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The lasso for high dimensional regression with a possible change point

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  • Sokbae Lee
  • Myung Hwan Seo
  • Youngki Shin

Abstract

We consider a high-dimensional regression model with a possible change-point due to a covariate threshold and develop the Lasso estimator of regression coefficients as well as the threshold parameter. Our Lasso estimator not only selects covariates but also selects a model between linear and threshold regression models. Under a sparsity assumption, we derive non-asymptotic oracle inequalities for both the prediction risk and the l1 estimation loss for regression coefficients. Since the Lasso estimator selects variables simultaneously, we show that oracle inequalities can be established without pretesting the existence of the threshold e ect. Furthermore, we establish conditions under which the estimation error of the unknown threshold parameter can be bounded by a nearly n-1 factor even when the number of regressors can be much larger than the sample size (n). We illustrate the usefulness of our proposed estimation method via Monte Carlo simulations and an application to real data.
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Suggested Citation

  • Sokbae Lee & Myung Hwan Seo & Youngki Shin, 2016. "The lasso for high dimensional regression with a possible change point," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 78(1), pages 193-210, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:jorssb:v:78:y:2016:i:1:p:193-210
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1111/rssb.12108
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    Cited by:

    1. Chong, Terence Tai Leung & Pang, Tianxiao & Zhang, Danna & Liang, Yanling, 2017. "Structural change in non-stationary AR(1) models," MPRA Paper 80510, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Xu Cheng & Zhipeng Liao & Frank Schorfheide, 2016. "Shrinkage Estimation of High-Dimensional Factor Models with Structural Instabilities," Review of Economic Studies, Oxford University Press, vol. 83(4), pages 1511-1543.
    3. Ryo Okui & Wendun Wang, 2018. "Heterogeneous structural breaks in panel data models," Papers 1801.04672, arXiv.org.
    4. Sokbae Lee & Yuan Liao & Myung Hwan Seo & Youngki Shin, 2016. "Oracle Estimation of a Change Point in High Dimensional Quantile Regression," Papers 1603.00235, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2016.
    5. repec:taf:jnlbes:v:35:y:2017:i:2:p:250-264 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Laurent Callot & Mehmet Caner & Anders Bredahl Kock & Juan Andres Riquelme, 2017. "Sharp Threshold Detection Based on Sup-Norm Error Rates in High-Dimensional Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(2), pages 250-264, April.

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