IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/dnb/dnbwpp/869.html

Are households ready to weather a digital storm in retail payments? Evidence from the Netherlands

Author

Listed:
  • Carin van der Cruijsen
  • Nicole Jonker

Abstract

In an increasingly digital retail payments landscape, it is essential that households are well prepared for incidents that temporarily disrupt their ability to make digital payments for everyday purchases. This study examines whether Dutch households are prepared for such disruptions and whether official preparedness advice has translated into recommended behaviour. We use survey evidence from 5,672 Dutch respondents collected after the May 2025 official recommendation to hold €70 per adult and €30 per child in cash for a 72-hour outage of electronic payments and to maintain multiple means of payment. Awareness is high, but incomplete: 71% of respondents know the cash recommendation, while 58% hold the recommended amount or more. This implies a preparedness gap, especially among financially constrained households. Awareness is strongly associated with compliance; respondents who know the advice are 21 percentage points more likely to meet it. Non-compliance appears partly behavioural rather than purely informational or financial; the most frequently cited reason is not having got around to following the advice. Our analysis of several events, including communication about the cash advice, suggests that targeted communication may support compliance with the cash advice. Digital fallback capacity is more widespread than cash fallback preparedness, with 70% of respondents having multiple digital payment instruments for point-of-sale purchases. The findings imply that resilience policies should not only safeguard payment infrastructure but also address the informational, behavioural and practical barriers that prevent households from preparing.

