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The Contradictions of Export-led Growth

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  • Thomas I. Palley

Abstract

The export-led growth paradigm is a development strategy aimed at growing productive capacity by focusing on foreign markets. It rose to prominence in the late 1970s and became part of a new consensus among economists about the benefits of economic openness. According to Thomas I. Palley, this paradigm is no longer relevant because of changed conditions in both emerging-market (EM) and developed economies. He outlines the stages of the export-led growth paradigm leading to its adoption worldwide, as well as the various critiques of this agenda that have become increasingly prescient. He concludes that we should reduce reliance on strategies aimed at attracting export-oriented foreign direct investment and institute a new paradigm based on a domestic demand–led growth model. Otherwise, the global economy is likely to experience asymmetric stagnation and increased economic tensions between EM and industrialized economies.

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  • Thomas I. Palley, 2011. "The Contradictions of Export-led Growth," Economics Public Policy Brief Archive ppb_119, Levy Economics Institute.
    • Handle: RePEc:lev:levppb:ppb_119
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    1. repec:afa:wpaper:aesri-2021-02 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Yağmur Sağlam & Hüseyin Avni Egeli, 2018. "A Comparison of Domestic Demand and Export-led Growth Strategies for European Transition Economies," Foreign Trade Review, , vol. 53(3), pages 156-173, August.
    3. Petra Dünhaupt & Hansjörg Herr, 2022. "Global Value Chains—A Panacea for Development?," Springer Books, in: Christina Teipen & Petra Dünhaupt & Hansjörg Herr & Fabian Mehl (ed.), Economic and Social Upgrading in Global Value Chains, chapter 0, pages 55-96, Springer.
    4. Nicholas M. Odhiambo, "undated". "Is Export-Led Growth Hypothesis Still Valid for Sub-Saharan African Countries? New Evidence from Panel Data Analysis," Working Papers AESRIWP02, African Economic and Social Research Institute (AESRI).
    5. Adriana Moreira Amado & Maria de Lourdes Rollemberg Mollo, 2015. "The 'developmentalism' debate in Brazil: some economic and political issues," Review of Keynesian Economics, Edward Elgar Publishing, vol. 3(1), pages 77-89, January.
    6. Mukesh Kumar & Nargis & Azeema Begam, 2020. "Export-Led Growth Hypothesis: Empirical Evidence from Selected South Asian Countries," Asian Journal of Economic Modelling, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 8(1), pages 1-15, March.
    7. Nicholas M. Odhiambo, "undated". "Is Export-Led Growth Hypothesis Still Valid For Sub-Saharan African Countries? New Evidence From Panel Data Analysis," Working Papers AESRI01, African Economic and Social Research Institute (AESRI).
    8. Thomas I. Palley, 2013. "Global imbalances and the Revised Bretton Woods hypothesis: Wrong before the crisis and wrong after," IMK Working Paper 108-2013, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
    9. Nicholas M Odhiambo, 2021. "Is Export-Led Growth Hypothesis Still Valid For Sub-Saharan African Countries? New Evidence From Panel Data Analysis," Working Papers AERI0121, African Economic and Social Research Institute (AESRI), revised 25 Aug 2021.

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