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Analysis of the Iran Oil Embargo

This report analyses the macro-economic, sectoral, and energy effects of an Iranian oil embargo. Five scenarios are analysed reflecting various degrees of oil scarcity on the global market and different sizes of embargo coalitions. The report estimates the macro-economic impacts using the global general equilibrium model GEM-E3. The international oil and energy markets are assessed with the POLES model. This provides the impacts in prices and quantities in the international energy (oil) market. Impacts on trade flows regarding refined oil products are estimated with the OURSE model.

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Paper provided by Joint Research Centre (Seville site) in its series JRC Working Papers with number JRC77983.

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Length: 30 pages
Date of creation: Jan 2013
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:ipt:iptwpa:jrc77983
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  1. Philip K. Verleger, 2012. "Using US Strategic Reserves to Moderate Potential Oil Price Increases from Sanctions on Iran," Policy Briefs PB12-6, Peterson Institute for International Economics.
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