IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/empeco/v65y2023i1d10.1007_s00181-022-02340-3.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Variable selection in threshold model with a covariate-dependent threshold

Author

Listed:
  • Lixiong Yang

    (Lanzhou University)

Abstract

This paper studies the variable selection problem in threshold model with a covariate-dependent threshold, in which the threshold is modeled by a function of candidate variables that affect the separation of regimes. To simultaneously select explanatory variables and the variables that affect the threshold, we develop a variable selection procedure via mixed integer optimization in the $$l_0$$ l 0 -penalization framework. Monte Carlo simulations are conducted to assess the performance of the suggested variable selection procedure, and the simulation results indicate that the variable selection procedure works well in finite samples. The empirical usefulness of the proposed approach is illustrated with an application to the famous growth–debt nexus.

Suggested Citation

  • Lixiong Yang, 2023. "Variable selection in threshold model with a covariate-dependent threshold," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 65(1), pages 189-202, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:empeco:v:65:y:2023:i:1:d:10.1007_s00181-022-02340-3
    DOI: 10.1007/s00181-022-02340-3
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s00181-022-02340-3
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s00181-022-02340-3?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hansheng Wang & Bo Li & Chenlei Leng, 2009. "Shrinkage tuning parameter selection with a diverging number of parameters," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 71(3), pages 671-683, June.
    2. Michael J. Dueker & Zacharias Psaradakis & Martin Sola & Fabio Spagnolo, 2013. "State-Dependent Threshold Smooth Transition Autoregressive Models," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 75(6), pages 835-854, December.
    3. Hidalgo, Javier & Lee, Jungyoon & Seo, Myung Hwan, 2019. "Robust inference for threshold regression models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 210(2), pages 291-309.
    4. Lixiong Yang & Chunli Zhang & Chingnun Lee & I-Po Chen, 2021. "Panel kink threshold regression model with a covariate-dependent threshold," The Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 24(3), pages 462-481.
    5. Chen, Haiqiang, 2015. "Robust Estimation And Inference For Threshold Models With Integrated Regressors," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 31(4), pages 778-810, August.
    6. Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2010. "Growth in a Time of Debt," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 100(2), pages 573-578, May.
    7. Laurent Callot & Mehmet Caner & Anders Bredahl Kock & Juan Andres Riquelme, 2017. "Sharp Threshold Detection Based on Sup-Norm Error Rates in High-Dimensional Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(2), pages 250-264, April.
    8. Yoon, Gawon, 2012. "War and peace: Explosive U.S. public debt, 1791–2009," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 115(1), pages 1-3.
    9. Chong Terence Tai-Leung & Chen Haiqiang & Wong Tsz-Nga & Yan Isabel Kit-Ming, 2018. "Estimation and inference of threshold regression models with measurement errors," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 22(2), pages 1-16, April.
    10. Sokbae Lee & Myung Hwan Seo & Youngki Shin, 2016. "The lasso for high dimensional regression with a possible change point," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 78(1), pages 193-210, January.
    11. Yang, Lixiong & Su, Jen-Je, 2018. "Debt and growth: Is there a constant tipping point?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 133-143.
    12. Bruce E. Hansen, 2000. "Sample Splitting and Threshold Estimation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 68(3), pages 575-604, May.
    13. Ping Yu & Xiaodong Fan, 2021. "Threshold Regression With a Threshold Boundary," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(4), pages 953-971, October.
    14. Bruce E. Hansen, 2017. "Regression Kink With an Unknown Threshold," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(2), pages 228-240, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Lixiong Yang & Chingnun Lee & I‐Po Chen, 2021. "Threshold model with a time‐varying threshold based on Fourier approximation," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 42(4), pages 406-430, July.
