IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ema/worpap/2016-03.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Evolutionary Competition between Adjustment Processes in Cournot Oligopoly: Instability and Complex Dynamics

Author

Listed:
  • Cars H. Hommes
  • Marius I. Ochea
  • Jan Tuinstra

    (Université de Cergy-Pontoise, THEMA)

Abstract

We introduce evolutionary competition between adjustment processes in the Cournot oligopoly model. Our main focus is on rational play versus a general short-memory adaptive adjustment process. We nd that, although rational play has a stabilizing inuence, a su¢ cient increase in the number of rms in the market tends to make the Cournot-Nash equilibrium unstable. Moreover, the interaction between adjustment processes naturally leads to the emergence of complicated endogenous uctuations as the number of rms increases, even when demand and costs are linear.

Suggested Citation

  • Cars H. Hommes & Marius I. Ochea & Jan Tuinstra, 2016. "Evolutionary Competition between Adjustment Processes in Cournot Oligopoly: Instability and Complex Dynamics," THEMA Working Papers 2016-03, THEMA (THéorie Economique, Modélisation et Applications), Université de Cergy-Pontoise.
  • Handle: RePEc:ema:worpap:2016-03
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://thema.u-cergy.fr/IMG/pdf/2016-03.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. William Novshek, 1985. "On the Existence of Cournot Equilibrium," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 52(1), pages 85-98.
    2. Hofbauer, Josef & Weibull, Jorgen W., 1996. "Evolutionary Selection against Dominated Strategies," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 71(2), pages 558-573, November.
    3. Szidarovszky, F & Yakowitz, S, 1977. "A New Proof of the Existence and Uniqueness of the Cournot Equilibrium," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 18(3), pages 787-789, October.
    4. Rassenti, Stephen & Reynolds, Stanley S. & Smith, Vernon L. & Szidarovszky, Ferenc, 2000. "Adaptation and convergence of behavior in repeated experimental Cournot games," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 41(2), pages 117-146, February.
    5. Kopel, Michael & Lamantia, Fabio & Szidarovszky, Ferenc, 2014. "Evolutionary competition in a mixed market with socially concerned firms," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 394-409.
    6. McKelvey Richard D. & Palfrey Thomas R., 1995. "Quantal Response Equilibria for Normal Form Games," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 10(1), pages 6-38, July.
    7. Koji Okuguchi, 1970. "Adaptive Expectations in an Oligopoly Model," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 37(2), pages 233-237.
    8. Steffen Huck & Hans-Theo Normann & Jörg Oechssler, 2002. "Stability of the Cournot process - experimental evidence," International Journal of Game Theory, Springer;Game Theory Society, vol. 31(1), pages 123-136.
    9. Corchon, Luis C. & Mas-Colell, Andreu, 1996. "On the stability of best reply and gradient systems with applications to imperfectly competitive models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 51(1), pages 59-65, April.
    10. William A. Brock & Cars H. Hommes, 1997. "A Rational Route to Randomness," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 65(5), pages 1059-1096, September.
    11. Tuinstra, Jan, 2000. "A discrete and symmetric price adjustment process on the simplex," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 24(5-7), pages 881-907, June.
    12. William A. Brock & Cars H. Hommes, 2001. "A Rational Route to Randomness," Chapters, in: W. D. Dechert (ed.), Growth Theory, Nonlinear Dynamics and Economic Modelling, chapter 16, pages 402-438, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    13. Cerboni Baiardi, Lorenzo & Lamantia, Fabio & Radi, Davide, 2015. "Evolutionary competition between boundedly rational behavioral rules in oligopoly games," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 204-225.
    14. R. D. Theocharis, 1960. "On the Stability of the Cournot Solution on the Oligopoly Problem," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 27(2), pages 133-134.
    15. Szidarovsky, Ferenc & Rassenti, Stephen & Yen, Jerome, 1994. "The stability of the cournot solution under adaptive expectation: A further generalization," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 3(2), pages 173-181.
