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How wages respond to the job-finding and job-to-job transition rates? Evidence from New Zealand administrative data

Author

Listed:
  • Christopher Ball
  • Nicolas Groshenny
  • Özer Karagedikli
  • Murat Özbilgin
  • Finn Robinson

Abstract

We use administrative data from New Zealand and exploit regional variations to evaluate the predictive power for wage dynamics of the job-finding and job-to-job transition rates. We find that the job-finding rate from unemployment plays a role in describing the wage dynamics of newly hired workers even after controlling for the job-to-job transition rate. The wages of new hires are much more responsive to both transition rates than the wages of job stayers. We then distinguish between the new hires transitioning from employment (job switchers) and the new hires coming from unemployment. The wages of job switchers are primarily related to the pace of job-to-job reallocation and less significantly to the jobfinding rate. The wages of new hires from unemployment are exclusively linked to the jobfinding rate and this association is stronger at the lower half of the wage distribution. The wages of new hires from unemployment are more responsive to the job-finding rate than the wages of job stayers. The job-to-job transition rate has no impact on the wage dynamics of job stayers once the job-finding rate and the transition rate from inactivity to employment are controlled for.

Suggested Citation

  • Christopher Ball & Nicolas Groshenny & Özer Karagedikli & Murat Özbilgin & Finn Robinson, 2020. "How wages respond to the job-finding and job-to-job transition rates? Evidence from New Zealand administrative data," CAMA Working Papers 2020-15, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    • Handle: RePEc:een:camaaa:2020-15
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    File URL: https://cama.crawford.anu.edu.au/sites/default/files/publication/cama_crawford_anu_edu_au/2022-03/15_2020_ball_groshenny_karagedikli_ozbilgin_robinson0.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. Allan, Corey & Maré, David C., 2021. "Do Workers Share in Firm Success? Pass-through Estimates for New Zealand," IZA Discussion Papers 14764, IZA Network @ LISER.
    2. Finn Robinson, 2020. "Vacancies, unemployment and labour market slack in New Zealand," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Analytical Notes series AN2020/07, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
    3. Shaun Markham, 2020. "Monetary policy and regional unemployment," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Analytical Notes series AN2020/08, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • J31 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs - - - Wage Level and Structure; Wage Differentials
    • J64 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search

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