The forecasting performance of German stock option densities
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- Keller, Joachim & Glatzer, Ernst & Craig, Ben R. & Scheicher, Martin, 2003. "The Forecasting Performance of German Stock Option Densities," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2003,17, Deutsche Bundesbank.
References listed on IDEAS
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Cited by:
- Didier Sornette & Peter Cauwels & Georgi Smilyanov, 2017. "Can We Use Volatility to Diagnose Financial Bubbles? Lessons from 40 Historical Bubbles," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 17-27, Swiss Finance Institute.
- Scharnagl, Michael & Stapf, Jelena, 2015. "Inflation, deflation, and uncertainty: What drives euro-area option-implied inflation expectations, and are they still anchored in the sovereign debt crisis?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 248-269.
- Belén Nieto & Gonzalo Rubio, 2007. "Measuring time-varying economic fears with consumption-based stochastic discount factors," Economics Working Papers 1029, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Sep 2007.
- Alonso, Francisco & Blanco, Roberto & Rubio Irigoyen, Gonzalo, 2005.
"Testing the Forecasting Performance of Ibex 35 Option-implied Risk-neutral Densities,"
DFAEII Working Papers
2005-09, University of the Basque Country - Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II.
- Francisco Alonso & Roberto Blanco & Gonzalo Rubio, 2005. "Testing the forecasting performace of IBEX 35 option implied risk neutral densities," Working Papers 0504, Banco de España;Working Papers Homepage.
- Francisco Alonso & Roberto Blanco & Gonzalo Rubio, 2009.
"Option-implied preferences adjustments, density forecasts, and the equity risk premium,"
Spanish Economic Review, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, vol. 11(2), pages 141-164, June.
- Francisco Alonso & Roberto Blanco & Gonzalo Rubio, 2006. "Option-implied preferences adjustments, density forecasts, and the equity risk premium," Working Papers 0630, Banco de España;Working Papers Homepage.
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More about this item
Keywords
Stock market - Germany; Stock options;JEL classification:
- G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing
- G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
- C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
- C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
NEP fields
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:- NEP-EEC-2004-01-18 (European Economics)
- NEP-ETS-2004-01-18 (Econometric Time Series)
- NEP-FMK-2004-01-18 (Financial Markets)
- NEP-RMG-2004-01-18 (Risk Management)
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