    16. Anufriev, Mikhail & Kopányi, Dávid & Tuinstra, Jan, 2013. "Learning cycles in Bertrand competition with differentiated commodities and competing learning rules," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 37(12), pages 2562-2581.
    17. Schlag, Karl H., 1998. "Why Imitate, and If So, How?, : A Boundedly Rational Approach to Multi-armed Bandits," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 78(1), pages 130-156, January.
    18. Franklin M. Fisher, 1961. "The Stability of the Cournot Oligopoly Solution: The Effects of Speeds of Adjustment and Increasing Marginal Costs," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 28(2), pages 125-135.
    19. Nabih Agiza, Hamdy & Italo Bischi, Gian & Kopel, Michael, 1999. "Multistability in a dynamic Cournot game with three oligopolists," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 51(1), pages 63-90.
    20. Gale, John & Binmore, Kenneth G. & Samuelson, Larry, 1995. "Learning to be imperfect: The ultimatum game," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 8(1), pages 56-90.
    21. Jan Tuinstra, 2004. "A Price Adjustment Process In A Model Of Monopolistic Competition," International Game Theory Review (IGTR), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 6(03), pages 417-442.
    22. Schlag, Karl H., 1998. "Why Imitate, and If So, How?, : A Boundedly Rational Approach to Multi-armed Bandits," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 78(1), pages 130-156, January.
    23. Thorlund-Petersen, Lars, 1990. "Iterative computation of cournot equilibrium," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 2(1), pages 61-75, March.
    24. al-Nowaihi, A. & Levine, P. L., 1985. "The stability of the cournot oligopoly model: A reassessment," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 307-321, August.
    25. Pietro Dindo & Jan Tuinstra, 2011. "A Class of Evolutionary Models for Participation Games with Negative Feedback," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 37(3), pages 267-300, March.
    26. Charles D. Kolstad & Lars Mathiesen, 1987. "Necessary and Sufficient Conditions for Uniqueness of a Cournot Equilibrium," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 54(4), pages 681-690.
    27. Droste, Edward & Hommes, Cars & Tuinstra, Jan, 2002. "Endogenous fluctuations under evolutionary pressure in Cournot competition," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 40(2), pages 232-269, August.
    28. Furth, Dave, 2009. "Anything goes with heterogeneous, but not always with homogeneous oligopoly," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 183-203, January.
    29. Seade, Jesus, 1980. "The stability of cournot revisited," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 23(1), pages 15-27, August.
    30. Bischi, Gian Italo & Lamantia, Fabio & Radi, Davide, 2015. "An evolutionary Cournot model with limited market knowledge," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 219-238.
    31. Cox, James C. & Walker, Mark, 1998. "Learning to play Cournot duopoly strategies," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 141-161, August.
    32. Todd Evans (ed.), 2010. "Nonlinear Dynamics," Books, IntechOpen, number 344, January-J.
    33. Dana, Rose-Anne & Montrucchio, Luigi, 1986. "Dynamic complexity in duopoly games," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 40-56, October.
    34. Bischi, Gian Italo & Naimzada, Ahmad K. & Sbragia, Lucia, 2007. "Oligopoly games with Local Monopolistic Approximation," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 62(3), pages 371-388, March.
    35. Rand, David, 1978. "Exotic phenomena in games and duopoly models," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 5(2), pages 173-184, September.
    36. F. H. Hahn, 1962. "The Stability of the Cournot Oligopoly Solution," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 29(4), pages 329-331.
    37. Domenico De Giovanni & Fabio Lamantia, 2016. "Control delegation, information and beliefs in evolutionary oligopolies," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 26(5), pages 1089-1116, December.
