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Funding Liquidity Risk and Deviations from Interest-Rate Parity During the Financial Crisis of 2007-2009

Author Info

Listed author(s):
  • Cho-Hoi Hui

    (Research Department, Hong Kong Monetary Authority)

  • Hans Genberg

    (Research Department, Hong Kong Monetary Authority)

  • Tsz-Kin Chung

    (Research Department, Hong Kong Monetary Authority)

Abstract

Significant deviations from covered interest parity were observed during the financial crisis of 2007-2009. This paper finds that before the failure of Lehman Brothers the market-wide funding liquidity risk was the main determinant of these deviations in terms of the premiums on swap-implied US dollar interest rates for the euro, British pound, Hong Kong dollar, Japanese yen, Singapore dollar and Swiss Franc. This suggests that the deviations can be explained by the existence and nature of liquidity constraints. After the Lehman default, both counterparty risk and funding liquidity risk in the European economies were the significant determinants of the positive deviations, while the tightened liquidity condition in the US dollar was the main driving factor of the negative deviations in the Hong Kong, Japan and Singapore markets. Federal Reserve Swap lines with other central banks eased the liquidity pressure and reduced the positive deviations in the European economies.

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File URL: http://www.info.gov.hk/hkma/eng/research/working/pdf/HKMAWP09_13_full.pdf
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Paper provided by Hong Kong Monetary Authority in its series Working Papers with number 0913.

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Length: 30 pages
Date of creation: Jul 2009
Handle: RePEc:hkg:wpaper:0913
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Keywords: Sub-prime crisis; funding liquidity; covered interest parity; FX swaps;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
  • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
  • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
  • F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions

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  1. Melvin, Michael & Taylor, Mark P., 2009. "The crisis in the foreign exchange market," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(8), pages 1317-1330, December.
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  8. Adrian, Tobias & Shin, Hyun Song, 2010. "Liquidity and leverage," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 19(3), pages 418-437, July.
  9. Covrig, Vicentiu & Low, Buen Sin & Melvin, Michael, 2004. "A Yen is Not a Yen: TIBOR/LIBOR and the Determinants of the Japan Premium," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 39(01), pages 193-208, March.
  10. Clinton, Kevin, 1988. "Transactions Costs and Covered Interest Arbitrage: Theory and Evidence," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 96(2), pages 358-370, April.
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  12. Officer, Lawrence H & Willett, Thomas D, 1970. "The Covered-Arbitrage Schedule: A Critical Survey of Recent Developments," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 2(2), pages 247-257, May.
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