IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/nbp/nbpmis/186.html

Poland’s exceptional performance during the world economic crisis: New growth accounting evidence

Author

Listed:
  • Michał Gradzewicz
  • Jakub Growiec
  • Marcin Kolasa
  • Łukasz Postek
  • Paweł Strzelecki

Abstract

Using a growth accounting exercise based on new estimates of flows of capital and labor services in the Polish economy during the period 1995-2013, we study the consequences of the recent global economic crisis for the observed pace and structure of economic growth in Poland – a converging open economy which itself did not contribute to the breakout of the crisis. We thus provide a supply-side explanation why Poland fared so well during the world economic crisis. According to our results, the exceptional performance of the Polish economy in 2008-10 was an effect of several favorable circumstances. In particular, and unlike other European countries, it recorded both a marked increase in capital deepening and an improvement in workforce composition. We also find that the recent recession has not exerted any significant impact on the efficiency with which economic resources are used for production in Poland.

Suggested Citation

  • Michał Gradzewicz & Jakub Growiec & Marcin Kolasa & Łukasz Postek & Paweł Strzelecki, 2014. "Poland’s exceptional performance during the world economic crisis: New growth accounting evidence," NBP Working Papers 186, Narodowy Bank Polski.
  • Handle: RePEc:nbp:nbpmis:186
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://static.nbp.pl/publikacje/materialy-i-studia/186_en.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Enrico Marelli & Marcello Signorelli & Joanna Tyrowicz, 2012. "Crises and Joint Employment–Productivity Dynamics: A Comparative Perspective for European Countries," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 54(2), pages 361-394, June.
    2. Ray, Subhash C & Desli, Evangelia, 1997. "Productivity Growth, Technical Progress, and Efficiency Change in Industrialized Countries: Comment," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 87(5), pages 1033-1039, December.
    3. Thijs ten Raa & Pierre Mohnen, 2009. "Neoclassical Growth Accounting and Frontier Analysis: A Synthesis," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Input–Output Economics: Theory And Applications Featuring Asian Economies, chapter 19, pages 347-370, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    4. Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2009. "Varieties of Crises and Their Dates," Introductory Chapters, in: This Time Is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly, Princeton University Press.
    5. Mustapha K. Nabli, 2011. "The Great Recession and Developing Countries : Economic Impact and Growth Prospects," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 2539, April.
    6. Mary O'Mahony & Marcel P. Timmer, 2009. "Output, Input and Productivity Measures at the Industry Level: The EU KLEMS Database," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 119(538), pages 374-403, June.
    7. Charles Steindel, 2009. "Implications of the financial crisis for potential growth: past, present, and future," Staff Reports 408, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    8. repec:rnp:ecopol:09111 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. Madsen, Jakob B., 2010. "The anatomy of growth in the OECD since 1870," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 57(6), pages 753-767, September.
    10. Nicholas Oulton & María Sebastiá-Barriel, 2013. "Long and Short-Term Effects of the Financial Crisis on Labour Productivity, Capital and Output," CEP Discussion Papers dp1185, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
    11. Philip R Lane & Gian Maria Milesi-Ferretti, 2011. "The Cross-Country Incidence of the Global Crisis," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 59(1), pages 77-110, April.
    12. Nicholas Oulton & Sylaja Srinivasan, 2003. "Capital stocks, capital services, and depreciation: an integrated framework," Bank of England working papers 192, Bank of England.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Szewc-Rogalska, Alina & Jakiel, Tomasz, . "Zmiany strukturalne a wydajność pracy w krajach Europy Środkowej," Gospodarka Narodowa-The Polish Journal of Economics, Szkoła Główna Handlowa w Warszawie / SGH Warsaw School of Economics, vol. 2021(3).
    2. Michał Brzeziński & Michał Myck & Mateusz Najsztub, 2019. "Reevaluating distributional consequences of the transition to market economy in Poland: new results from combined household survey and tax return data," Working Papers 2019-18, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw.
    3. Alena Andrejovská & Jozef Glova, 2022. "Sustainability of Farms in EU Countries in the Context of Income Indicators: Regression Analysis Based on a New Classification," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 12(11), pages 1-14, November.
