Users and Suppliers of Physician Services: A Tale of Two Populations
Physician shortages and their implications for required increases in the physician population are matters of considerable interest in many health care systems, in light especially of the widespread phenomenon of population ageing. To determine the extent to which shortages exist one needs to study the population of users of physician services as well as that of the physicians themselves. In this paper we study both, using the province of Ontario, Canada, as an example. The user population is projected and the implications for requirements calculated, conditional on given utilization rates. On the supplier side, the age and other characteristics of the (active) physician population are examined and patterns of withdrawal investigated. The necessary future growth of supply is calculated, assuming alternative levels of present shortages. The effects of population change on requirements are found to be smaller in the future than in the decade 1981- 1991, in the aggregate, not far from the effects in 1991-2001, but highly variable among different categories of physicians.
|Date of creation:||Oct 2005|
|Date of revision:|
|Contact details of provider:|| Postal: 1280 Main Street West, Hamilton, Ontario, L8S 4M4|
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Web page: http://www.mcmaster.ca/economics/
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- Frank T. Denton & Amiram Gafni & Byron G. Spencer, 2000.
"Population Change and the Requirements for Physicians: The Case of Ontario,"
Social and Economic Dimensions of an Aging Population Research Papers
29, McMaster University.
- Frank T. Denton & Amiram Gafni & Byron G. Spencer, 2001. "Population Change and the Requirements for Physicians: The Case of Ontario," Canadian Public Policy, University of Toronto Press, vol. 27(4), pages 469-485, December.
- Frank T. Denton & Amiram Gafni & Byron G. Spencer, 2000. "Population Change and the Requirements for Physicians: The Case of Ontario," Quantitative Studies in Economics and Population Research Reports 355, McMaster University.
- Frank T. Denton & Amiram Gafni & Byron G. Spencer, 2001.
"Exploring the Effects of Population Change on the Costs of Physician Services,"
Quantitative Studies in Economics and Population Research Reports
358, McMaster University.
- Denton, Frank T. & Gafni, Amiram & Spencer, Byron G., 2002. "Exploring the effects of population change on the costs of physician services," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 21(5), pages 781-803, September.
- Frank T. Denton & Amiram Gafni & Byron G. Spencer, 2001. "Exploring the Effects of Population Change on the Costs of Physician Services," Social and Economic Dimensions of an Aging Population Research Papers 43, McMaster University.
- M Barer & G Stoddart, 1991. "Toward Integrated Medical Resource Policies for Canada. 1. Background, Process and Perceived Problems," Centre for Health Economics and Policy Analysis Working Paper Series 1991-07A, Centre for Health Economics and Policy Analysis (CHEPA), McMaster University, Hamilton, Canada.
- Boris Kralj, 2001. "Physician Distribution and Physician Shortage Intensity in Ontario," Canadian Public Policy, University of Toronto Press, vol. 27(2), pages 167-178, June.
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