in the Knowledge Economy, College of Management, National University of Political Studies and Public Administration, vol. 2(3), pages 525-536, December.
    2. repec:nup:jrmdke:v:2:y:2014:i:3:p:525-536 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Lucian Claudiu ANGHEL & Florina PINZARU & Mihaela DINU & Laurentiu-Mihai TREAPAT, 2014. "Fixing the Central Parity and the Evolution of the Currency within the Exchange Rate Mechanism II in the Countries that Joined the Euro Zone," Management Dynamics in the Knowledge Economy, College of Management, National University of Political Studies and Public Administration, vol. 2(4), pages 21-40, April.
    4. Lucian Claudiu ANGHEL & Florina PÎNZARU & Laurentiu-Mihai TREAPAT, 2014. "The Evaluation of the Equilibrum Exchange Rate based on the Purchase Power, for Romania’s Case," Finante - provocarile viitorului (Finance - Challenges of the Future), University of Craiova, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, vol. 1(16), pages 124-130, December.

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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