Suggested Citation

  • Carin van der Cruijsen & Nicole Jonker, 2026. "Are households ready to weather a digital storm in retail payments? Evidence from the Netherlands," Working Papers 869, DNB.
  • Handle: RePEc:dnb:dnbwpp:869
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.dnb.nl/media/z2jgmwyq/working_paper_no-869.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Dean Karlan & Margaret McConnell & Sendhil Mullainathan & Jonathan Zinman, 2016. "Getting to the Top of Mind: How Reminders Increase Saving," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 62(12), pages 3393-3411, December.
    2. Aurel Ruben Mäder & Christoph Meyer & Yves Nacht & Daniel Gatica-Perez, 2026. "Cash saves the day: How cash infrastructure enhances resilience during a card payment system outage," Working Papers 2026-12, Swiss National Bank.
    3. Morten L. Bech & Rodney J. Garratt, 2012. "Illiquidity in the Interbank Payment System Following Wide-Scale Disruptions," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 44(5), pages 903-929, August.
    4. Klee, Elizabeth, 2010. "Operational outages and aggregate uncertainty in the federal funds market," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(10), pages 2386-2402, October.
    5. Luis E. Gonzales & Koichiro Ito & Mar Reguant, 2026. "Zero Energy Day: How Nationwide Blackouts Affect the Economy," NBER Working Papers 35066, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Faella, Francesca & Zamora-Pérez, Alejandro, 2025. "Keep calm and carry cash: lessons on the unique role of physical currency across four crises," Economic Bulletin Articles, European Central Bank, vol. 6.
    7. Kosse, Anneke, 2013. "Do newspaper articles on card fraud affect debit card usage?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(12), pages 5382-5391.
    8. Ajzen, Icek, 1991. "The theory of planned behavior," Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, Elsevier, vol. 50(2), pages 179-211, December.
    9. Fernando Alvarez & Francesco Lippi, 2009. "Financial Innovation and the Transactions Demand for Cash," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 77(2), pages 363-402, March.
    10. John Bagnall & David Bounie & Kim P. Huynh & Anneke Kosse & Tobias Schmidt & Scott Schuh, 2016. "Consumer Cash Usage: A Cross-Country Comparison with Payment Diary Survey Data," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 12(4), pages 1-61, December.
    11. P. Bubeck & W. J. W. Botzen & J. C. J. H. Aerts, 2012. "A Review of Risk Perceptions and Other Factors that Influence Flood Mitigation Behavior," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 32(9), pages 1481-1495, September.
    12. Alvarez, Fernando & Lippi, Francesco, 2017. "Cash burns: An inventory model with a cash-credit choice," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 99-112.
    13. Michael K. Lindell & Ronald W. Perry, 2012. "The Protective Action Decision Model: Theoretical Modifications and Additional Evidence," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 32(4), pages 616-632, April.
    14. Fernando E. Alvarez & David Argente & Diana Van Patten, 2026. "On the Resilience of Payment Methods," NBER Working Papers 35115, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    15. Mr. Tanai Khiaonarong & Mr. Harry Leinonen & Ryan Rizaldy, 2021. "Operational Resilience in Digital Payments: Experiences and Issues," IMF Working Papers 2021/288, International Monetary Fund.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Zamora-Pérez, Alejandro, 2026. "Who owns crypto in the euro area? Drivers of crypto adoption, payment use, and its interaction with fiat cash," Working Paper Series 3215, European Central Bank.
    2. Jacek Pietrucha & Grzegorz Maciejewski, 2020. "Precautionary Demand for Cash and Perceived Risk of Electronic Payments," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(19), pages 1-25, September.
    3. Fernando Alvarez & Francesco Lippi & Roberto Robatto, 2019. "Cost of Inflation in Inventory Theoretical Models," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 32, pages 206-226, April.
    4. Tamás Briglevics & Scott Schuh, 2020. "This Is What's in Your Wallet...and Here's How You Use It," Working Papers 20-04, Department of Economics, West Virginia University.
    5. Guerino Ardizzi & Andrea Nobili & Giorgia Rocco, 2020. "A game changer in payment habits: evidence from daily data during a pandemic," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 591, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    6. Mertens, K. & Jacobs, L. & Maes, J. & Poesen, J. & Kervyn, M. & Vranken, L., 2018. "Disaster risk reduction among households exposed to landslide hazard: A crucial role for self-efficacy?," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 77-91.
    7. Martin Brown & Nicole Hentschel & Hannes Mettler & Helmut Stix, 2020. "Financial Innovation, Payment Choice and Cash Demand - Causal Evidence from the Staggered Introduction of Contactless Debit Cards," Working Papers on Finance 2002, University of St. Gallen, School of Finance.
    8. Yilin Zou & Alexia Stock & Rachel Davidson & Linda Nozick & Joseph Trainor & Jamie Kruse, 2020. "Perceived attributes of hurricane-related retrofits and their effect on household adoption," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 104(1), pages 201-224, October.
    9. Arango-Arango, Carlos A. & Suárez-Ariza, Nicolás, 2020. "Digital payments adoption and the demand for cash: New international evidence," Journal of Payments Strategy & Systems, Henry Stewart Publications, vol. 14(4), pages 392-410, December.
    10. Luca Baldo & Elisa Bonifacio & Marco Brandi & Michelina Lo Russo & Gianluca Maddaloni & Andrea Nobili & Giorgia Rocco & Gabriele Sene & Massimo Valentini, 2021. "Inside the black box: tools for understanding cash circulation," Mercati, infrastrutture, sistemi di pagamento (Markets, Infrastructures, Payment Systems) 7, Bank of Italy, Directorate General for Markets and Payment System.
    11. Martin Brown & Nicole Hentschel & Hannes Mettler & Helmut Stix, 2020. "Financial Innovation, Payment Choice and Cash Demand – Causal Evidence from the Staggered Introduction of Contactless Debit Cards (Martin Brown,Nicole Hentschel, Hannes Mettler, Helmut Stix)," Working Papers 230, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank).
    12. Arango-Arango, Carlos A. & Bouhdaoui, Yassine & Bounie, David & Eschelbach, Martina & Hernandez, Lola, 2018. "Cash remains top-of-wallet! International evidence from payment diaries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 38-48.
    13. Xue, Ke & Shao, Quan & Yang, Mingming, 2026. "Incorporating risk perception and adaptive behavioral intention into new evacuation standards: Airline passengers’ responses to aviation emergencies," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 176(C).
    14. Heng Chen & Marie-Hélène Felt & Kim P. Huynh, 2017. "Retail payment innovations and cash usage: accounting for attrition by using refreshment samples," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 180(2), pages 503-530, February.
    15. Bruna Bruno & Marisa Faggini, 2022. "The cashless man: do preferences matter?," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 32(5), pages 1525-1544, November.
    16. Lippi, Francesco & Moracci, Elia, 2026. "Cash or card? A structural model of payment choices," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    17. Carlos Arango & Yassine Bouhdaoui & David Bounie & Martina Eschelbach & Lola Hernández, 2013. "Cash Management and Payment Choices: A Simulation Model with International Comparisons," Staff Working Papers 13-53, Bank of Canada.
    18. Nicole Jonker & Mirjam Plooij & Johan Verburg, 2015. "Does a public campaign influence debit card usage? Evidence from the Netherlands," DNB Working Papers 470, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
    19. Gabrielle Thongs & Jeremy Collymore & Evan Inniss-Springer & David Smith, 2025. "Using risk and early warning system perceptions to increase self-protective behaviour in the Caribbean," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 121(5), pages 5435-5470, March.
    20. Ueda, Kozo, 2024. "Effects of bank branch/ATM consolidations on cash demand: Evidence from bank account transaction data in Japan," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • D12 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Consumer Economics: Empirical Analysis
    • D14 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Household Saving; Personal Finance
    • D91 - Microeconomics - - Micro-Based Behavioral Economics - - - Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on Decision Making
    • E42 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Monetary Systems; Standards; Regimes; Government and the Monetary System

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:dnb:dnbwpp:869. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: DNB (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/dnbgvnl.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.