Structural change in Argentina, 1935â€“60: The role of import substitution and factor endowments
This paper investigates structural change in Argentina between 1935 and 1960, a period of rapid industrialization and of relative decline of the agricultural sector. This has been the subject of a long-running debate that has exercised Argentine economists throughout the twentieth century, and remains politically salient today. It has been argued that this this relative decline of agriculture was due to the policies of import-substituting industrialization (ISI). This was also the period, however, that directly followed the closing of the land frontier, resulting in a declining land-labor ratio as the population continued to grow. We use a stylized, dynamic three-sector computable general equilibrium (CGE) model of the period to analyze the respective effects of ISI policies and the observed changes in factor endowments on the structure of the economy. We find that the declining land-labor ratio was more important than ISI in explaining relative stagnation in agriculture. ISI gave a substantial boost to manufacturing but primarily at the expense of nontraded services, rather than of agriculture.
|Date of creation:||2012|
|Date of revision:|
|Contact details of provider:|| Postal: |
Web page: http://www.ifpri.org/
More information through EDIRC
References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
- Taylor, Alan M., 1992. "External Dependence, Demographic Burdens, and Argentine Economic Decline After the Belle Époque," The Journal of Economic History, Cambridge University Press, vol. 52(04), pages 907-936, December.
- Tito Boeri & J. Ignacio Conde-Ruiz & Vincenzo Galasso, 2006.
"The Political Economy of Flexicurity,"
- Kanlaya J. Barr & Bruce A. Babcock & Miguel Carriquiry & Andre Nasser & Leila Harfuch, 2010.
"Agricultural Land Elasticities in the United States and Brazil,"
Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) Publications
10-wp505, Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) at Iowa State University.
- Kanlaya J. Barr & Bruce A. Babcock & Miguel A. Carriquiry & Andre M. Nassar & Leila Harfuch, 2011. "Agricultural Land Elasticities in the United States and Brazil," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 33(3), pages 449-462.
- Kanlaya J. Barr & Bruce A. Babcock & Miguel Carriquiry & Andre Nasser & Leila Harfuch, 2010. "Agricultural Land Elasticities in the United States and Brazil," Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) Publications 10-wp505, Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) at Iowa State University.
- Barr, Kanlaya Jintanakul & Babcock, Bruce A. & Carriquiry, Miguel A. & Nassar, Andre M & Harfuch, Leila, 2012. "Agricultural Land Elasticities in the United States and Brazil," Staff General Research Papers 35043, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
- Barr, Kanlaya Jintanakul & Babcock, Bruce A. & Carriquiry, Miguel A. & Nassar, Andre M & Harfuch, Leila, 2012. "Agricultural Land Elasticities in the United States and Brazil," Staff General Research Papers 35042, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
- Breisinger, Clemens & Diao, Xinshen & Thurlow, James, 2009. "Modeling growth options and structural change to reach middle income country status: The case of Ghana," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 26(2), pages 514-525, March.
- Kelley, Allen C & Williamson, Jeffrey G, 1973. "Modeling Economic Development and General Equilibrium Histories," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 63(2), pages 450-58, May.
- Corden, W Max & Neary, J Peter, 1982. "Booming Sector and De-Industrialisation in a Small Open Economy," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 92(368), pages 825-48, December.
- Juergen Meckl, 2000.
"Structural Change and Generalized Balanced Growth,"
Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers
0233, Econometric Society.
When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:fpr:ifprid:1212. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: ()
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.