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Information Redundancy Neglect versus Overconfidence: A Social Learning Experiment

Author

Listed:
  • Marco Angrisani

    (USC - University of Southern California)

  • Antonio Guarino

    (UCL - University College of London [London])

  • Philippe Jehiel

    (PJSE - Paris Jourdan Sciences Economiques - UP1 - Université Panthéon-Sorbonne - ENS Paris - École normale supérieure - Paris - INRA - Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - ENPC - École des Ponts ParisTech - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, PSE - Paris School of Economics, UCL - University College of London [London])

  • Toru Kitagawa

    (UCL - University College of London [London])

Abstract

We study social learning in a continuous action space experiment. Subjects, acting in sequence, state their belief about the value of a good, after observing their predecessors' statements and a private signal. We compare the behavior in the laboratory with the Perfect Bayesian Equilibrium prediction and the predictions of bounded rationality models of decision making: the redundancy of information neglect model and the overconfidence model. The results of our experiment are in line with the predictions of the overconfidence model and at odds with the others'.

Suggested Citation

  • Marco Angrisani & Antonio Guarino & Philippe Jehiel & Toru Kitagawa, 2019. "Information Redundancy Neglect versus Overconfidence: A Social Learning Experiment," PSE Working Papers halshs-02183322, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:psewpa:halshs-02183322
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr/halshs-02183322
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Melissa Newham & Rune Midjord, 2018. "Herd Behavior in FDA Committees: A Structural Approach," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1744, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    2. Cao, Qian & Li, Jianbiao & Niu, Xiaofei, 2019. "The role of overconfidence in overweighting private information: Does gender matter?," EconStor Preprints 203448, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    3. Christoph March & Anthony Ziegelmeyer, 2018. "Excessive Herding in the Laboratory: The Role of Intuitive Judgments," CESifo Working Paper Series 6855, CESifo Group Munich.
    4. Aislinn Bohren & Daniel Hauser, 2018. "Social Learning with Model Misspeciification: A Framework and a Robustness Result," PIER Working Paper Archive 18-017, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania, revised 01 Jul 2018.

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