    4. Marcin Bielecki & Michał Brzoza-Brzezina & Marcin Kolasa, 2022. "Aging, Migration and Monetary Policy in Poland," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 1, pages 5-30.
    5. Paweł Strzelecki & Jakub Growiec & Robert Wyszyński, 2022. "The contribution of immigration from Ukraine to economic growth in Poland," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 158(2), pages 365-399, May.
    6. Paweł Bukowski & Filip Novokmet, 2021. "Between communism and capitalism: long-term inequality in Poland, 1892–2015," Journal of Economic Growth, Springer, vol. 26(2), pages 187-239, June.
    7. Bielecki, Marcin & Brzoza-Brzezina, Michał & Kolasa, Marcin, . "Wpływ procesu starzenia i migracji na polską politykę pieniężną," Gospodarka Narodowa-The Polish Journal of Economics, Szkoła Główna Handlowa w Warszawie / SGH Warsaw School of Economics, vol. 2022(1).
    8. Lorena Škuflić & Mira Krpan & Berislav Žmuk, 2018. "Migration and the economic crisis in the European Union member states: cluster analysis," Entrepreneurship and Sustainability Issues, VsI Entrepreneurship and Sustainability Center, vol. 6(2), pages 979-1000, December.
    9. Jakub Boratyński & Jacek Osiewalski, 2021. "Bayesian Estimation of Capital Stock and Depreciation in the Production Function Framework," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 13(4), pages 455-486, December.
    10. Dmytro Boyarchuk & Christopher A. Hartwell & Marek Dabrowski & Lyubov Akulenko & Dmytro Naumenko & Olena Pavlenko & Volodymyr Dubrovskiy & Andriy Savarets & Andriy Boytsun & Dmytro Yablonovskyi & Yvon, 2023. "Economic priorities in post-war Ukraine," CASE Reports 0506, CASE-Center for Social and Economic Research.
    11. Kotlewski Dariusz & Błażej Mirosław, 2020. "KLEMS growth accounting implemented in Poland," Statistics in Transition New Series, Statistics Poland, vol. 21(1), pages 95-122, March.
    12. Marcin Grela & Aleksandra Majchrowska & Tomasz Michałek & Jakub Mućk & Agnieszka Stążka-Gawrysiak & Grzegorz Tchorek & Marcin Wagner, 2017. "Is Central and Eastern Europe converging towards the EU-15?," NBP Working Papers 264, Narodowy Bank Polski.
    13. Dariusz Kotlewski, 2022. "Przesłanki za wykorzystaniem rachunkowości wzrostu gospodarczego w badaniu specjalizacji regionalnych," Ekonomista, Polskie Towarzystwo Ekonomiczne, issue 2, pages 235-258.
    14. Jan Hagemejer & Grzegorz Poniatowski & Agnieszka Pechcińska & Mehmet Burak Turgut & Adam mietanka, 2021. "Inwestycje i ich determinanty a wzrost gospodarczy Polski w dlugim okresie," CASE Reports 0505, CASE-Center for Social and Economic Research.
    15. Pawel Bukowski & Filip Novokmet, 2017. "Top Incomes during Wars, Communism and Capitalism: Poland 1892-2015," Working Papers halshs-02797835, HAL.
    16. Dariusz Kotlewski & Mirosław Błażej, 2020. "Sustainability of the convergence between Polish and EU developed economies in the light of KLEMS growth accounting," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, vol. 51(2), pages 121-142.
    17. Jakub Growiec & Michał Gradzewicz & Jan Hagemejer & Zofia Jankiewicz & Piotr Popowski & Katarzyna Puchalska & Paweł Strzelecki & Joanna Tyrowicz, 2015. "Rola usług rynkowych w procesach rozwojowych gospodarki Polski," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 2, pages 163-193.
    18. Alessandro Gallo & Silvia Pacei & Maria Rosaria Ferrante, 2024. "A Composite Inter-Temporal Economic Insecurity Index," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 175(2), pages 517-543, November.
    19. Jan Witajewski-Baltvilks, 2016. "Catching up in Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, vol. 47(4), pages 319-340.
    20. Aleksandra Kolasa, 2025. "On the effectiveness of quasi-universal transfers to older households: the case of Poland," The Journal of Economic Inequality, Springer;Society for the Study of Economic Inequality, vol. 23(1), pages 247-277, March.
    21. Błażej, Mirosław & Górajski, Mariusz & Ulrichs, Magdalena, 2025. "Microdata-based output gap estimation using business tendency surveys," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
    22. Alina Szewc-Rogalska & Tomasz Jakiel, 2021. "Zmiany strukturalne a wydajność pracy w krajach Europy Środkowej," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 3, pages 63-96.
    23. Dariusz Kotlewski & Mirosław Błażej, 2020. "KLEMS growth accounting implemented in Poland," Statistics in Transition New Series, Polish Statistical Association, vol. 21(1), pages 95-122, March.
