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The economics of tropical deforestation

Author

Listed:
  • Balboni, Clare
  • Berman, Aaron
  • Burgess, Robin
  • Olken, Benjamin A.

Abstract

Two factors have elevated recent academic and policy interest in tropical deforestation: first, the realization that it is a major contributor to climate change; and second, a revolution in satellite-based measurement that has revealed that it is proceeding at a rapid rate. We begin by reviewing the methodological advances that have enabled measurement of forest loss at a fine spatial resolution across the globe. We then develop a simple benchmark model of deforestation based on classic models of natural resource extraction. Extending this approach to incorporate features that characterize deforestation in developing countries—pressure for land use change, significant local and global externalities, weak property rights, and political economy constraints—provides us with a framework for reviewing the fast-growing empirical literature on the economics of deforestation in the tropics. This combination of theory and empirics provides insights not only into the economic drivers and impacts of tropical deforestation but also into policies that may affect its progression. We conclude by identifying areas where more work is needed in this important body of research.

Suggested Citation

  • Balboni, Clare & Berman, Aaron & Burgess, Robin & Olken, Benjamin A., 2023. "The economics of tropical deforestation," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 120074, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  • Handle: RePEc:ehl:lserod:120074
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    File URL: https://researchonline.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/120074/
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Neal, Timothy, 2024. "Estimating the effectiveness of forest protection using regression discontinuity," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).
    2. Massimo Guidolin, Manuela Pedio, 2026. "Biodiversity Risk and Commodity Markets: Evidence, Theory, and an Agenda for Future Research," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 26286, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
    3. Franklin, Sergio L. & Pindyck, Robert S., 2026. "The supply of forest-based CO2 removal," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 248(C).
    4. Bertille Daran & Clément Nedoncelle, 2025. "The deforestation effect of climate aid [L'effet déforestation de l'aide climatique]," Working Papers hal-05310970, HAL.
    5. Digvijay S. Negi, 2024. "State Mediated Trade, Distortions and Air Pollution," Working Papers 129, Ashoka University, Department of Economics.
    6. Frederik Noack & Dennis Engist & Josephine Gantois & Vasundhara Gaur & Batoule F Hyjazie & Ashley Larsen & Leithen M’gonigle & Anouch Missirian & Matin Qaim & Risa D Sargent & Eduardo Souza-Rodrigues , 2024. "Environmental impacts of genetically modified crops [Impacts environnementaux des cultures OGM]," Post-Print hal-04787948, HAL.
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    8. Ferreira, Alipio, 2026. "Amazon deforestation: Drivers, damages, and policies," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).
    9. Valbuena, Diego & Santander, Jairo & García-Estévez, Javier & Franco, Nathalia, 2025. "Unveiling policy gaps to better address the causes and drivers of tropical deforestation: A case study from the Colombian Amazon," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    10. Guimbeau, Amanda & Ji, James & Menon, Nidhiya & Witoelar, Firman, 2026. "Mangroves, Mental Health, and Cognition," IZA Discussion Papers 18818, IZA Network @ LISER.
    11. Giudice, Renzo & Börner, Jan, 2024. "Cost-effectiveness and income effects of alternative forest conservation policy mixes for the Peruvian Amazon," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    12. Calafate, Vítor & Costa, Francisco J M & Pessoa, João Paulo, 2026. "Climate Barriers to Democratic Participation," SocArXiv ypgsf_v1, Center for Open Science.
    13. Piyali Kumar & Soumyendra Kishore Datta, 2025. "Ecological Degradation, Climate Change and Economic Growth: A Simultaneous Modeling Analysis of Central European Countries," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 23(3), pages 949-978, September.
    14. Aidt, Toke S. & Albornoz, Facundo & Hauk, Esther, 2024. "To cut or not to cut: Deforestation policy under the shadow of foreign influence," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 227(C).
    15. Ly, Alpha, 2025. "Financial globalization and tropical deforestation," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
    16. Carreira, Igor & Costa, Francisco & Pessoa, João Paulo, 2024. "The deforestation effects of trade and agricultural productivity in Brazil," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
    17. Cisneros, Elías & Kis-Katos, Krisztina, 2024. "Unintended environmental consequences of anti-corruption strategies," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    18. Nyanghura, Qambemeda & Mandela, Paulo & Binego, Lilian & Mombo, Felister & Schmutz, Ulrich, 2026. "Analyzing the economics of agroforestry within land use and land cover change: The case of the Baga-Kisimagonja ecological corridor of Tanzania," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 169(C).
    19. Chiara Falco & Valentina Raimondi, 2025. "Hydropower dams, deforestation, and land use change: evidence from Brazil," Working Papers 2025.29, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
    20. Jimenez, Juan Miguel & Molina Alvarez, Lizeth Melissa & Saavedra, Santiago, 2026. "Power plays in the jungle: Political alignment and environmental degradation in Colombia," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    21. Nicoletta Batini & Luigi Durand, 2024. "Accounting for Nature in Economic Models," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 1014, Central Bank of Chile.
    22. Xinming Du & Lei Li & Eric Zou, 2024. "Trade, Trees, and Lives," NBER Working Papers 33143, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    23. Araujo, Rafael & Assunção, Juliano & Bragança, Arthur, 2025. "Transportation infrastructure and deforestation in the Amazon," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 177(C).

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • F18 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade and Environment
    • H23 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Externalities; Redistributive Effects; Environmental Taxes and Subsidies
    • O13 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Agriculture; Natural Resources; Environment; Other Primary Products
    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General
    • Q23 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Renewable Resources and Conservation - - - Forestry
    • Q56 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Environment and Development; Environment and Trade; Sustainability; Environmental Accounts and Accounting; Environmental Equity; Population Growth
    • Q57 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Ecological Economics

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