    2. Christian Richter & Sara El Asy, 2019. "Is Public Debt Always Harmful to Economic Growth," Working Papers 52, The German University in Cairo, Faculty of Management Technology.
    3. Lixiong Yang, 2020. "State-dependent biases and the quality of China’s preliminary GDP announcements," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 59(6), pages 2663-2687, December.
    4. Chih‐Hao Chang & Kam‐Fai Wong & Wei‐Yee Lim, 2023. "Threshold estimation for continuous three‐phase polynomial regression models with constant mean in the middle regime," Statistica Neerlandica, Netherlands Society for Statistics and Operations Research, vol. 77(1), pages 4-47, February.
    5. Lee, Yoonseok & Wang, Yulong, 2023. "Threshold regression with nonparametric sample splitting," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 816-842.
    6. Alfonso Mendoza-Velázquez & Heidi J. Smith & Diego Mendoza-Martínez, 2023. "Regional Growth, Debt Thresholds and Subnational Sustainability," Remef - Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época REMEF (The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance), Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, IMEF, vol. 18(2), pages 1-23, Abril - J.
    7. Somlanare Romuald Kinda & Relwendé Sawadogo, 2023. "Does financial development really spur industrialization in sub‐Saharan African countries?," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 35(4), pages 390-402, December.
    8. Ping Yu & Shengjie Hong & Peter C. B. Phillips, 2022. "Panel Threshold Regression with Unobserved Individual-Specific Threshold Effects," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 2352, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
    9. Gómez Puig, Marta & Sosvilla-Rivero, Simón & Martínez-Zarzoso, Inmaculada, 2019. "Re-examining the debt-growth nexus: A grouped fixed-effect approach," University of Göttingen Working Papers in Economics 374, University of Goettingen, Department of Economics.
    10. Yang, Lixiong & Su, Jen-Je, 2018. "Debt and growth: Is there a constant tipping point?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 133-143.
    11. Ebrahimi Salari, Taghi & Naji Meidani, Ali Akbar & Shabani Koshalshahi, Zeinab & Ajori Ayask, Amir Abbas, 2022. "The threshold effect of HDI on the relationship between financial development and oil revenues," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    12. Martins, Luis F., 2021. "The US debt–growth nexus along the business cycle," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    13. Hidalgo, Javier & Lee, Jungyoon & Seo, Myung Hwan, 2019. "Robust inference for threshold regression models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 210(2), pages 291-309.
    14. Laurent Callot & Mehmet Caner & Anders Bredahl Kock & Juan Andres Riquelme, 2017. "Sharp Threshold Detection Based on Sup-Norm Error Rates in High-Dimensional Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(2), pages 250-264, April.
    15. Alfonso Mendoza-Velazquez & Heidi J. Smith & Diego Mendoza-Martinez, 2022. "Subnational Regional Growth, Debt Thresholds and Sustainability," Working Paper Series Sobre México 2022001, Sobre México. Temas en economía.
    16. Lixiong Yang, 2022. "Threshold mixed data sampling (TMIDAS) regression models with an application to GDP forecast errors," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(2), pages 533-551, February.
    17. Sokbae Lee & Yuan Liao & Myung Hwan Seo & Youngki Shin, 2018. "Oracle Estimation of a Change Point in High-Dimensional Quantile Regression," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 113(523), pages 1184-1194, July.
    18. Simone Salotti & Carmine Trecroci, 2012. "Even worse than you thought: The effects of government debt on investment and productivity," EcoMod2012 4200, EcoMod.
    19. Andrea F Presbitero, 2012. "Total Public Debt and Growth in Developing Countries," The European Journal of Development Research, Palgrave Macmillan;European Association of Development Research and Training Institutes (EADI), vol. 24(4), pages 606-626, September.
    20. Siti Nurazira Mohd Daud & Jan M. Podivinsky, 2015. "Federal government debt and economic growth: Evidence from Malaysia," Progress in Development Studies, , vol. 15(3), pages 253-256, July.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Variable selection; Threshold model; Covariate-dependent threshold; Monte Carlo simulations; Growth–debt nexus;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:empeco:v:65:y:2023:i:1:d:10.1007_s00181-022-02340-3. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.