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Orthogonal Series Estimation in Nonlinear Cointegrating Models with Endogeneity

Author

Listed:
  • Biqing Cai
  • Chaohua Dong
  • Jiti Gao

Abstract

This paper considers a nonlinear time series model associated with both nonstationarity and endogeneity. The proposed model is then estimated by a nonparametric series method. An asymptotic theory is established in both point–wise and the space metric sense for the estimator. The Monte Carlo simulation results show that the performance of the proposed estimate is numerically satisfactory.

Suggested Citation

  • Biqing Cai & Chaohua Dong & Jiti Gao, 2015. "Orthogonal Series Estimation in Nonlinear Cointegrating Models with Endogeneity," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 18/15, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    • Handle: RePEc:msh:ebswps:2015-18
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    File URL: https://www.monash.edu/__data/assets/pdf_file/0010/925876/wp18-15.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    2. Marmer, Vadim, 2008. "Nonlinearity, nonstationarity, and spurious forecasts," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 142(1), pages 1-27, January.
    3. Chaohua Dong & Jiti Gao, 2014. "Specification Testing in Structural Nonparametric Cointegration," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 2/14, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    4. Gao, Jiti & Kanaya, Shin & Li, Degui & Tjøstheim, Dag, 2015. "Uniform Consistency For Nonparametric Estimators In Null Recurrent Time Series," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 31(5), pages 911-952, October.
    5. Terasvirta, Timo & Tjostheim, Dag & Granger, Clive W. J., 2010. "Modelling Nonlinear Economic Time Series," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780199587155, Decembrie.
    6. Wang, Qiying & Phillips, Peter C.B., 2011. "Asymptotic Theory For Zero Energy Functionals With Nonparametric Regression Applications," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 27(2), pages 235-259, April.
    7. Wang, Qiying & Phillips, Peter C.B., 2009. "Asymptotic Theory For Local Time Density Estimation And Nonparametric Cointegrating Regression," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(3), pages 710-738, June.
    8. Park, Joon Y & Phillips, Peter C B, 2001. "Nonlinear Regressions with Integrated Time Series," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 69(1), pages 117-161, January.
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    13. Gao, Jiti, 2007. "Nonlinear time series: semiparametric and nonparametric methods," MPRA Paper 39563, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 01 Sep 2007.
    14. Qiying Wang & Peter C. B. Phillips, 2009. "Structural Nonparametric Cointegrating Regression," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 77(6), pages 1901-1948, November.
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    16. Gao, Jiti & Phillips, Peter C.B., 2013. "Semiparametric estimation in triangular system equations with nonstationarity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 176(1), pages 59-79.
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    Cited by:

    1. Weilun Zhou & Jiti Gao & David Harris & Hsein Kew, 2019. "Semiparametric Single-index Predictive Regression," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 25/19, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Cointegration; endogeneity; Hermite functions; series estimator; unit root;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • G17 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Financial Forecasting and Simulation

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