    24. Brzezinski, Michal & Myck, Michał & Najsztub, Mateusz, 2022. "Sharing the gains of transition: Evaluating changes in income inequality and redistribution in Poland using combined survey and tax return data," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    25. Jabłońska, Julia & Mućk, Jakub, 2025. "Appetite for Destruction. A firm-level portrait of automation in Poland," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 391-402.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Stephen Millard & Anamaria Nicolae, 2014. "The effect of the financial crisis on TFP growth: a general equilibrium approach," Bank of England working papers 502, Bank of England.
    2. Nicholas Oulton, 2013. "Medium and long run prospects for UK growth in the aftermath of the financial crisis," Discussion Papers 1307, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    3. Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Luis Garicano & Tano Santos, 2013. "Political Credit Cycles: The Case of the Eurozone," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 27(3), pages 145-166, Summer.
    4. Bénétrix, Agustín S. & Lane, Philip R., 2013. "Fiscal cyclicality and EMU," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 164-176.
    5. Levieuge, Grégory & Lucotte, Yannick & Pradines-Jobet, Florian, 2021. "The cost of banking crises: Does the policy framework matter?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    6. Neslihan Kahyalar & Bazoumana Ouattara & Sami Fethi, 2020. "The Impact of Financial Crises on the Informal Economy: The Turkish Case," Athens Journal of Business & Economics, Athens Institute for Education and Research (ATINER), vol. 6(2), pages 145-172, April.
    7. Claessens, Stijn & Kose, M. Ayhan & Terrones, Marco E., 2012. "How do business and financial cycles interact?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(1), pages 178-190.
    8. Dieckelmann, Daniel, 2020. "Cross-border lending and the international transmission of banking crises," Discussion Papers 2020/13, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics.
    9. Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan & Elias Papaioannou & José-Luis Peydró, 2013. "Financial Regulation, Financial Globalization, and the Synchronization of Economic Activity," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 68(3), pages 1179-1228, June.
    10. Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas & Maurice Obstfeld, 2012. "Stories of the Twentieth Century for the Twenty-First," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 4(1), pages 226-265, January.
    11. Thorvardur Tjörvi Ólafsson & Thórarinn G. Pétursson, 2010. "Weathering the financial storm: The importance of fundamentals and flexibility," Economics Working Papers 2010-17, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    12. Anna Shostya, 2019. "The Global Financial Crisis in Transition Economies: The Role of Initial Conditions," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 47(1), pages 37-51, March.
    13. Burda, Michael C. & Severgnini, Battista, 2014. "Solow residuals without capital stocks," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 154-171.
    14. Kalemli-Ozcan, Sebnem & Papaioannou, Elias & Perri, Fabrizio, 2013. "Global banks and crisis transmission," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(2), pages 495-510.
    15. Davis, J. Scott & Mack, Adrienne & Phoa, Wesley & Vandenabeele, Anne, 2016. "Credit booms, banking crises, and the current account," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 360-377.
    16. Oulton, Nicholas & Wallis, Gavin, 2016. "Capital stocks and capital services: Integrated and consistent estimates for the United Kingdom, 1950–2013," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 117-125.
    17. Roszkowska Paulina & Prorokowski Łukasz, 2013. "Model of Financial Crisis Contagion: A Survey-based Simulation by Means of the Modified Kaplan-Meier Survival Plots," Folia Oeconomica Stetinensia, Sciendo, vol. 13(1), pages 22-55, December.
    18. Halmai, Péter, 2015. "Az európai növekedési potenciál eróziója és válsága [Erosion and crisis in European growth potential]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(4), pages 379-414.
    19. Kevin J. Fox & Nicholas Oulton & María Sebastiá-Barriel, 2017. "Effects of Financial Crises on Productivity, Capital and Employment," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 63, pages 90-112, February.
    20. Färe, Rolf & Grosskopf, Shawna & Pasurka, Carl A., 2026. "Productivity change with bad outputs: Data envelopment analysis aggregate joint production vs. data envelopment analysis input-output models," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 329(2), pages 703-717.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • E2 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment
    • O4 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:nbp:nbpmis:186. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Jakub Growiec (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/nbpgvpl.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.