    38. Peng Fei & Philippe Wanner & Stephane Cotter, 1997. "Approche dynamique de la différence d'espérance de vie entre hommes et femmes en Suisse, entre 1910/11 et 1988/93. Une application des méthodes de décomposition de POLLARD et D'ARRIAGA," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES), vol. 133(IV), pages 741-754, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Pangallo, Marco & Sanders, James B.T. & Galla, Tobias & Farmer, J. Doyne, 2022. "Towards a taxonomy of learning dynamics in 2 × 2 games," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 1-21.
    2. Tomáš Tichý & Davide Radi & Fabio Lamantia, 2022. "Hybrid evolutionary oligopolies and the dynamics of corporate social responsibility," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 17(1), pages 87-114, January.
    3. Li, Bo & Liang, Houjun & Shi, Lian & He, Qizhi, 2022. "Complex dynamics of Kopel model with nonsymmetric response between oligopolists," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    4. Akio Matsumoto & Ferenc Szidarovszky, 2020. "Delay Stability of n -Firm Cournot Oligopolies," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(9), pages 1-19, September.
    5. Fabio Lamantia & Anghel Negriu & Jan Tuinstra, 2018. "Technology choice in an evolutionary oligopoly game," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 41(2), pages 335-356, November.
    6. Kopel, Michael & Lamantia, Fabio, 2018. "The persistence of social strategies under increasing competitive pressure," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 71-83.
    7. Wang, Chun & Pi, Jinxiu & Zhou, Die & Tang, Wei & Yang, Guanghui, 2023. "Dynamics of n-person Cournot games with asymmetric information and heterogeneous expectations," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 618(C).
    8. Davide Radi & Laura Gardini, 2023. "Ambiguity aversion as a route to randomness in a duopoly game," Papers 2311.11366, arXiv.org.
    9. Nikolaos Chrysanthopoulos & George P. Papavassilopoulos, 2021. "Adaptive rules for discrete-time Cournot games of high competition level markets," Operational Research, Springer, vol. 21(4), pages 2879-2906, December.
    10. Anufriev, Mikhail & Kopányi, Dávid, 2018. "Oligopoly game: Price makers meet price takers," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 84-103.
    11. Pangallo, Marco & Farmer, J. Doyne & Sanders, James & Galla, Tobias, 2017. "A taxonomy of learning dynamics in 2 × 2 games," INET Oxford Working Papers 2017-06, Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford.
    12. Daan Lindeman & Marius I. Ochea, 2018. "Imitation Dynamics in Oligopoly Games with Heterogeneous Players," THEMA Working Papers 2018-15, THEMA (THéorie Economique, Modélisation et Applications), Université de Cergy-Pontoise.
    13. Mignot, Sarah & Tramontana, Fabio & Westerhoff, Frank H., 2023. "Complex dynamics in a nonlinear duopoly model with heuristic expectation formation and learning behavior," BERG Working Paper Series 187, Bamberg University, Bamberg Economic Research Group.
    14. Gian Italo Bischi & Fabio Lamantia, 2022. "Evolutionary oligopoly games with cooperative and aggressive behaviors," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 17(1), pages 3-27, January.
    15. Mikhail Anufriev & Davide Radi & Fabio Tramontana, 2018. "Some reflections on past and future of nonlinear dynamics in economics and finance," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 41(2), pages 91-118, November.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Hommes, C.H. & Ochea, M. & Tuinstra, J., 2011. "On the stability of the Cournot equilibrium: An evolutionary approach," CeNDEF Working Papers 11-10, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance.
    2. Gian Italo Bischi & Fabio Lamantia & Davide Radi, 2018. "Evolutionary oligopoly games with heterogeneous adaptive players," Chapters, in: Luis C. Corchón & Marco A. Marini (ed.), Handbook of Game Theory and Industrial Organization, Volume I, chapter 12, pages 343-370, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    3. Troy Tassier, 2013. "Handbook of Research on Complexity, by J. Barkley Rosser, Jr. and Edward Elgar," Eastern Economic Journal, Palgrave Macmillan;Eastern Economic Association, vol. 39(1), pages 132-133.
    4. Antonio Doria, Francisco, 2011. "J.B. Rosser Jr. , Handbook of Research on Complexity, Edward Elgar, Cheltenham, UK--Northampton, MA, USA (2009) 436 + viii pp., index, ISBN 978 1 84542 089 5 (cased)," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 78(1-2), pages 196-204, April.
