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Dealing with the Dutch Disease: Fiscal Rules and Macro-Prudential Policies

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  • Javier García-Cicco
  • Enrique Kawamura

Abstract

This paper evaluates from a welfare perspective three policy alternatives for dealing with Dutch disease problems originating from cyclical movements in commodity prices: fiscal rules for government expenditures, capital controls, and taxes on domestic lending. A DSGE model of a small open economy is developed, with a sectoral decomposition that features three distinctive characteristics: financial frictions, a learning-by-doing externality in the industrial sector, and a fraction of households being non-Ricardian (credit constrained). The model is calibrated using Chilean data. For each policy tool, optimal simple rules are analyzed from a welfare (Ramsey) perspective, describing how different households rank the several policy alternatives, and studying how each of the models features shapes the optimal policy design. A general conclusion of the analysis is that the included Dutch disease inefficiencies are of quantitatively limited relevance in analyzing the desirability of these policies from a welfare perspective.

Suggested Citation

  • Javier García-Cicco & Enrique Kawamura, 2015. "Dealing with the Dutch Disease: Fiscal Rules and Macro-Prudential Policies," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 7087, Inter-American Development Bank.
  • Handle: RePEc:idb:brikps:7087
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Alberola, Enrique & Benigno, Gianluca, 2017. "Revisiting the commodity curse: A financial perspective," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(S1), pages 87-106.
    2. Valdivia Coria, Joab Dan, 2016. "“Acelerador financiero, impacto del precio del gas”
      [“Financial accelerator, oil price impact "]
      ," MPRA Paper 78784, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Claudia De la Huerta & Javier Garcia-Cicco, 2016. "Commodity Prices, Growth and Productivity: a Sectoral View," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 777, Central Bank of Chile.
    4. Ojeda-Joya, Jair N. & Parra-Polanía, Julián A. & Vargas, Carmiña O., 2016. "Fiscal rules as a response to commodity shocks: A welfare analysis of the Colombian scenario," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 52(PB), pages 859-866.
    5. Medina, Juan Pablo & Soto, Claudio, 2016. "Commodity prices and fiscal policy in a commodity exporting economy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 335-351.
    6. Valdivia Coria, Joab Dan, 2016. "Evaluación de la Política Fiscal de Bolivia
      [Evaluation of Bolivia's Fiscal Policy]
      ," MPRA Paper 78789, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Martha López, 2016. "Fiscal Multipliers, Oil Revenues and Balance Sheet Effects," Borradores de Economia 976, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    8. Juan Guerra-Salas, 2016. "Fiscal Policy, Sectoral Allocation, and the Skill Premium: Explaining the Decline in Latin America’s Income Inequality," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 779, Central Bank of Chile.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Fiscal management; Policy evaluation; Fiscal Policy; Taxation; Government budget; Dutch Disease; Fiscal rules; Fiscal procyclicality; Capital controls; Macro-prudential policies;

    JEL classification:

    • E61 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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