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Population Change and the Requirements for Physicians: The Case of Ontario

  • Frank T. Denton
  • Amiram Gafni
  • Byron G. Spencer

The effects of population change on requirements for physicians in Ontario are studied. Principal findings are the following: (a) contrary to popular belief, the overall increase in requirements will be significantly lower in 2000-2020 than in the preceding two decades; (b) population aging alone will raise the overall rate of growth of requirements but that will be more than offset by slower population growth; (c) the main effect of aging will be on the distribution of requirements among categories of physicians. These findings suggest that the emphasis on population aging in policy discussions of future overall physician requirements is unwarranted.

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Paper provided by McMaster University in its series Quantitative Studies in Economics and Population Research Reports with number 355.

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Length: 25 pages
Date of creation: Sep 2000
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:mcm:qseprr:355
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