IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ifs/cemmap/26-14.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

The lasso for high-dimensional regression with a possible change-point

Author

Listed:
  • Sokbae (Simon) Lee

    () (Institute for Fiscal Studies and Columbia University and IFS)

  • Myung Hwan Seo

    (Institute for Fiscal Studies)

  • Youngki Shin

    (Institute for Fiscal Studies)

Abstract

We consider a high-dimensional regression model with a possible change-point due to a covariate threshold and develop the Lasso estimator of regression coefficients as well as the threshold parameter. Our Lasso estimator not only selects covariates but also selects a model between linear and threshold regression models. Under a sparsity assumption, we derive non-asymptotic oracle inequalities for both the prediction risk and the l1 estimation loss for regression coefficients. Since the Lasso estimator selects variables simultaneously, we show that oracle inequalities can be established without pretesting the existence of the threshold e ect. Furthermore, we establish conditions under which the estimation error of the unknown threshold parameter can be bounded by a nearly n-1 factor even when the number of regressors can be much larger than the sample size (n). We illustrate the usefulness of our proposed estimation method via Monte Carlo simulations and an application to real data.

Suggested Citation

  • Sokbae (Simon) Lee & Myung Hwan Seo & Youngki Shin, 2014. "The lasso for high-dimensional regression with a possible change-point," CeMMAP working papers CWP26/14, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
  • Handle: RePEc:ifs:cemmap:26/14
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.ifs.org.uk/uploads/cemmap/wps/cwp261414.pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. anonymous, 1995. "Does the bouncing ball lead to economic growth?," Regional Update, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, issue Jul, pages 1-2,4-6.
    2. Zou, Hui, 2006. "The Adaptive Lasso and Its Oracle Properties," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 101, pages 1418-1429, December.
    3. Robert J. Barro, 2013. "Inflation and Economic Growth," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 14(1), pages 121-144, May.
    4. Klaus Frick & Axel Munk & Hannes Sieling, 2014. "Multiscale change point inference," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 76(3), pages 495-580, June.
    5. Harchaoui, Z. & Lévy-Leduc, C., 2010. "Multiple Change-Point Estimation With a Total Variation Penalty," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 105(492), pages 1480-1493.
    6. Jelena Bradic & Jianqing Fan & Weiwei Wang, 2011. "Penalized composite quasi‐likelihood for ultrahigh dimensional variable selection," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 73(3), pages 325-349, June.
    7. Durlauf, Steven N & Johnson, Paul A, 1995. "Multiple Regimes and Cross-Country Growth Behaviour," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 10(4), pages 365-384, Oct.-Dec..
    8. David Card & Alexandre Mas & Jesse Rothstein, 2008. "Tipping and the Dynamics of Segregation," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 123(1), pages 177-218.
    9. Pesaran, M. Hashem & Pick, Andreas, 2007. "Econometric issues in the analysis of contagion," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 1245-1277, April.
    10. Gabriela Ciuperca, 2014. "Model selection by LASSO methods in a change-point model," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 55(2), pages 349-374, May.
    11. Bruce E. Hansen, 2000. "Sample Splitting and Threshold Estimation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 68(3), pages 575-604, May.
    12. Kim, Yongdai & Choi, Hosik & Oh, Hee-Seok, 2008. "Smoothly Clipped Absolute Deviation on High Dimensions," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 103(484), pages 1665-1673.
    13. Robert Tibshirani, 2011. "Regression shrinkage and selection via the lasso: a retrospective," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 73(3), pages 273-282, June.
    14. Fan J. & Li R., 2001. "Variable Selection via Nonconcave Penalized Likelihood and its Oracle Properties," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 96, pages 1348-1360, December.
    15. Xavier Sala-I-Martin, 1997. "Transfers, Social Safety Nets, and Economic Growth," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 44(1), pages 81-102, March.
    16. Wei Lin & Jinchi Lv, 2013. "High-Dimensional Sparse Additive Hazards Regression," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 108(501), pages 247-264, March.
    17. Wu, Y., 2008. "Simultaneous change point analysis and variable selection in a regression problem," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 99(9), pages 2154-2171, October.
    18. Lee, Sokbae & Seo, Myung Hwan & Shin, Youngki, 2011. "Testing for Threshold Effects in Regression Models," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 106(493), pages 220-231.
    19. Lan Wang & Yichao Wu & Runze Li, 2012. "Quantile Regression for Analyzing Heterogeneity in Ultra-High Dimension," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 107(497), pages 214-222, March.
    20. Gabriela Ciuperca, 2014. "Erratum to: Model selection by LASSO methods in a change-point model," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 55(4), pages 1231-1232, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Chong, Terence Tai Leung & Pang, Tianxiao & Zhang, Danna & Liang, Yanling, 2017. "Structural change in non-stationary AR(1) models," MPRA Paper 80510, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Xu Cheng & Zhipeng Liao & Frank Schorfheide, 2016. "Shrinkage Estimation of High-Dimensional Factor Models with Structural Instabilities," Review of Economic Studies, Oxford University Press, vol. 83(4), pages 1511-1543.
    3. repec:taf:jnlbes:v:35:y:2017:i:2:p:250-264 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Laurent Callot & Mehmet Caner & Anders Bredahl Kock & Juan Andres Riquelme, 2017. "Sharp Threshold Detection Based on Sup-Norm Error Rates in High-Dimensional Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(2), pages 250-264, April.
    5. Ryo Okui & Wendun Wang, 2018. "Heterogeneous structural breaks in panel data models," Papers 1801.04672, arXiv.org.
    6. Sokbae Lee & Yuan Liao & Myung Hwan Seo & Youngki Shin, 2016. "Oracle Estimation of a Change Point in High Dimensional Quantile Regression," Papers 1603.00235, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2016.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ifs:cemmap:26/14. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Emma Hyman). General contact details of provider: http://edirc.repec.org/data/cmifsuk.html .

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.