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COVID-19 Lockdowns and Decline in Traffic Related Deaths and Injuries

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  • Oguzoglu, Umut

    (University of Manitoba)

Abstract

This paper investigates the decline in traffic accidents, fatalities and injuries during the months that COVID-19 stay-at-home orders implemented in Turkey. Taking into account the decline in accidents in March and April together, these rates roughly translate to 200 traffic related deaths and 17,600 injuries avoided during the months that stay-at-home orders were in place. The Difference in Difference estimates that exploit variation in quarantine orders among small cities, I also show that stricter rules in April are responsible for the decline of accidents with death or injury by 35 percent, death by 72 percent and injuries by 19 percent.

Suggested Citation

  • Oguzoglu, Umut, 2020. "COVID-19 Lockdowns and Decline in Traffic Related Deaths and Injuries," IZA Discussion Papers 13278, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    • Handle: RePEc:iza:izadps:dp13278
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    1. Brodeur, Abel & Cook, Nikolai & Wright, Taylor, 2021. "On the effects of COVID-19 safer-at-home policies on social distancing, car crashes and pollution," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
    2. Imran Ashraf & Soojung Hur & Muhammad Shafiq & Yongwan Park, 2019. "Catastrophic factors involved in road accidents: Underlying causes and descriptive analysis," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(10), pages 1-29, October.
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    1. Dorn, Florian & Lange, Berit & Braml, Martin & Gstrein, David & Nyirenda, John L.Z. & Vanella, Patrizio & Winter, Joachim & Fuest, Clemens & Krause, Gérard, 2023. "The challenge of estimating the direct and indirect effects of COVID-19 interventions – Toward an integrated economic and epidemiological approach," Economics & Human Biology, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
    2. Md Rakibul Islam & Mohamed Abdel-Aty & Zubayer Islam & Shile Zhang, 2022. "Risk-Compensation Trends in Road Safety during COVID-19," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-17, April.
    3. Xin, Mengwei & Shalaby, Amer & Feng, Shumin & Zhao, Hu, 2021. "Impacts of COVID-19 on urban rail transit ridership using the Synthetic Control Method," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 1-16.
    4. Edoardo di Porto & Paolo Naticchioni & Vincenzo Scrutinio, 2020. "Partial lockdown and the spread of Covid-19: lessons from the Italian case," CEP Discussion Papers dp1720, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
    5. Mohammad Anwar Alattar & Caitlin Cottrill & Mark Beecroft, 2021. "Sources and Applications of Emerging Active Travel Data: A Review of the Literature," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(13), pages 1-17, June.
    6. David E. Bloom & Michael Kuhn & Klaus Prettner, 2022. "Modern Infectious Diseases: Macroeconomic Impacts and Policy Responses," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 60(1), pages 85-131, March.
    7. Daniel L. Millimet & Christopher F. Parmeter, 2022. "COVID‐19 severity: A new approach to quantifying global cases and deaths," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 185(3), pages 1178-1215, July.
    8. Muley, Deepti & Ghanim, Mohammad Shareef & Mohammad, Anas & Kharbeche, Mohamed, 2021. "Quantifying the impact of COVID–19 preventive measures on traffic in the State of Qatar," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 45-59.
    9. Íñigo García-Martínez-de-Albéniz & Juan Antonio Ruiz-de-Villa & Jorge Rodriguez-Hernandez, 2022. "Impact of COVID-19 Lockdown on Wildlife-Vehicle Collisions in NW of Spain," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(8), pages 1-14, April.
    10. Porto, Edoardo Di & Naticchioni, Paolo & Scrutinio, Vincenzo, 2022. "Lockdown, essential sectors, and Covid-19: Lessons from Italy," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    11. Bai, Xiwen & Xu, Ming & Han, Tingting & Yang, Dong, 2022. "Quantifying the impact of pandemic lockdown policies on global port calls," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 224-241.
    12. Deepti Muley & Md. Shahin & Charitha Dias & Muhammad Abdullah, 2020. "Role of Transport during Outbreak of Infectious Diseases: Evidence from the Past," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(18), pages 1-22, September.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    COVID-19; safer-at-home; lockdowns; traffic accidents; fatality; injury; Turkey;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • P48 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Other Economic Systems - - - Legal Institutions; Property Rights; Natural Resources; Energy; Environment; Regional Studies
    • Q53 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Air Pollution; Water Pollution; Noise; Hazardous Waste; Solid Waste; Recycling
    • Q58 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Environmental Economics: Government Policy

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