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Insurance Fraud Estimation: More Evidence from the Quebec Automobile Insurance Industry

  • Caron, L.
  • Dionne, G.

This article follows a previous study on insurance fraud in the Quebec automobile insurance industry (Dionne and Belhadji, 1996). Results from that research showed that 3 to 6,4% of all claim payments (excluding those for "glass damage only") contained fraud, representing 28 to 61 million dollars in 1994-1995. This evaluation was a minimum since it was limited to observed fraud only. In this paper, we apply a statistical method to estimate the total fraud level in the industry for the same period. Our results show a multiplicative factor of 3,4% of fraudulent files found in Dionne and Belhadji, which means that total fraud payments ranged from 96,2 to 208,4 million dollars in 1994-1995. Our Best Guest Estimator roughly a 10% fraud rate or about 113,5 million dollars.

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Paper provided by Ecole des Hautes Etudes Commerciales de Montreal-Chaire de gestion des risques. in its series Ecole des Hautes Etudes Commerciales de Montreal- with number 96-02.

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Length: 14 pages
Date of creation: 1996
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:fth:etcori:96-02
Contact details of provider: Postal: Canada; ECOLE DES HAUTES ETUDES COMMERCIALES(H.E.C.),3000, chemin de la Cote-Sainte-Catherine. Montreal (Quebec) Canada H3T 2A7.
Web page: http://www.hec.ca/
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