    5. Bischi, Gian Italo & Lamantia, Fabio & Radi, Davide, 2015. "An evolutionary Cournot model with limited market knowledge," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 219-238.
    6. Droste, Edward & Hommes, Cars & Tuinstra, Jan, 2002. "Endogenous fluctuations under evolutionary pressure in Cournot competition," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 40(2), pages 232-269, August.
    7. Fabio Lamantia & Anghel Negriu & Jan Tuinstra, 2018. "Technology choice in an evolutionary oligopoly game," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 41(2), pages 335-356, November.
    8. Mignot, Sarah & Tramontana, Fabio & Westerhoff, Frank H., 2023. "Complex dynamics in a nonlinear duopoly model with heuristic expectation formation and learning behavior," BERG Working Paper Series 187, Bamberg University, Bamberg Economic Research Group.
    9. Mikhail Anufriev & Davide Radi & Fabio Tramontana, 2018. "Some reflections on past and future of nonlinear dynamics in economics and finance," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 41(2), pages 91-118, November.
    10. Lorenzo Cerboni Baiardi & Ahmad K. Naimzada, 2019. "An evolutionary Cournot oligopoly model with imitators and perfect foresight best responders," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 70(3), pages 458-475, July.
    11. Cerboni Baiardi, Lorenzo & Naimzada, Ahmad K., 2018. "An oligopoly model with best response and imitation rules," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 336(C), pages 193-205.
    12. Anufriev, Mikhail & Kopányi, Dávid, 2018. "Oligopoly game: Price makers meet price takers," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 84-103.
    13. Noemi Schmitt & Jan Tuinstra & Frank Westerhoff, 2018. "Stability and welfare effects of profit taxes within an evolutionary market interaction model," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(3), pages 691-708, August.
    14. Cerboni Baiardi, Lorenzo & Naimzada, Ahmad K., 2019. "An oligopoly model with rational and imitation rules," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 156(C), pages 254-278.
    15. Schmitt, Noemi & Tuinstra, Jan & Westerhoff, Frank, 2017. "Side effects of nonlinear profit taxes in an evolutionary market entry model: Abrupt changes, coexisting attractors and hysteresis problems," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 15-38.
    16. Bischi, Gian Italo & Kopel, Michael, 2001. "Equilibrium selection in a nonlinear duopoly game with adaptive expectations," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 46(1), pages 73-100, September.
    17. Cerboni Baiardi, Lorenzo & Lamantia, Fabio & Radi, Davide, 2015. "Evolutionary competition between boundedly rational behavioral rules in oligopoly games," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 204-225.
    18. Domenico De Giovanni & Fabio Lamantia, 2016. "Control delegation, information and beliefs in evolutionary oligopolies," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 26(5), pages 1089-1116, December.
    19. Davide Radi, 2017. "Walrasian versus Cournot behavior in an oligopoly of boundedly rational firms," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 27(5), pages 933-961, November.
    20. Lamantia, F. & Negriu, A. & Tuinstra, J., 2016. "Evolutionary Cournot competition with endogenous technology choice: (in)stability and optimal policy," CeNDEF Working Papers 16-08, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Stability of Cournot-Nash equilibrium; n-player Cournot games; Evolutionary competition; Endogenous uctuations;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C72 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Game Theory and Bargaining Theory - - - Noncooperative Games
    • C73 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Game Theory and Bargaining Theory - - - Stochastic and Dynamic Games; Evolutionary Games
    • D43 - Microeconomics - - Market Structure, Pricing, and Design - - - Oligopoly and Other Forms of Market Imperfection

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ema:worpap:2016-03. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Stefania Marcassa (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/themafr.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.