IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/osk/wpaper/2513.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Minimum tax, Tax haven and Activity shifting

Author

Listed:
  • Jean Hindriks

    (CORE (LIDAM) and Economics School of Louvain, Université catholique de Louvain, Louvain-la-Neuve,Belgium)

  • Yukihiro Nishimura

    (Osaka University)

Abstract

New technologies and the globalization of the economy have facilitated tax avoidance through the shifting of profits by multinational enterprises (MNEs) to low-tax jurisdictions. We develop a three-country asymmetric tax competition model where, in addition to the conventional profit shifting to the tax haven, the high- and low-tax member (of an economic union) countries encourage MNEs to shift resources through the shifting of production activities and employment (activity shifting). We examine how the relative proportions of profit vs activity shifting are determined in the noncooperative equilibrium. We also examine the implications of the Global Minimum Tax (GMT).

Suggested Citation

  • Jean Hindriks & Yukihiro Nishimura, 2025. "Minimum tax, Tax haven and Activity shifting," Discussion Papers in Economics and Business 25-13, Osaka University, Graduate School of Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:osk:wpaper:2513
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www2.econ.osaka-u.ac.jp/econ_society/dp/2513.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hebous, Shafik & Keen, Michael, 2023. "Pareto-improving minimum corporate taxation," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).
    2. Pablo Fajgelbaum & Gene M. Grossman & Elhanan Helpman, 2015. "A Linder Hypothesis for Foreign Direct Investment," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 82(1), pages 83-121.
    3. Devereux, Michael P. & Lockwood, Ben & Redoano, Michela, 2008. "Do countries compete over corporate tax rates?," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(5-6), pages 1210-1235, June.
    4. Thomas Tørsløv & Ludvig Wier & Gabriel Zucman, 2023. "The Missing Profits of Nations," Post-Print halshs-04928943, HAL.
    5. Agrawal, David R. & Wildasin, David E., 2020. "Technology and tax systems," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 185(C).
    6. Thomas Tørsløv & Ludvig Wier & Gabriel Zucman, 2023. "The Missing Profits of Nations," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 90(3), pages 1499-1534.
    7. Dowd, Tim & Landefeld, Paul & Moore, Anne, 2017. "Profit shifting of U.S. multinationals," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(C), pages 1-13.
    8. Huizinga, Harry & Laeven, Luc, 2008. "International profit shifting within multinationals: A multi-country perspective," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(5-6), pages 1164-1182, June.
    9. Jean Hindriks & Yukihiro Nishimura, 2021. "Taxing multinationals: The scope for enforcement cooperation," Journal of Public Economic Theory, Association for Public Economic Theory, vol. 23(3), pages 487-509, June.
    10. Dhammika Dharmapala, 2020. "Do Multinational Firms Use Tax Havens to the Detriment of Other Countries?," CESifo Working Paper Series 8275, CESifo.
    11. Cremer, Helmuth & Gahvari, Firouz, 2000. "Tax evasion, fiscal competition and economic integration," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 44(9), pages 1633-1657, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Johannesen, Niels, 2022. "The global minimum tax," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 212(C).
    2. Delis, Fotis & Delis, Manthos D. & Laeven, Luc & Ongena, Steven, 2025. "Global evidence on profit shifting within firms and across time," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(2).
    3. Jean Hindriks & Yukihiro Nishimura, 2021. "Taxing multinationals: The scope for enforcement cooperation," Journal of Public Economic Theory, Association for Public Economic Theory, vol. 23(3), pages 487-509, June.
    4. Müller, Raphael & Spengel, Christoph & Vay, Heiko, 2020. "On the determinants and effects of corporate tax transparency: Review of an emerging literature," ZEW Discussion Papers 20-063, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    5. Le, Manh-Duc & Zamarian, Marco, 2025. "Tax-avoidance profit shifting by multinational firms: evidence from Vietnam," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 49(2).
    6. De Simone, Lisa & Giese, Henning & Koch, Reinald & Rehrl, Christoph, 2025. "Real effects of earnings stripping rules," arqus Discussion Papers in Quantitative Tax Research 306, arqus - Arbeitskreis Quantitative Steuerlehre.
    7. Hayato Kato & Hirofumi Okoshi, 2022. "Economic Integration And Agglomeration Of Multinational Production With Transfer Pricing," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 63(3), pages 1325-1355, August.
    8. Garcia-Bernardo, Javier & Janský, Petr, 2024. "Profit shifting of multinational corporations worldwide," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 177(C).
    9. Bakke, Julia Tropina & Hopland, Arnt Ove & Møen, Jarle, 2019. "Profit shifting and the effect of stricter transfer pricing regulation on tax revenue," Discussion Papers 2019/11, Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Business and Management Science.
    10. Fuest, Clemens & Hugger, Felix & Neumeier, Florian, 2022. "Corporate profit shifting and the role of tax havens: Evidence from German country-by-country reporting data," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 194(C), pages 454-477.
    11. Katarzyna Bilicka & Evgeniya Dubinina & Petr Janský, 2022. "Fiscal consequences of corporate tax avoidance," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2022-97, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    12. Vincent Vicard, 2023. "Profit Shifting, Returns on Foreign Direct Investments and Investment Income Imbalances," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 71(2), pages 369-414, June.
    13. Sebastian Beer & Ruud de Mooij & Li Liu, 2020. "International Corporate Tax Avoidance: A Review Of The Channels, Magnitudes, And Blind Spots," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 34(3), pages 660-688, July.
    14. Xue, Mantian, 2024. "Did the anti-avoidance rules curtail the profit shifting of foreign multinationals in China?," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    15. Xuyang Chen & Rui Sun, 2024. "The Global Minimum Tax, Investment Incentives and Asymmetric Tax Competition," Papers 2409.05397, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2025.
    16. Petr Janský & Miroslav Palanský, 2019. "Estimating the scale of profit shifting and tax revenue losses related to foreign direct investment," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 26(5), pages 1048-1103, October.
    17. Tibor Hanappi & Ana Cinta González Cabral, 2022. "The impact of the international tax reforms under Pillar One and Pillar Two on MNE’s investment costs," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 29(6), pages 1495-1526, December.
    18. Henk L. M. Kox, 2025. "Repairing a Historical Mistake in Bilateral FDI Statistics: A New Dataset Covering 2001–2022," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 33(5), pages 1093-1114, November.
    19. Barbara Bratta & Vera Santomartino & Paolo Acciari, 2024. "Assessing Profit Shifting Using Country-by-Country Reports: A Nonlinear Response to Tax Rate Differentials," National Tax Journal, University of Chicago Press, vol. 77(2), pages 349-380.
    20. Sarah Godar, 2018. "Tax Haven Investors and Corporate Profitability - Evidence of Profit Shifting by German-Based Affiliates of Multinational Firms," Working Papers IES 2018/12, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised Dec 2018.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • C72 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Game Theory and Bargaining Theory - - - Noncooperative Games
    • F23 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - Multinational Firms; International Business
    • F68 - International Economics - - Economic Impacts of Globalization - - - Policy
    • H25 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Business Taxes and Subsidies
    • H87 - Public Economics - - Miscellaneous Issues - - - International Fiscal Issues; International Public Goods

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:osk:wpaper:2513. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: The Economic Society of Osaka University (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/feosujp.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.