IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/hal/journl/halshs-00835930.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

CO2 reduction for urban goods movement: is it possible to reach the Factor 4 by 2050?

Author

Listed:
  • Jesus Gonzalez-Feliu

    (LET - Laboratoire d'économie des transports - UL2 - Université Lumière - Lyon 2 - ENTPE - École Nationale des Travaux Publics de l'État - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Christian Ambrosini

    (LET - Laboratoire d'économie des transports - UL2 - Université Lumière - Lyon 2 - ENTPE - École Nationale des Travaux Publics de l'État - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Jean-Louis Routhier

    (LET - Laboratoire d'économie des transports - UL2 - Université Lumière - Lyon 2 - ENTPE - École Nationale des Travaux Publics de l'État - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

Abstract

In this paper, we propose an appraisal of combinations of several public policy measures that seem to be the most probable by 2050, for urban goods movement (UGM). The proposed scenarios follow the trends of transportation long-term issues in France and introduce the specificity of the urban geography in freight-related trips. The considered trips are those classical for freight distribution in urban areas plus those related the household purchasing behaviour. A simulation method that combines several land-use and transport interaction (LUTI) models is also proposed, in order to estimate the gains of each scenario respect to the current situation (the emissions calculated on 2006 surveyed data for the city of Lyon). Finally, we present a set of suggestions in order to reach the factor 4 for UGM and if it is realistic.

