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Explaining the Interplay of Three Markets: Green Certificates, Carbon Emissions and Electricity

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The European Union's Emissions Trading System (EU ETS) and the Swedish-Norwegian Tradable Green Certicate System (Swedish-Norwegian TGC system) are two market-based instruments that have the overlapping goal to mitigate greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by shifting economies to cleaner energy sources. Understanding the price signals and interactions of these two newly created markets is essential for all decisions makers, regulators and direct market participants, who aim to reach the predefined environmental policy goals in the most efficient manner. The interaction between these policy instruments has been widely examined from the theoretical perspective. This research contributes to the literature by empirically examining the interplay between the prices of three markets: (1) the price of tradable green certificates in the Swedish-Norwegian TGC system, (2) the price of carbon in the EU ETS and (3) the price of electricity in Nord Pool. We use a multivariate vector-autoregression (VAR) approach to take into account the endogenous relationships between these prices. To date, our empirical results do not support the theoretical considerations that the impacts of carbon price on green certicate prices and on renewable electricity production are negative. Contrary, we find that, to date, increases in carbon prices positively affect green certificate prices at least in the short-run.

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  • Schusser, Sandra & Jaraite, Jurate, 2016. "Explaining the Interplay of Three Markets: Green Certificates, Carbon Emissions and Electricity," CERE Working Papers 2016:10, CERE - the Center for Environmental and Resource Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:hhs:slucer:2016_010
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    14. Yan, Sizhe & Wang, Weiqing & Li, Xiaozhu & Zhao, Yi, 2022. "Research on a cross-regional robust trading strategy based on multiple market mechanisms," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 261(PB).
    15. Song, Xiao-hua & Han, Jing-jing & Zhang, Lu & Zhao, Cai-ping & Wang, Peng & Liu, Xiao-yan & Li, Qiao-chu, 2021. "Impacts of renewable portfolio standards on multi-market coupling trading of renewable energy in China: A scenario-based system dynamics model," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    16. Wenhui Zhao & Xiongjiantao Bao & Guanghui Yuan & Xiaomei Wang & Hongbo Bao, 2019. "The Equilibrium Model for the Coexistence of Renewable Portfolio Standards and Emissions Trading: The Supply Chain Analysis," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-29, January.
    17. Bolat, C. Kaan & Soytas, Ugur & Akinoglu, Bulent & Nazlioglu, Saban, 2023. "Is there a macroeconomic carbon rebound effect in EU ETS?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    18. Bao, Xiongjiantao & Zhao, Wenhui & Wang, Xiaomei & Tan, Zhongfu, 2019. "Impact of policy mix concerning renewable portfolio standards and emissions trading on electricity market," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 761-774.
    19. Zhang, Xinyue & Guo, Xiaopeng & Zhang, Xingping, 2023. "Assessing the policy synergy among power, carbon emissions trading and tradable green certificate market mechanisms on strategic GENCOs in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 278(PB).
    20. Tu, Qiang & Mo, Jianlei & Betz, Regina & Cui, Lianbiao & Fan, Ying & Liu, Yu, 2020. "Achieving grid parity of solar PV power in China- The role of Tradable Green Certificate," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    21. Coria, Jessica & Jaraitė, Jūratė, 2023. "Ownership structure and prices: A case study of the Swedish tradable green certificate market," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 183(C).
    22. Irfan, Mohd, 2021. "Integration between electricity and renewable energy certificate (REC) markets: Factors influencing the solar and non-solar REC in India," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 179(C), pages 65-74.
    23. Hu, Yu & Chi, Yuanying & Zhao, Hao & Zhou, Wenbing, 2022. "The development of renewable energy industry under renewable portfolio standards: From the perspective of provincial resource differences," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
    24. Yu, Xianyu & Ge, Shengxian & Zhou, Dequn & Wang, Qunwei & Chang, Ching-Ter & Sang, Xiuzhi, 2022. "Whether feed-in tariff can be effectively replaced or not? An integrated analysis of renewable portfolio standards and green certificate trading," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 245(C).
    25. Hugo Morais & Tiago Pinto & Zita Vale, 2020. "Adjacent Markets Influence Over Electricity Trading—Iberian Benchmark Study," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-22, June.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Renewable energy; Electricity; Green certificates; Emissions trading; EU ETS; interactions; tradable green certificates; Sweden; VAR model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q28 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Renewable Resources and Conservation - - - Government Policy
    • Q41 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Demand and Supply; Prices
    • Q42 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Alternative Energy Sources
    • Q48 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Government Policy

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