Suggested Citation

  • Jesus Gonzalez-Feliu & Christian Ambrosini & Jean-Louis Routhier, 2010. "CO2 reduction for urban goods movement: is it possible to reach the Factor 4 by 2050?," Post-Print halshs-00835930, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-00835930
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://shs.hal.science/halshs-00835930
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://shs.hal.science/halshs-00835930/document
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Robinson, John Bridger, 1982. "Energy backcasting A proposed method of policy analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 10(4), pages 337-344, December.
    2. Jesus Gonzalez-Feliu & Charles Raux, 2009. "FIDES: Flexibilité et Impacts de la Demande de transport des différents secteurs Economiques, et simulation de Scénarios d'évolution," Working Papers halshs-00796501, HAL.
    3. Bristow, Abigail L. & Tight, Miles & Pridmore, Alison & May, Anthony D., 2008. "Developing pathways to low carbon land-based passenger transport in Great Britain by 2050," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 36(9), pages 3427-3435, September.
    4. Akerman, Jonas & Hojer, Mattias, 2006. "How much transport can the climate stand?--Sweden on a sustainable path in 2050," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 34(14), pages 1944-1957, September.
    5. Patrick Criqui & Silvana Mima & Christophe Rynikiewicz, 2006. "Prospective énergétique à 2050, contrainte carbone et changements structurels," Post-Print halshs-00194099, HAL.
    6. Jean-Louis Routhier & Florence Toilier, 2007. "FRETURB V3, A Policy Oriented Software of Modelling Urban Goods Movement," Post-Print halshs-00963847, HAL.
    7. Charles Raux & Jean-Pierre Traisnel, 2007. "Habitat et déplacements dans les aires urbaines. Impacts énergétiques et environnementaux de la croissance périurbaine," Post-Print halshs-00178358, HAL.
    8. Charles Raux & Jean-Pierre Traisnel & Pascal Pochet & Mindjid Maïzia & Yves Croissant & Vincent Bagard & Pierre-Yves Péguy, 2006. "Analyse et modélisation des comportements transports-habitat-localisations. ETHEL. Rapport R3," Working Papers halshs-00958585, HAL.
    9. Kawase, Reina & Matsuoka, Yuzuru & Fujino, Junichi, 2006. "Decomposition analysis of CO2 emission in long-term climate stabilization scenarios," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 34(15), pages 2113-2122, October.
    10. Hector G. Lopez-Ruiz & Yves Crozet, 2010. "Sustainable Transport In France: Is A 75% Reduction In Co2 Emissions Attainable?," Post-Print halshs-00573791, HAL.
    11. Jesus Gonzalez-Feliu & Frédéric Henriot & Jean-Louis Routhier, 2009. "Estimating traffic flows and environmental effects of urban commercial supply in global city logistics decision support," Post-Print halshs-00795431, HAL.
    12. Christian Ambrosini & Jean-Louis Routhier & Florence Toilier, 2005. "How do urban policies work on the urban goods transport flows?," Post-Print halshs-00079560, HAL.
    13. Hector G. Lopez-Ruiz, 2008. "Facteur 4 et mobilité des personnes et des marchandises," Working Papers halshs-00277806, HAL.
    14. Danièle Patier, 2002. "La Logistique dans la ville," Post-Print halshs-00069760, HAL.
    15. Unknown, 2005. "Forward," 2005 Conference: Slovenia in the EU - Challenges for Agriculture, Food Science and Rural Affairs, November 10-11, 2005, Moravske Toplice, Slovenia 183804, Slovenian Association of Agricultural Economists (DAES).
    16. Yves Crozet & Hector G. Lopez-Ruiz & Bertrand Chateau & Vincent Bagard, 2008. "Comment satisfaire les objectifs internationaux de la France en termes d'émissions de gaz à effet de serre et de pollution transfrontières ? Programme de recherche consacré à la construction de scénar," Post-Print halshs-00293725, HAL.
    17. Hickman, Robin & Banister, David, 2007. "Looking over the horizon: Transport and reduced CO2 emissions in the UK by 2030," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 14(5), pages 377-387, September.
    18. Christian Ambrosini & Jean-Louis Routhier, 2004. "Objectives, Methods and Results of Surveys Carried out in the Field of Urban Freight Transport: An International Comparison," Post-Print halshs-00068527, HAL.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Mathieu Gardrat & Jesus Gonzalez-Feliu & Jean-Louis Routhier, 2013. "Urban goods movement (UGM) analysis as a tool for urban planning," Post-Print halshs-00844657, HAL.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Hickman, Robin & Saxena, Sharad & Banister, David & Ashiru, Olu, 2012. "Examining transport futures with scenario analysis and MCA," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 46(3), pages 560-575.
    2. Marletto, Gerardo, 2011. "Structure, agency and change in the car regime. A review of the literature," European Transport \ Trasporti Europei, ISTIEE, Institute for the Study of Transport within the European Economic Integration, issue 47, pages 71-88.
    3. Gardrat, Mathieu, 2021. "Urban growth and freight transport: From sprawl to distension," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    4. Gonzalez Feliu, Jesus & Ambrosini, Christian & Routhier, Jean-Louis, 2012. "New trends on urban goods movement modelling: proximity delivery versus shopping trips," European Transport \ Trasporti Europei, ISTIEE, Institute for the Study of Transport within the European Economic Integration, issue 50, pages 1-2.
    5. Mattila, Tuomas & Antikainen, Riina, 2011. "Backcasting sustainable freight transport systems for Europe in 2050," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 1241-1248, March.
    6. Varvara Nikulina & David Simon & Henrik Ny & Henrikke Baumann, 2019. "Context-Adapted Urban Planning for Rapid Transitioning of Personal Mobility towards Sustainability: A Systematic Literature Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-37, February.
    7. Schwanen, Tim & Banister, David & Anable, Jillian, 2011. "Scientific research about climate change mitigation in transport: A critical review," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 45(10), pages 993-1006.
    8. Jesus Gonzalez-Feliu & Joëlle Morana, 2010. "A la recherche d'une mutualisation des livraisons en milieu urbain: le cas du groupe NMPP," Post-Print halshs-00690097, HAL.
    9. Joëlle Morana & Jesus Gonzalez-Feliu, 2011. "Le transport urbain vert de marchandises : leçons tirées de l'expérience de la ville de Padoue en Italie," Post-Print halshs-01081765, HAL.
    10. Nuzzolo, Agostino & Crisalli, Umberto & Comi, Antonio, 2012. "A trip chain order model for simulating urban freight restocking," European Transport \ Trasporti Europei, ISTIEE, Institute for the Study of Transport within the European Economic Integration, issue 50, pages 1-7.
    11. Joëlle Morana & Jesus Gonzalez-Feliu, 2010. "La logistique du dernier kilomètre : les défis d'un transport urbain « vert »," Working Papers halshs-00493701, HAL.
    12. Hickman, Robin & Ashiru, Olu & Banister, David, 2011. "Transitions to low carbon transport futures: strategic conversations from London and Delhi," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 19(6), pages 1553-1562.
    13. Bristow, Abigail L. & Tight, Miles & Pridmore, Alison & May, Anthony D., 2008. "Developing pathways to low carbon land-based passenger transport in Great Britain by 2050," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 36(9), pages 3427-3435, September.
    14. Guido Gentile & Daniele Vigo, 2013. "Movement generation and trip distribution for freight demand modelling applied to city logistics," European Transport \ Trasporti Europei, ISTIEE, Institute for the Study of Transport within the European Economic Integration, issue 54, pages 1-6.
    15. Sandrine Ville & Jesus Gonzalez-Feliu & Laetitia Dablanc, 2010. "The limits of public policy intervention in urban logistics: The case of Vicenza (Italy) and lessons for other European cities," Post-Print halshs-00742857, HAL.
    16. repec:cup:judgdm:v:11:y:2016:i:2:p:147-167 is not listed on IDEAS
    17. Daniel Kaszubowski, 2019. "A Method for the Evaluation of Urban Freight Transport Models as a Tool for Improving the Delivery of Sustainable Urban Transport Policy," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-23, March.
    18. Jesus Gonzalez-Feliu & Christian Ambrosini & Jean-Louis Routhier, 2012. "New trends on urban goods movement: Modelling and simulation of e-commerce distribution," Post-Print halshs-00626152, HAL.
    19. Alain Bonnafous & Danièle Patier & Jean-Louis Routhier & Florence Toilier & Marc Serouge, 2016. "French Surveys of the Delivery Approach: From Cross-section to Diachronic Analyses," Post-Print halshs-01474242, HAL.
    20. Jesus Gonzalez-Feliu & Bruno Durand & Dina Andriankaja, 2012. "Challenges in last-mile e-grocery urban distribution: have new B2C trends a positive impact on the environment? [Les défis du dernier kilomètre pour l'épicerie en ligne : l'impact environnemental d," Post-Print hal-01770405, HAL.
    21. Mathieu Gardrat & Jesus Gonzalez-Feliu & Jean-Louis Routhier, 2013. "Urban goods movement (UGM) analysis as a tool for urban planning," Post-Print halshs-00844657, HAL.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-00835930. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: CCSD (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.